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[ATTACH=full]24048[/ATTACH]

The likes of Lattam and Mr Professor showed their best form last season in this race and are rated on that so it gives an idea of how much more difficult this will be for them. The ground doesn’t look like being as soft as in some recent years but I’m still very surprised that the NH track has been racing on ground that’s been producing fast times all spring yet with little rain about we’re faced with good-to-soft for this meeting. If he isn’t inconvenienced by the going, draw or luck in running, I think Oliver Shaw might be a bit of a good thing.

I reckon it is only a matter of time before punters wake up to the fact that this is officially the best handicapped horse in the race, 6lbs well in for having run to a career best in Bahrain last time. It's the kind of thing the likes of RPRs don't pick up on as they tend to go very conservative with the form there. The handicapper has recognised that the form is good but I think it is another six or seven pounds better again hence the horse comes out clear top on my figures. The 15 draw is probably okay. Originally with Michael Stoute it would have been categorized as a typical late developer, the type he did so well with as the horse matured, and Boughey has been bringing about that improvement. The horse has form on slow turf and on slow AW surfaces and won't mind any drying out. Loughnane is riding at 16% for the trainer this calendar year, rising to 62% first-four finishes. If I were a bookie I wouldn't want to be going any longer than 7/2 about Oliver Show. Sean and Dual Identity look worth having onside given their ratings and odds but I’d have concerns about their draws. Magnum Opus wouldn’t have got in without his penalty but the Crisfords can keep eking improvement out of these types. I got some sweetie money on Beringer at 100/1 at ante-post terms the other day, half-expecting to get my money back if he didn’t make the cut and ended up in the consolation race. If I can cash out for no loss I’ll re-bet it at the better place terms and guarantees on Saturday morning. Galeron was racing abroad last season but the year before he was running in G1s so could be fancied if getting back to that level on his return to this yard who also had the potentially well-handicapped Cicero’s Gift in at the five-day stage. If they think Galeron might be better handicapped he could be a player.

<blockquote data-quote="Desert Orchid" data-source="post: 2697070" data-attributes="member: 65242">[ATTACH=full]24048[/ATTACH]The likes of Lattam and Mr Professor showed their best form last season in this race and are rated on that so it gives an idea of how much more difficult this will be for them. The ground doesn’t look like being as soft as in some recent years but I’m still very surprised that the NH track has been racing on ground that’s been producing fast times all spring yet with little rain about we’re faced with good-to-soft for this meeting. If he isn’t inconvenienced by the going, draw or luck in running, I think Oliver Shaw might be a bit of a good thing.I reckon it is only a matter of time before punters wake up to the fact that this is officially the best handicapped horse in the race, 6lbs well in for having run to a career best in Bahrain last time. It&#039;s the kind of thing the likes of RPRs don&#039;t pick up on as they tend to go very conservative with the form there. The handicapper has recognised that the form is good but I think it is another six or seven pounds better again hence the horse comes out clear top on my figures. The 15 draw is probably okay. Originally with Michael Stoute it would have been categorized as a typical late developer, the type he did so well with as the horse matured, and Boughey has been bringing about that improvement. The horse has form on slow turf and on slow AW surfaces and won&#039;t mind any drying out. Loughnane is riding at 16% for the trainer this calendar year, rising to 62% first-four finishes. If I were a bookie I wouldn&#039;t want to be going any longer than 7/2 about Oliver Show. Sean and Dual Identity look worth having onside given their ratings and odds but I’d have concerns about their draws. Magnum Opus wouldn’t have got in without his penalty but the Crisfords can keep eking improvement out of these types. I got some sweetie money on Beringer at 100/1 at ante-post terms the other day, half-expecting to get my money back if he didn’t make the cut and ended up in the consolation race. If I can cash out for no loss I’ll re-bet it at the better place terms and guarantees on Saturday morning. Galeron was racing abroad last season but the year before he was running in G1s so could be fancied if getting back to that level on his return to this yard who also had the potentially well-handicapped Cicero’s Gift in at the five-day stage. If they think Galeron might be better handicapped he could be a player.</blockquote>

[QUOTE="Desert Orchid, post: 2697070, member: 65242"] [ATTACH type="full" alt="1743098215744.png"]24048[/ATTACH] The likes of Lattam and Mr Professor showed their best form last season in this race and are rated on that so it gives an idea of how much more difficult this will be for them. The ground doesn’t look like being as soft as in some recent years but I’m still very surprised that the NH track has been racing on ground that’s been producing fast times all spring yet with little rain about we’re faced with good-to-soft for this meeting. If he isn’t inconvenienced by the going, draw or luck in running, I think Oliver Shaw might be a bit of a good thing. I reckon it is only a matter of time before punters wake up to the fact that this is officially the best handicapped horse in the race, 6lbs well in for having run to a career best in Bahrain last time. It's the kind of thing the likes of RPRs don't pick up on as they tend to go very conservative with the form there. The handicapper has recognised that the form is good but I think it is another six or seven pounds better again hence the horse comes out clear top on my figures. The 15 draw is probably okay. Originally with Michael Stoute it would have been categorized as a typical late developer, the type he did so well with as the horse matured, and Boughey has been bringing about that improvement. The horse has form on slow turf and on slow AW surfaces and won't mind any drying out. Loughnane is riding at 16% for the trainer this calendar year, rising to 62% first-four finishes. If I were a bookie I wouldn't want to be going any longer than 7/2 about Oliver Show. Sean and Dual Identity look worth having onside given their ratings and odds but I’d have concerns about their draws. Magnum Opus wouldn’t have got in without his penalty but the Crisfords can keep eking improvement out of these types. I got some sweetie money on Beringer at 100/1 at ante-post terms the other day, half-expecting to get my money back if he didn’t make the cut and ended up in the consolation race. If I can cash out for no loss I’ll re-bet it at the better place terms and guarantees on Saturday morning. Galeron was racing abroad last season but the year before he was running in G1s so could be fancied if getting back to that level on his return to this yard who also had the potentially well-handicapped Cicero’s Gift in at the five-day stage. If they think Galeron might be better handicapped he could be a player. [/QUOTE]

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