Saturday TV Racing

Toffee

At the Start
Joined
Oct 5, 2013
Messages
82
Hope some people find this useful towards picking out those Saturday winners whilst sat in front of the TV. Stats courtesy of the excellent Geegeez:


SANDOWN (C4/RUK)

2.00 - bet365 Juvenile Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m110y CH4

Only 3 previous runnings
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2013
Trainer Donald McCain won the race in 2012 and 2014
No winning favourites from 3 runnings
All 3 winners carried 11-1 or more in weight
Trainer Tony Carroll is just 1 from 30 with his hurdlers at the course
Trainer David Pipe is just 5 from 56 with his hurdlers at the course
Trainer Jonjo O’Neill is only 4 from 43 with his hurdlers at the course

2.35 - bet365 Oaksey Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m6f CH4

Just 1 previous running
Trainer Philip Hobbs’ Menorah won the race in 2014
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 29% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Colin Tizzard is just 2 from 21 with his chasers at the track
Trainer Philip Hobbs is just 3 from 39 with his chasers here

3.15 - bet365 A P McCoy Celebration Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m CH4

12/12 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting market
12/12 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
11/12 – Aged 9 or younger
10/12 – Won at least 3 times over fences previously
9/12 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
9/12 – Favourites placed
9/12 – From the top three in the betting
8/12 – Ran at Sandown (fences) previously
7/12 – Officially rated 160 or higher
5/12 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
4/12 – Raced at Aintree last time out
4/12 – Irish bred
4/12 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
3/12 – Won by the Pipe stable
3/12 – Won their last race
2/12 – Favourites
2/12 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/12 – Ridden by AP McCoy
Sire De Grugy has won the last 2 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 4/1

3.50 - bet365 Gold Cup Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f110y CH4

12/12 – Ran in the last 56 days
9/12 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
9/12 – Won over 3m or further previously
8/12 - Priced 14/1 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Aged 9 or younger
8/12 – Placed 4th or worse in their last race
7/12 – Officially rated 140 or higher
7/12 – From the top 7 in the betting market
7/12 – Ran in the last 25 days
2/12 – Trained by Ferdy Murphy
2/12 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/12 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
2/12 – Raced in the Aintree Grand National that season
2/12 – Raced in the Scottish Grand National that season
2/12 – Won their last race
0/12 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 12 renewals is 13/1
The last winning favourite was Beau in 2000

4.25 - bet365 Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m4f C4

10/10 – Aged 5 or older
10/10 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
8/10 – Aged 7 or younger
8/10 – Favourites palced in the top 4
8/10 – Won between 0-3 times before
7/10 – Carried 10-12 or more
6/10 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
6/10 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/10 – Had raced at the track before
5/10 – Had won over at least this trip before
4/10 – French bred
4/10 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
2/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by David Pipe
2/10 – Ridden by AP McCoy
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1

5.35 - bet365 Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m4f

11/11 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
9/11 – Aged 7 or younger
9/11 – Favourites placed in the top 4
8/11 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles previously
8/11 – From outside the top 3 in the betting
8/11 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
7/11 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
7/11 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
7/11 – Unplaced in their last race
5/11 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
5/11 – French bred
5/11 – Won over 2m4f (or further) previously
4/11 – Raced at Sandown previously
3/11 – Won by the Pipe stable
3/11 – Ridden by AP McCoy
2/11 – Favourites (1 co)
1/11 – Won their last race
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 11/1

HAYDOCK (C4/RUK

2.20 - 888sport Handicap Cl2 1m CH4

Just one previous running
Trainer Karl Burke’s Yourartisonfire won the race in 2014
Trainer Richard Hannon has a 29% record with his older horses at the track
Trainer Tom Dascombe has a 20% record with his older horses at the track
Trainer Mick Appleby has a 20% record with his older horses at the track

RIPON (C4/ATR)

1.45 - At The Races Sky 415 Handicap Cl2 2m CH4

10/11 – Aged 6 or younger
9/11 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Won over at least 1m4f previously
8/11 – Carried 8-11 or more in weight
7/11 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
7/11 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
7/11 – From the top 3 in the betting
7/11 – Favourites placed
7/11 – Won at least 3 times previously (flat)
6/11 – Placed in their last race
6/11 – Won over 2m (flat) previously
6/11 – Ran at Ripon previously (3 won)
5/11 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/11 – Irish bred
5/11 – Raced at Kempton last time out
4/11 – Aged 4 years-old
3/11 – Won their last race
2/11 – Trained by Richard Fahey
The average winning SP in the last 9 renewals is 5/1
 
Here's todays list, hope it helps some although I appreciate stats are not the only way to look at a race........

