Allow me to help you then. I called the precise conservative majority wrong by just 2 seats (better than John Cuttice who the BBC were wetting themselves over) and everyone else who was saying it would be a hung parliament. You by contrast failed to get just a couple of hand picked Scottish constituencies correct, and said they'd all stay Labour IIRC?
for Simmo's benefit (posted on April 3rd)
"Personally I tend to think that Conseravtives will sneak a small overall majority, with many of the undecideds breaking their way on the day."
(posted on May 5th)
"My own suspicion is that the undecideds will break for the Tories in the last 24 hrs and they'll just sneak a small majority"
and on Election day itself (May 7th)
"So I think the Tories get a small majority of 10ish"
I'll let you do the maths but here's the result
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Kingdom_general_election,_2015
I'm also reminded looking back at the thread that I've backed George Osborne at 20/1 to be the next PM, which although not a won bet clearly, considering that he's currently top priced 15/8 most people would consider it decent judgement. Another thing on the election thread that I just noted too was that you didn't know how to even calculate swing and had to have that explained when you suggest that 45% to 52% in a yes/ no referendum was a 7% swing! -
Personally, I'd prefer to write a lot of shite and be right, it's a better feeling -
