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Ascot 1:30 - Appier has been plying his trade at a lower level than what he encounters today, but he has a very good strike rate,  3/12 on turf, and 4/9 on the all weather. He won four races on the bounce in 2022 after being gelded, and has picked up races here and there since. I would forget the last run, where he was too slow out the stalls and overly keen. He can run a lot better today. When he has won these lower class races in the past, he's been quite impressive, so I think there's a chance he'll handle the step up in grade just fine.


5 + 3 = ?
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