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Georoid - Americans can't use betting exchanges (i believe ?) so i'd I 've thought a lot of what you're getting is opinion that reflects European media coverage which has become intoxicated on Hillary Clinton and Barrack Obama and drip fed it for about 12 months now. 38 is a fair trading position, especially as Edwards could well win Iowa, in which he'd have to collapse given the volatility of American polling. Hillary's made a few 'big city' gaffes there, and Obama's being put under pressure. I can't think there's any point in backing Edwards at half the odds to win the nomination? If he succeeds in this, he'll win the White House (the Presidency is the easy bit, the candidacy will be the tougher assignment). Take the bigger price for the bigger prize if you're going to get involved.

I think your Republican call is spot on, Trackside- and expect Romney could well be toast by Wednesday (our time). That would be my reading of it as things stand today

I still can't see Hillary carrying the South. Her figures will be pretty well the same today as they will be in 12 months time I reckon, as people tend to have fixed an opinion on her by now, and don't change it. Having said that, if she can get Florida, it'll be game over, she can afford to let the Republicans keep all their other states, and even let a few of the smaller ones go red if she can turn the Sunshine state blue. Which means it's going to come down against getting the urban vote in Miami, Tampa and Jacksonville out against the pan handle. Mind you, the state governor will probably have disqualified half the population from voting by then (again)

<blockquote data-quote="Warbler" data-source="post: 2099594" data-attributes="member: 65228">Georoid - Americans can&#039;t use betting exchanges (i believe ?) so i&#039;d I &#039;ve thought a lot of what you&#039;re getting is opinion that reflects European media coverage which has become intoxicated on Hillary Clinton and Barrack Obama and drip fed it for about 12 months now. 38 is a fair trading position, especially as Edwards could well win Iowa, in which he&#039;d have to collapse given the volatility of American polling. Hillary&#039;s made a few &#039;big city&#039; gaffes there, and Obama&#039;s being put under pressure. I can&#039;t think there&#039;s any point in backing Edwards at half the odds to win the nomination? If he succeeds in this, he&#039;ll win the White House (the Presidency is the easy bit, the candidacy will be the tougher assignment). Take the bigger price for the bigger prize if you&#039;re going to get involved.I think your Republican call is spot on, Trackside-&nbsp; and expect Romney could well be toast by Wednesday (our time). That would be my reading of it as things stand todayI still can&#039;t see Hillary carrying the South. Her figures will be pretty well the same today as they will be in 12 months time I reckon, as people tend to have fixed an opinion on her by now, and don&#039;t change it. Having said that, if she can get Florida, it&#039;ll be game over, she can afford to let the Republicans keep all their other states, and even let a few of the smaller ones go red if she can turn the Sunshine state blue. Which means it&#039;s going to come down against getting the urban vote in Miami, Tampa and Jacksonville out against the pan handle. Mind you, the state governor will probably have disqualified half the population from voting by then (again)</blockquote>

[QUOTE="Warbler, post: 2099594, member: 65228"] Georoid - Americans can't use betting exchanges (i believe ?) so i'd I 've thought a lot of what you're getting is opinion that reflects European media coverage which has become intoxicated on Hillary Clinton and Barrack Obama and drip fed it for about 12 months now. 38 is a fair trading position, especially as Edwards could well win Iowa, in which he'd have to collapse given the volatility of American polling. Hillary's made a few 'big city' gaffes there, and Obama's being put under pressure. I can't think there's any point in backing Edwards at half the odds to win the nomination? If he succeeds in this, he'll win the White House (the Presidency is the easy bit, the candidacy will be the tougher assignment). Take the bigger price for the bigger prize if you're going to get involved. I think your Republican call is spot on, Trackside- and expect Romney could well be toast by Wednesday (our time). That would be my reading of it as things stand today I still can't see Hillary carrying the South. Her figures will be pretty well the same today as they will be in 12 months time I reckon, as people tend to have fixed an opinion on her by now, and don't change it. Having said that, if she can get Florida, it'll be game over, she can afford to let the Republicans keep all their other states, and even let a few of the smaller ones go red if she can turn the Sunshine state blue. Which means it's going to come down against getting the urban vote in Miami, Tampa and Jacksonville out against the pan handle. Mind you, the state governor will probably have disqualified half the population from voting by then (again) [/QUOTE]

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