Just coming back to Bloomberg, he's a credible punt isn't he, even at 33/1 as a potential arb
So far as I can work out, he'll come into the picture if Hillary looks wobbly. If she loses the nomination, I think he'll stand for two reasons
1: Patriotic duty - he won't want the country facing a choice of Cruz/ Trump v's Sanders
2: He could quite conceivably win - There will be a genuine big middle ground. America aren't a nations of fascists, nor are they a nation of socialists
If we say that NH is lost for her already, and IA goes the same way, then she goes into the next round wounded. He might have his hand forced. Backing Bloomberg at 33/1 might be another way of backing Sanders at 7/4 for Iowa
If Ross Perot could reach 18% against a more credible field of Bill Clinton and an incumbent George H (and he was certifiable) then the better qualified and more electable Bloomberg must be capable of getting close to 30% against Trump and Sanders
Another market to consider is the Vice Presidency. As things stand, its his for the asking (or could be in a few months). The bigger question is does he want it? If he does, then he has a really strong hand. If all did was replicate Perot, he could play either candidate for a job of his choice. In fact he could play Clinton now?
"Hillary I want to be Veep, if you say no, I'll stand against you and you can kiss goodbye to your life's goal. If you say yes and renege, then I'll go public and stand against you as a Hillary Clinton is a dishonest liar candidate"
Now I'd like to see her sell that one to the Democrat party? He might very well be politically very close to her, and by no means incompatible on policy, but he did govern New York as a Republican
