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I don't disagree with any of that, EC1. I think you should be free to rate Celestial Halo as a "yardstick" horse if you so choose.

 

The argument here - not that I feel like I'm arguing with you - is not about method, it's about application.

 

You view Celestial Halo as a reliable "yardstick" of a 160 horse, and draw conclusions from that basis which lead you to believe Oscar Whisky has a genuine chance in the Champion Hurdle. Fair enough.

 

It's the assertion that a) 160 is a true reflection of his present ability over hurdles, and b) that he is a reliable indicator anyway, that are the contentious points.

 

If you argue that he was a 168 horse, and that he is now a 160 horse two seasons later, then you are de-facto aknowledging that there has been some level of decline. You appear to consider what decline there was to have been arrested, and that he can now run consistently to 160 - despite everything else pointing to the horse remaining in decline.

 

If you genuinely believe that he is capable of a 160 performance, your perfectly entitled to hold such an opinion, and I don't think anyone is suggesting it's otherwise. You have an opinion, conviction, and are prepared to argue your point. Exactly what a forum like this needs. But you do hold some avant-garde positions too (your faith in Celestial Halo a qualifier on that score, imo) and it's a matter of fact that avant garde positions are going to attract a lot of 'interest'. But don't confuse that interest with personal attacks or "ridicule" - it's not the case.


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