Trump did of course own the Miss Universe franchise for years so would naturally be revolted at the whole concept of a news presenter trading off her blonde hair and photo shoots
He also described katie Hopkins as a "respected columnist"
OK, I'm going to own up to having backed Rubio at 25/1. His was the name that was coming out of Reddit as the likely springer. The logic is there to justify it.
I'm persuaded by the explanation that lies in how the dynamics of a caucus works. Rubio has more people on the ground working the halls for him. He also has the tacit support of the establishment who can mobilise their local representatives to call in support in his favour. Sitting around in zero temperatures for 2 hours listening to local community leaders plead their respective cases is going to influence people more than a 2 minute secret ballot.
It's true that the moderate vote is being diluted amongst candidates, but so too is the right wing vote. I think the moderates might be nearer to settling on an accommodation as they've faced this thing for longer now and wrestled with it accordingly. I did say earlier that Jeb Bush might be the one who ultimately emerges from this wing of the party. I still think that's possible, but remember the observation was made on his money raising and hence ability to stay in the race rather than any waves he's making. He is also raising money consistently along the east coast. Iowa's one of these mid west type agricultural semi backwaters and needn't be his gig. It probably breaks better for Rubio
If there was such thing as an each way bet, I'd be confident that 25/1 (Skybet) is a steal. I can see some sort of accident happening with the right wingers though. Carson only needs to recover a few points to start damaging Cruz. Trump's support could be anything, provided it exists.
It's probably a lost bet, but I don't think he's a 25/1 shot. I don't believe Trump should be 1/2. That's madness for an unproven 2yo based purely on his own gallops work. I make Rubio closer to 8/1 and note that the Skybet price is an outlier. Hills and PP as short as 10's. Ladbrokes 12's
Rick Sanatorium won Iowa 4 years ago from a lower start point than Rubio, and Mike Huckerbee won before him (both are heading over to Trumps rally to support the veterans when their bit is finished rather than staying on for the main debate incidentally). At least Fiorina is saying its a cheesy stunt by Trump and she's not going to dignify it with an appearance (so expect her to show up as well)
