Maxbet
Journeyman
- Joined
- Dec 31, 2013
- Messages
- 2,059
Whills....Will there 33/1 challenge:
This is actually a 64/1 chance based on 2 x 2 etc, but is it any value with some hindsight and a little calculated foresight from TH members...
Question 1) Will there be 12 or more Irish winners? Yes/no
There were 12 last year.
I am going for Yes, a lot will depend on what looks like a very strong first day, if this goes awry then they will struggle.
Question 2) Will AP McCoy get 2 or more winners? Yes/no
He rode 1 last year.
I am going for Yes, J P looks to have a few well handicapped.
Question 3) Will the biggest winning distance for any race be 18 lengths or more? Yes/no
Last year was 8 lengths.
I am going for Yes, sadly because it would be my only no.
Question 4) Will the biggest winning starting price be 33/1 or higher? Yes/no
Here are the last 10 years: 33/1, 33/1, 50/1, 40/1, 40/1, 40/1, 50/1, 66/1, 40/1, 50/1.
I am going for Yes based on the statistic above.
Question 5) Will Willie Mullins train 5 or more winners? Yes/no
He trained 4 last year.
I am going for Yes, a strong first day and some handicap plots.
Question 6) Will there be 8 or more winning favs – includes joint/co favs? Yes/no
There were 6 last year.
I am going for Yes because I would be somewhat contradicting questions 1 and 5 if I say no.
My choices: Y, Y, Y, Y, Y, Y
Would love to hear some other views.
This is actually a 64/1 chance based on 2 x 2 etc, but is it any value with some hindsight and a little calculated foresight from TH members...
Question 1) Will there be 12 or more Irish winners? Yes/no
There were 12 last year.
I am going for Yes, a lot will depend on what looks like a very strong first day, if this goes awry then they will struggle.
Question 2) Will AP McCoy get 2 or more winners? Yes/no
He rode 1 last year.
I am going for Yes, J P looks to have a few well handicapped.
Question 3) Will the biggest winning distance for any race be 18 lengths or more? Yes/no
Last year was 8 lengths.
I am going for Yes, sadly because it would be my only no.
Question 4) Will the biggest winning starting price be 33/1 or higher? Yes/no
Here are the last 10 years: 33/1, 33/1, 50/1, 40/1, 40/1, 40/1, 50/1, 66/1, 40/1, 50/1.
I am going for Yes based on the statistic above.
Question 5) Will Willie Mullins train 5 or more winners? Yes/no
He trained 4 last year.
I am going for Yes, a strong first day and some handicap plots.
Question 6) Will there be 8 or more winning favs – includes joint/co favs? Yes/no
There were 6 last year.
I am going for Yes because I would be somewhat contradicting questions 1 and 5 if I say no.
My choices: Y, Y, Y, Y, Y, Y
Would love to hear some other views.
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