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I'd agree with you Trefflich if I thought that Barbers Shop was still a capable racehorse but he's not been seen out in nearly 15 months and last time he ran they were trying the blinkers on him for hte first time (debatable whether cheek pieces had worked given he'd been soundly beaten each time he'd worn them).  The 147 rating is to me a very false indication of his ability and his only wins over fences have been going RH at Kempton (beaten the decent at the time Russian Around), LH at Newbury (though he was 1/5) and against Abbeybraney again RH at Sandown.  I've always been of the opinion that Barbers Shop is overated and Eleazar is no mug in his own right having run Southwestern close on that horses favourite track in a big Hunter Chase at Stratford last year and previously beaten the injury prone (but v v decent) Dante's Storm at Uttoxeter.  Eleazar also has proven course form and but for falling in a Novice Chase would have won his last two starts at this track, he was also a very decent hurdler and it was less than 2 years ago that he was running in the Coral Cup at Cheltenham.


Will be laying Barbers Shop today @ 1.68.


Regarding the Sandown race I'd agree that Gwanako is the most likely winner but having priced the race up last night I think he's underpriced at 9/4, it was a very solid effort in defeat at Larkhill and he'll have a decent young jockey on board today but for me the horse who's seriously overpriced is the Irish challenger Jamadiel, it's hard to take his recent P2P starts without a large dose of cynicism given how close he got to Foxhunters favourite Backstage on his most recent outings but I can see him running into a place in this, the drop in trip is a concern but this will be his first outing in a Hunter Chase having previously contested the Military races around here.


Blackstaff would be the one from the leading contenders for me as he looked a highly progressive youngster last season for the Williams' and Lizzie Kelly with the latter giving him a very positive ride at Exeter for her Maiden triumph before being badly hampered and effectively put out of the race during the Intermediate Final at Cheltenham, I don't see the drop back in tirp being a problem and whilst Gwanako and Heron's Well will be tough to beat (Putney Bridge too if returning in the same form that he was in when last seen) I think he looks a decent E/W price.


Good luck today Trefflich - fingers crossed for some more profits :)


Martin


5 + 3 = ?
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