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I take your point, but whether it's stats on age or anything else, IMO you have to be ahead of the curve to get a value edge and that means flying a kite on less than an absolutely overwhelming wealth of evidence sometimes.

If you wait for a trend to become crystal clear, the world and his wife know about it by then and it's factored into the market.

7yo-9yo and Irish yielded me I Am Maximus at 25/1 ante-post last year, not as good as it sounds as I had an extensive portfolio on the race, but it was still a decent result and I'll stick with that line of thinking all the time I think there's mileage in it.

[QUOTE="Ian_Davies, post: 2691833, member: 66646"] I take your point, but whether it's stats on age or anything else, IMO you have to be ahead of the curve to get a value edge and that means flying a kite on less than an absolutely overwhelming wealth of evidence sometimes. If you wait for a trend to become crystal clear, the world and his wife know about it by then and it's factored into the market. 7yo-9yo and Irish yielded me I Am Maximus at 25/1 ante-post last year, not as good as it sounds as I had an extensive portfolio on the race, but it was still a decent result and I'll stick with that line of thinking all the time I think there's mileage in it. [/QUOTE]

Verification: 5 + 3 = ?