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Well the 162 is what the official handicapper has gone for but, as I said, I think he could have gone a couple of pounds at least higher, with Sizing John around 169. That's still a disappointing winning figure for a Gold Cup, imo. Add on a little bit more sharpness in fine tuning the fitness come the National and we could be looking at the mid-high 160s for SDR.On top of that, he was a 165 hurdler and if he was fancied to win the Hennessy off 163, he'd really need to be a bare minimum 172 chaser. The way he was backed (into 9/2f) suggests they maybe felt that was his level. On my figures, if he'd run to that 172 level he'd still have struggled to be placed in what was a very, very hot renewal. I just suspect they felt after the Hennessy that 172 wasn't going to be good enough for the Gold Cup (with Cue Card etc around) so set about getting his mark down for a tilt at the National. Of course, I could be miles out with this one but I'm happy with my bets (on at 50s, laid off at 20s, backed again NRNB/BOG at 18/1.)

<blockquote data-quote="Desert Orchid" data-source="post: 2565442" data-attributes="member: 65242"><p>Well the 162 is what the official handicapper has gone for but, as I said, I think he could have gone a couple of pounds at least higher, with Sizing John around 169. That&#039;s still a disappointing winning figure for a Gold Cup, imo. Add on a little bit more sharpness in fine tuning the fitness come the National and we could be looking at the mid-high 160s for SDR.On top of that, he was a 165 hurdler and if he was fancied to win the Hennessy off 163, he&#039;d really need to be a bare minimum 172 chaser. The way he was backed (into 9/2f) suggests they maybe felt that was his level. On my figures, if he&#039;d run to that 172 level he&#039;d still have struggled to be placed in what was a very, very hot renewal. I just suspect they felt after the Hennessy that 172 wasn&#039;t going to be good enough for the Gold Cup (with Cue Card etc around) so set about getting his mark down for a tilt at the National. Of course, I could be miles out with this one but I&#039;m happy with my bets (on at 50s, laid off at 20s, backed again NRNB/BOG at 18/1.)</p></blockquote><p></p>

[QUOTE="Desert Orchid, post: 2565442, member: 65242"] Well the 162 is what the official handicapper has gone for but, as I said, I think he could have gone a couple of pounds at least higher, with Sizing John around 169. That's still a disappointing winning figure for a Gold Cup, imo. Add on a little bit more sharpness in fine tuning the fitness come the National and we could be looking at the mid-high 160s for SDR.On top of that, he was a 165 hurdler and if he was fancied to win the Hennessy off 163, he'd really need to be a bare minimum 172 chaser. The way he was backed (into 9/2f) suggests they maybe felt that was his level. On my figures, if he'd run to that 172 level he'd still have struggled to be placed in what was a very, very hot renewal. I just suspect they felt after the Hennessy that 172 wasn't going to be good enough for the Gold Cup (with Cue Card etc around) so set about getting his mark down for a tilt at the National. Of course, I could be miles out with this one but I'm happy with my bets (on at 50s, laid off at 20s, backed again NRNB/BOG at 18/1.) [/QUOTE]

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