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Have another look, Alex.

Watch how CB is right behind EA on the rail going as well as anything four out. Immediately after the fence IAM edges out - could this be where Townend won the race? - and moves alongside him. Look at the ones who go past EA on his outer and move several lengths ahead. CB has nowhere to go and when he eventually gets out the ones who were alongside him a furlong earlier are about 10 lengths in front. CB is now at least five lengths behind IAM and then asked to go after that group and jumps the second last right alongside IAM but at that stage of a race like the National that effort takes its toll. He wasn't far off the lead at the last and was looked after (hands and heels at best from the last).

I'm not suggesting that CB would have gone close to winning but he'd probably have finished alongside or just behind Kitty's Light and I think he's been treated very leniently by the handicapper this time. It isn't hard to imagine that Gainford gave Elliott a glowing report on how the horse had run and jumped and that another attempt off a much lower mark twelve months hence was immediately planned. He looked like winning the Pardubicka (same trip as Aintree) when unseating two out and has been running in bank & cross-country races this season apart from a schooling session in the Thyestes under a 7lbs claimer.

I'm not saying CB will win this year. I'm just saying his price is wrong.

<blockquote data-quote="Desert Orchid" data-source="post: 2694406" data-attributes="member: 65242">Have another look, Alex.Watch how CB is right behind EA on the rail going as well as anything four out. Immediately after the fence IAM edges out - could this be where Townend won the race? - and moves alongside him. Look at the ones who go past EA on his outer and move several lengths ahead. CB has nowhere to go and when he eventually gets out the ones who were alongside him a furlong earlier are about 10 lengths in front. CB is now at least five lengths behind IAM and then asked to go after that group and jumps the second last right alongside IAM but at that stage of a race like the National that effort takes its toll. He wasn&#039;t far off the lead at the last and was looked after (hands and heels at best from the last).I&#039;m not suggesting that CB would have gone close to winning but he&#039;d probably have finished alongside or just behind Kitty&#039;s Light and I think he&#039;s been treated very leniently by the handicapper this time. It isn&#039;t hard to imagine that Gainford gave Elliott a glowing report on how the horse had run and jumped and that another attempt off a much lower mark twelve months hence was immediately planned. He looked like winning the Pardubicka (same trip as Aintree) when unseating two out and has been running in bank &amp; cross-country races this season apart from a schooling session in the Thyestes under a 7lbs claimer.I&#039;m not saying CB will win this year. I&#039;m just saying his price is wrong.</blockquote>

[QUOTE="Desert Orchid, post: 2694406, member: 65242"] Have another look, Alex. Watch how CB is right behind EA on the rail going as well as anything four out. Immediately after the fence IAM edges out - could this be where Townend won the race? - and moves alongside him. Look at the ones who go past EA on his outer and move several lengths ahead. CB has nowhere to go and when he eventually gets out the ones who were alongside him a furlong earlier are about 10 lengths in front. CB is now at least five lengths behind IAM and then asked to go after that group and jumps the second last right alongside IAM but at that stage of a race like the National that effort takes its toll. He wasn't far off the lead at the last and was looked after (hands and heels at best from the last). I'm not suggesting that CB would have gone close to winning but he'd probably have finished alongside or just behind Kitty's Light and I think he's been treated very leniently by the handicapper this time. It isn't hard to imagine that Gainford gave Elliott a glowing report on how the horse had run and jumped and that another attempt off a much lower mark twelve months hence was immediately planned. He looked like winning the Pardubicka (same trip as Aintree) when unseating two out and has been running in bank & cross-country races this season apart from a schooling session in the Thyestes under a 7lbs claimer. I'm not saying CB will win this year. I'm just saying his price is wrong. [/QUOTE]

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