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International Hcap, Ascot, Saturday - I've gone in a shade heavy on Motakhayyel at 11/2. He picks up just a 3lb penalty for the Bunbury Cup but probably had at least that in reserve and, despite that, will be 6lbs well in. I think his new mark is pretty lenient and on my figures he is a G1 horse at the trip. If my figures are anywhere near correct, half those odds might be generous.

However, Matthew Flinders will be officially 10lbs well in following his excellent second to Safe Voyage at Chester. Again, I think if the form can be taken at face value the rise might turn out to be lenient. I've saved on him at 15/2 and can see him being punted into 5/2 but I fancy Motakhayyel to give him the weight.

It's almost a waste of time studying the rest of the race...

<blockquote data-quote="Desert Orchid" data-source="post: 2631094" data-attributes="member: 65242">International Hcap, Ascot, Saturday - I&#039;ve gone in a shade heavy on Motakhayyel at 11/2. He picks up just a 3lb penalty for the Bunbury Cup but probably had at least that in reserve and, despite that, will be 6lbs well in. I think his new mark is pretty lenient and on my figures he is a G1 horse at the trip. If my figures are anywhere near correct, half those odds might be generous.However, Matthew Flinders will be officially 10lbs well in following his excellent second to Safe Voyage at Chester. Again, I think if the form can be taken at face value the rise might turn out to be lenient. I&#039;ve saved on him at 15/2 and can see him being punted into 5/2 but I fancy Motakhayyel to give him the weight.It&#039;s almost a waste of time studying the rest of the race...</blockquote>

[QUOTE="Desert Orchid, post: 2631094, member: 65242"] [B]International Hcap, Ascot, Saturday[/B] - I've gone in a shade heavy on [B]Motakhayyel[/B] at [B]11/2[/B]. He picks up just a 3lb penalty for the Bunbury Cup but probably had at least that in reserve and, despite that, will be 6lbs well in. I think his new mark is pretty lenient and on my figures he is a G1 horse at the trip. If my figures are anywhere near correct, half those odds might be generous. However, [B]Matthew Flinders[/B] will be officially 10lbs well in following his excellent second to Safe Voyage at Chester. Again, I think if the form can be taken at face value the rise might turn out to be lenient. I've saved on him at [B]15/2[/B] and can see him being punted into 5/2 but I fancy Motakhayyel to give him the weight. It's almost a waste of time studying the rest of the race... [/QUOTE]

Verification: 5 + 3 = ?