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Even if it does happen, how effective a strategy is it?The weight-range for this year's 40 runners is going to be about 18lbs. A trainer has to be very precise, and reasonably confident he knows what's in the handicappers head, if such a strategy is to be successful, as you can easily not get a run these days, due to the compression of the ratings.Those at the head of the weights are typically going to be G1 horses, routinely running for prize-money which is well worth winning, without even thinking about the Nash. Is Carlingford Lough routinely being 'run-under' in these races to get his mark down for the National, or is he just a marginal G1 horse who was harshly handicapped, and is now slipping down the ratings towards a mark more commensurate with his talent?For those further down the list, how does a trainer know when to stop running-under, and still be certain of getting into the 40?Are trainers really that clever? I have my doubts.

<blockquote data-quote="Grasshopper" data-source="post: 2565452" data-attributes="member: 65342"><p>Even if it does happen, how effective a strategy is it?The weight-range for this year&#039;s 40 runners is going to be about 18lbs. A trainer has to be very precise, and reasonably confident he knows what&#039;s in the handicappers head, if such a strategy is to be successful, as you can easily not get a run these days, due to the compression of the ratings.Those at the head of the weights are typically going to be G1 horses, routinely running for prize-money which is well worth winning, without even thinking about the Nash. Is Carlingford Lough routinely being &#039;run-under&#039; in these races to get his mark down for the National, or is he just a marginal G1 horse who was harshly handicapped, and is now slipping down the ratings towards a mark more commensurate with his talent?For those further down the list, how does a trainer know when to stop running-under, and still be certain of getting into the 40?Are trainers really that clever? I have my doubts.</p></blockquote><p></p>

[QUOTE="Grasshopper, post: 2565452, member: 65342"] Even if it does happen, how effective a strategy is it?The weight-range for this year's 40 runners is going to be about 18lbs. A trainer has to be very precise, and reasonably confident he knows what's in the handicappers head, if such a strategy is to be successful, as you can easily not get a run these days, due to the compression of the ratings.Those at the head of the weights are typically going to be G1 horses, routinely running for prize-money which is well worth winning, without even thinking about the Nash. Is Carlingford Lough routinely being 'run-under' in these races to get his mark down for the National, or is he just a marginal G1 horse who was harshly handicapped, and is now slipping down the ratings towards a mark more commensurate with his talent?For those further down the list, how does a trainer know when to stop running-under, and still be certain of getting into the 40?Are trainers really that clever? I have my doubts. [/QUOTE]

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