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I just backed Vieux Lion Rouge, One For Arthur &The Last Samuri based on three simple stats.

1 They all be placed at 3 miles 3 furlongs or futher. The National is the longest race in the UK, and this eliminated most runs last year but kept the winner. It also found 75% of the last 20 winners, so is a very useful guide.

2 The National has the largest field in the UK, and I found a top 2 placings in a chase field of 16 or more runners a common feature amongst winners. Only 4 runners in past couple of decades didn't have this. However 2 of those did have a top 4 place. While one (Lord Gyllene ) was untried.

3 Signs of improvement, or at least a sign of been able to handle it's weight. The first half is a career best RPR over chases in current season ( I use Racing Post Ratings because they consistent and I've access to a horse's full career, but any rating system will do if they meet both criteria ), the second part is the Official Ratings. If it's won with a higher or at least the same Official Ratings it has been set in the National then I know it has a chance of winning.

<blockquote data-quote="Neal1962" data-source="post: 2565309" data-attributes="member: 66453">I just backed Vieux Lion Rouge, One For Arthur &amp;The Last Samuri based on three simple stats. <img src="https://cdn.jsdelivr.net/joypixels/assets/8.0/png/unicode/64/1f600.png" class="smilie smilie--emoji" loading="lazy" width="64" height="64" alt=":D" title="Big grin&nbsp; &nbsp; :D"&nbsp; data-smilie="8"data-shortname=":D" />1 They all be placed at 3 miles 3 furlongs or futher. The National is the longest race in the UK, and this eliminated most runs last year but kept the winner. It also found 75% of the last 20 winners, so is a very useful guide. <img src="/forums/styles/default/casinomeister/smilies/thumbsup.gif"&nbsp; class="smilie" loading="lazy" alt=":thumbsup:" title="Thumbsup&nbsp; &nbsp; :thumbsup:" data-shortname=":thumbsup:" />2 The National has the largest field in the UK, and I found a top 2 placings in a chase field of 16 or more runners a common feature amongst winners. Only 4 runners in past couple of decades didn&#039;t have this. However 2 of those did have a top 4 place. While one (Lord Gyllene ) was untried. <img src="/forums/styles/default/casinomeister/smilies/thumbsup.gif"&nbsp; class="smilie" loading="lazy" alt=":thumbsup:" title="Thumbsup&nbsp; &nbsp; :thumbsup:" data-shortname=":thumbsup:" />3 Signs of improvement, or at least a sign of been able to handle it&#039;s weight. The first half is a career best RPR over chases in current season ( I use Racing Post Ratings because they consistent and I&#039;ve access to a horse&#039;s full career, but any rating system will do if they meet both criteria ), the second part is the Official Ratings. If it&#039;s won with a higher or at least the same Official Ratings it has been set in the National then I know it has a chance of winning.&nbsp; <img src="/forums/styles/default/casinomeister/smilies/thumbsup.gif"&nbsp; class="smilie" loading="lazy" alt=":thumbsup:" title="Thumbsup&nbsp; &nbsp; :thumbsup:" data-shortname=":thumbsup:" /></blockquote>

[QUOTE="Neal1962, post: 2565309, member: 66453"] I just backed [B]Vieux Lion Rouge[/B], [B]One For Arthur[/B] &[B]The Last Samuri [/B]based on three simple stats. :D 1[I] They all be placed at 3 miles 3 furlongs or futher. The National is the longest race in the UK, and this eliminated most runs last year but kept the winner. It also found 75% of the last 20 winners, so is a very useful guide. [/I] :thumbsup: 2 [I]The National has the largest field in the UK, and I found a top 2 placings in a chase field of 16 or more runners a common feature amongst winners. Only 4 runners in past couple of decades didn't have this. However 2 of those did have a top 4 place. While one (Lord Gyllene ) was untried.[/I] :thumbsup: 3 [I]Signs of improvement, or at least a sign of been able to handle it's weight. The first half is a career best RPR over chases in current season ( I use Racing Post Ratings because they consistent and I've access to a horse's full career, but any rating system will do if they meet both criteria ), the second part is the Official Ratings. If it's won with a higher or at least the same Official Ratings it has been set in the National then I know it has a chance of winning.[/I] :thumbsup: [/QUOTE]

Verification: 5 + 3 = ?