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I really don't fancy Hermes Allen at all in the Scilly Isles today, and think this is a great opportunity to oppose an odds-on shot. I think he's both a stayer and a mudlark, and figure his price is more a reflection of him being the only horse to finish in the same parish as Il Est Francais over Christmas, than any superiority her might have over this opposition.

He has to be vulnerable over 2m4f on Good ground, and my preference is to stick with the two horses who have decent form on the ground and at the trip; namely Le Patron and Djelo. I can't really split the pair, so I'll back Djelo (unlucky faller LTO) at the bigger price of the two - 6/1- Betfair - and cover with a reverse forecast.

[QUOTE="Grasshopper, post: 2636430, member: 65342"] I really don't fancy Hermes Allen at all in the Scilly Isles today, and think this is a great opportunity to oppose an odds-on shot. I think he's both a stayer and a mudlark, and figure his price is more a reflection of him being the only horse to finish in the same parish as Il Est Francais over Christmas, than any superiority her might have over this opposition. He has to be vulnerable over 2m4f on Good ground, and my preference is to stick with the two horses who have decent form on the ground and at the trip; namely Le Patron and Djelo. I can't really split the pair, so I'll back Djelo (unlucky faller LTO) at the bigger price of the two - 6/1- Betfair - and cover with a reverse forecast. [/QUOTE]

Verification: 5 + 3 = ?