A good form friend of mine is always of the Opinion , the faster the race the less accurate the form. I have never really got what he meant but I i use a selection of speed and form figures when assessing races and one thing i have noticed is that alot of selling winners in quick times rate better than a 0-80 winner on speed figures. I suppose this is because in low grade races horses will go flat out and the horse that stays best wins.
Now I've never been one to look at overall times but more on sectional's as they show if a horse can quicken and if the sectional is good off a slow gallop it gains more merit.
For Nahoodh i wouldn't expect her to have good speed times as she wants 7f - 1m and for me if your too quick or fast you wont stay at 3.
One thing Nahoodh will do is run to that Lollipop but like you say how will she deal with a fast pace.
Now you say the Lowther was a steadily run race, but having watched it twice, I notice Fleeting Spirit is always very well settled which suggests she found the pace suitable enough. Bearing in mind she come off a strong gallop to beat 2 speedballs at Goodwood I am of the opinion she was a non stayer but maybe the speed of the Goodwood race enabled her to win as she gets further than 5f and she probabaly just outstayed Kingsgate Native and Captain Gerard.
I was impressed by Raven's Pass yesterday but I don't think we have seen the performance of a Guineas winner. I just feel there was nothing in behind yesterday and whilst he has won in a hack canter, the Dewhurst will be much different against Skadrak, Atlantic Sport, Tajdeef and New Approach.
Going back to nahoodh at Ascot I feel if the race was slowly run then she warrants the most respect of the front 3 in the finishing order as she came off the gallop and made up 4L in the final furlong having been given plenty to do. The front 2 had got first run so surely, the fact she has a turn of foot must bode well for her.
At this is moment in time my idea of each Guineas winner is;
Skadrak / Atlantic Sport
&
Laureldean Gale.
