That man Outsider keeps tempting me in, you. No sooner have I decided to not even look at the Punchestown form than he draws me in with his 'Long Shot' post. Damn his eyes.
It's a flippin' minefield, innit, the 6.35 handicap hurdle? You know I won't have a bet but I have cast my form eye over it, for what that is worth, not being an expert on either Irish or hurdle form in general.
Yes, of course, Mullins has the favourite, blah, blah, blah, but I like to look for value in these races and I could see reasons for nominating a couple. Firstly, Sequestered, who, I see, Chaumi has named in Outsider's post. I wrote, in response:
I might also write that the run when he beat Stuzzikini could suggest he's well handicapped horse. Another who I could see running well at big odds (also 40/1) is Hands Of Gold. Now, this is only the third handicap run he's ever competed in. The second was over 2m 4f at Cork where jockey Ricky Doyle might well, aptly, have been given the soubriquet 'Hands Of Stone' since, for most of the race, they were motionless as he ambled along at the back of the field. It was only around the last two flights that they were called upon and what movement there was only suggested that this was a run to give the horse a good blow out. The distance would have been too short for this son of Shantou and today's 3m looks much more the ticket. I notice that in his first handicap, over 2m 4f, he was noted 'running on'.
On a last, slightly odd, note I noticed a horse in the 7.00 at Chelmsford, Qeyaady, who looks like he might a lively outsider over a new distance for him in this poor staying race. Only a sneaky suspicion FYI. No bet but I'll be watching to see how it gets on. Jockey Egan has +£18 record when riding for the stable (in 165 rides)
It's a flippin' minefield, innit, the 6.35 handicap hurdle? You know I won't have a bet but I have cast my form eye over it, for what that is worth, not being an expert on either Irish or hurdle form in general.
Yes, of course, Mullins has the favourite, blah, blah, blah, but I like to look for value in these races and I could see reasons for nominating a couple. Firstly, Sequestered, who, I see, Chaumi has named in Outsider's post. I wrote, in response:
Watching that Maxuum race was informative, wasn't it. Firstly, you say 'came from the back' but we should add that he was held up in last place all the way round and it was only between the last 3rd and 2nd last that he began to improve, and quite smoothly, too. He came under quite some pressure approaching the last, where a mistake didn't help his cause. In response to your querying if he was 'nearest at finish', I would say he was no closer to the winner passing the post than he was jumping the last but, at the same time, that was only the second race he'd had all year and I'm not sure he was fully wound up for it.
Re the Martin Pipe I'd say that distance was too short and the breeding suggests that back to 3m is better. Yes, the 40/1 on offer with 365 six places looks tempting, doesn't it.
I might also write that the run when he beat Stuzzikini could suggest he's well handicapped horse. Another who I could see running well at big odds (also 40/1) is Hands Of Gold. Now, this is only the third handicap run he's ever competed in. The second was over 2m 4f at Cork where jockey Ricky Doyle might well, aptly, have been given the soubriquet 'Hands Of Stone' since, for most of the race, they were motionless as he ambled along at the back of the field. It was only around the last two flights that they were called upon and what movement there was only suggested that this was a run to give the horse a good blow out. The distance would have been too short for this son of Shantou and today's 3m looks much more the ticket. I notice that in his first handicap, over 2m 4f, he was noted 'running on'.
On a last, slightly odd, note I noticed a horse in the 7.00 at Chelmsford, Qeyaady, who looks like he might a lively outsider over a new distance for him in this poor staying race. Only a sneaky suspicion FYI. No bet but I'll be watching to see how it gets on. Jockey Egan has +£18 record when riding for the stable (in 165 rides)
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