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Well he seems to have wheeled Elizabeth in recent weeks and there's a kind of unwritten rule that anyone who attacks her is committing electoral suicide. She plays well with voters.

I should perhaps recant a story of a drink i had with some visiting professor whose based at Pembroke Collge I think it was? I gave him my logic on Edwards and the composition of the college vote and Hilary's inability to carry the South etc and he was mightly impressed and said I'd got a better take on things than he's under graduates   I felt empowered. He wanted to know which College I was at, and although lying was an option it would quickly unravel so I played it straight. Suffice to say the wind slowly came out of my sails as it became apparent he was a personal friend of "Johnny" and committed Democrat, and therefore my theories would only have been a case of him hearing what he believed himself.

Still I was still emboldend, until he told me who he thought would probably win. Guiliani

What i hadn't appreciated was that the Democratic vote was essentially "stupid" and had a habit of finding the most unelectable candidate it could (mind you, you might expect such sentiments from a cynical academic). His idea was that they'll elect Hillary eventually, before it dawned on them "too late" that she can't win them the White House by virtue of failing in the South. The more savvy Republicans will by this time have recognised that Rudy can beat her, and however unpalatable that may be to neo cons and religious zealots alike, it presents the less of two evils if she's the alternative.

My hope of course is that Edwards can get a bandwagon rolling and that money and bodies, which he lags behind in, will flow in as backers hedge etc