Newmarket (C4/RUK)

2.00 - Makfi Suffolk Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m1f CH4¬

10/10 – Returned 12/1 or shorter
10/10 – Won at least twice previously
10/10 – Won over at least a mile previously
9/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/10 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
8/10 – Priced between 9/1 and 12/1 in the betting
8/10 – Raced at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
7/10 – Rated between 90 and 95
7/10 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
6/10 – Aged 4 years-old
4/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – Having their first run of the season
4/10 – Won their last race
3/10 – Came from stall 9
1/10 - Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 9/1

2.30 - Pearl Bloodstock Palace House Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f CH4

11/12 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
11/12 – Had won over 5f before¬¬
11/12 – Won 3 or more times before
10/12 – Priced 15/2 or shorter
10/12 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/12 – Rated between 108 and 114
9/12 – Aged 5 or younger
9/12 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/12 – Placed favourites
9/12 – Raced at Newmarket previously
8/12 – From the top 3 in the betting
7/12 – Won last time out
6/12 – Favourites
2/12 – Trained by Bryan Smart
5/12 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/12 – Aged 5 years-old
Sole Power has won the last 2 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 8/1

3.05 – Dunaden At Overbury Jockey Club Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m4f CH4

12/12 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/12 – Won between 3-5 times before
10/12 – Won over 1m4f previously
10/12 – From the top 3 in the betting
9/12 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or more
8/12 – Priced 5/2 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/12 – Officially Rated 112 or higher
7/12 – Favourites
6/12 – Won a Group race previously
6/12 – Aged 4 years-old
6/12 – Aged 5 years-old
5/12 – Having first run of the season
4/12 – Priced 7/4 in the betting
4/12 – Raced at Newbury last time out
4/12 – Won their last race
2/12 – Won by Mark Johnston
2/12 – Trained by Andre Fabre
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 10/3

3.45 – Qipco 2000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m CH4

13/13 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
11/13 – Won a Group race previously
11/13 – Won between 2-5 times previously
11/13 – Won over at least 7f previously
10/13 – Won their last race
10/13 – Winning distance – less than 2 lengths
8/13 – Won just 2 or 3 times in their career before
8/13 – Favourites placed
8/13 – From the top 3 in the betting
8/13 – Having their first run of the season
7/13 – Won by an Irish-based yard
7/13 – Irish bred
5/13 – Won over a mile previously
4/13 – Favourites
4/13 – Won at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
4/13 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (2 winners)
3/13 – Raced at the Curragh last time out
The average winning SP in the last 13 runnings is 11/1

Other 2,000 Guineas Facts
- Aidan O’Brien has won the race in 1998, 2002, 2005, 2006, 2008 & 2012
- Kieren Fallon rode the winner in 2000, 2001, 2005, 2006 & 2014

Goodwood (C4/RUK)

2.15 – Betfred TV EBF Stallions Daisy Warwick Stakes (Fillies´ & Mares) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f

4 previous runnings
4/4 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
3/4 – Aged 4 years-old
1/4 – Favourites
Trainer Luca Cumani has a 23% strike-rate with his older horses at the track
Trainer William Haggas has a 20% strike-rate with his older horses at the track

2.50 – Betfred "Goals Galore Extra" (Handicap) Cl2 7f

Just 2 previous runnings
Both winners carried between 8-10 and 8-12 in weight
Trainer Andrew Balding won the race last year
Trainer Ed Dunlop is just 1 from 24 with his older horses at the track
Jockey Sean Levey has a 23% record riding older horses at the track
 
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