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Very interesting result. With the second a 25/1 shot on his 10th run and the third a 20/1 shot on his 8th run, you might be hard pressed to justify a bare rating for the winner that involves them suddenly improving their OR by a significant amount.

For example, based on the ORs of the 4th, 5th, 7th and 9th you could justify a bare rating around 126. But that would involve the 2nd and 3rd improving by around 10lbs each.

Through the 6th and 8th, you'd get around 121, which would have the 2nd and 3rd improving by around 5lbs each.

The most conservative view would probably be that CC has simply run to a bare rating of 118 (his current OR), but with plenty in hand.

[QUOTE="Harbinger, post: 2246704, member: 65089"] Very interesting result. With the second a 25/1 shot on his 10th run and the third a 20/1 shot on his 8th run, you might be hard pressed to justify a bare rating for the winner that involves them suddenly improving their OR by a significant amount. For example, based on the ORs of the 4th, 5th, 7th and 9th you could justify a bare rating around 126. But that would involve the 2nd and 3rd improving by around 10lbs each. Through the 6th and 8th, you'd get around 121, which would have the 2nd and 3rd improving by around 5lbs each. The most conservative view would probably be that CC has simply run to a bare rating of 118 (his current OR), but with plenty in hand. [/QUOTE]

Verification: 5 + 3 = ?