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Why would a Champion Hurdler necessarily be rated any higher than 161? Would you be doling out 168+ to the likes of Sublimity, Katchit and Hors La Loi III, just because they each won a Champion Hurdle - despite the fact that the form of their respective races isn't worth a carrot?

 

There is no way on God's green earth that Punjabi ran to a mark of 169 when winning his Champion Hurdle. That makes the OR of 168 given to Celestial Halo a lot of cobblers too. Anyone extrapolating Celestial's worth from that OR - or subsequently his current one - is therefore working with fundamentally flawed data.

 

As Rory said, sometimes the OH is a "bawbag". Look no further than the rapidly revised mark he gave Mahogany Blue after his run in the 2009 Connaught Chase. It went up by a stone, and then dropped by a stone, in the blink of an eye and a single outing - the OH just hoped that no-one was looking at the time.


5 + 3 = ?
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