betsmate
At the Start
- Joined
- Dec 7, 2004
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I’m sure all eyes will be on today’s feature, the Class 3 Play Golf At Southwell Golf Club Handicap…
Desperation has drawn me to looking at this fodder, but in the spirit of “where there’s muck, there’s brass” it saves me doing any real work.
Xpres Maite is the 2/1 favourite, presumably based on his last run and win over course and distance. That run broke a sequence of 11 straight defeats and only the fact that everything went his way was he able to defy his career-high mark. Today he is up another five pounds and takes another step up in class.
The opposition:
Ingleby Arch is a regular on the northern Class 2/3 circuit. Three of his six wins have come over today’s course and distance, one of which less than a year ago came off a mark of 84. Today he runs off 79 (has won off 97 on the turf). Probably the class horse of the race, but he needs to bounce back from a disappointing effort last time out.
Realt Na Mara won over course and distance last time out. Two out of four of his victories have been over course and distance. Just over a year ago he gave a 1 length and 5lb beating to Xpress Maite; today he is in receipt of 12lb! Runs off 73 today, which would be a career-high win, but he does have a C&D second off 74. 18 career starts might just make him the least-exposed of this thoroughly exposed bunch!
Bo McGinty’s price reflects that he is a 5f horse running over 6f. A couple of victories at Southwell show that he likes the place well enough. He has won once over 6f and he placed in a trappy Class 2 round here last year. Also placed over 6f in a Class 3 here. Not a frequent winner, but always in this kind of company whereas others in the race are stepping up from Class 5 and 6s. 4lb below his last winning mark.
Came Back has won 7 of his 14 starts in the last year. 5 of which have been over course and distance. That said, the most recent have been at a lowly level. A Class 3 victory off 90 at Great Leighs and a career high win mark of 92 a couple of months ago, make today’s 82 seem fair.
Thoughtsofstardom would appear to need the minimum trip at a lower class.
Verdict
Realt Na Mara and to a lesser extent Came Back make the most appeal at the prices, whilst Ingleby Arch could well win again at this level. I’d want to be against the favourite all day though and a straight lay in a field of six is my call. I’d be hopeful that one of three or four could step up and beat him.
Desperation has drawn me to looking at this fodder, but in the spirit of “where there’s muck, there’s brass” it saves me doing any real work.
Xpres Maite is the 2/1 favourite, presumably based on his last run and win over course and distance. That run broke a sequence of 11 straight defeats and only the fact that everything went his way was he able to defy his career-high mark. Today he is up another five pounds and takes another step up in class.
The opposition:
Ingleby Arch is a regular on the northern Class 2/3 circuit. Three of his six wins have come over today’s course and distance, one of which less than a year ago came off a mark of 84. Today he runs off 79 (has won off 97 on the turf). Probably the class horse of the race, but he needs to bounce back from a disappointing effort last time out.
Realt Na Mara won over course and distance last time out. Two out of four of his victories have been over course and distance. Just over a year ago he gave a 1 length and 5lb beating to Xpress Maite; today he is in receipt of 12lb! Runs off 73 today, which would be a career-high win, but he does have a C&D second off 74. 18 career starts might just make him the least-exposed of this thoroughly exposed bunch!
Bo McGinty’s price reflects that he is a 5f horse running over 6f. A couple of victories at Southwell show that he likes the place well enough. He has won once over 6f and he placed in a trappy Class 2 round here last year. Also placed over 6f in a Class 3 here. Not a frequent winner, but always in this kind of company whereas others in the race are stepping up from Class 5 and 6s. 4lb below his last winning mark.
Came Back has won 7 of his 14 starts in the last year. 5 of which have been over course and distance. That said, the most recent have been at a lowly level. A Class 3 victory off 90 at Great Leighs and a career high win mark of 92 a couple of months ago, make today’s 82 seem fair.
Thoughtsofstardom would appear to need the minimum trip at a lower class.
Verdict
Realt Na Mara and to a lesser extent Came Back make the most appeal at the prices, whilst Ingleby Arch could well win again at this level. I’d want to be against the favourite all day though and a straight lay in a field of six is my call. I’d be hopeful that one of three or four could step up and beat him.
