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The 2025 Prix Maurice Du Gheest

Ian_Davies

Ian_Davies

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May 7, 2023
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4,889
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Hampshire
Lazzat is my kind of racehorse.

Like me, he's clearly a complete c**t and he doesn't like people.

"Get the f**k away from me with that rug, you ****!" was his magnificent way of celebrating Royal Ascot victory.

The ground was actually quicker than ideal and the 6f trip an absolute minimum for him there - but it didn't stop him and everything will be spot on at Deauville on Sunday.

Coral go 7/4 and others might yet go bigger.

To paraphrase the then self-styled French racing punter/pundit "Prince Pepe" in his hilarious interview with a bemused, but tbf also amused, Brough Scott about Nureyev before the 1980 2,000 Guineas: "He's brilliant, he's invincible, in fact, if he doesn't win by six lengths on the bridle.....that's racing!"
 
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Ian_Davies said:
Lazzat is my kind of racehorse.

Like me, he's clearly a complete c**t and he doesn't like people.

"Get the f**k away from me with that rug, you ****!" was his magnificent way of celebrating Royal Ascot victory.

The ground was actually quicker than ideal and the 6f trip an absolute minimum for him there - but it didn't stop him and everything will be spot on at Deauville on Sunday.

Coral go 7/4 and others might yet go bigger.

To paraphrase the then self-styled French racing punter/pundit "Prince Pepe" in his hilarious interview with a bemused, but tbf also amused, Brough Scott about Nureyev before the 1980 2,000 Guineas: "He's brilliant, he's invincible, in fact, if he doesn't win by six lengths on the bridle.....that's racing!"
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I think 7/4 is a tad generous.
Given improvement from 3 to 4. Beauvatier maybe one for ew thieving
 
Ian_Davies said:
15/8 to 11/8 fast - any odds against is fair imo.
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Evens best and odds-on in most lists now.

The 15/8 with William Hill had to be taken.

I'm off to Tesco tomorrow to acquire la crème de la crème of the Tesco Finest French Food range to mark the occasion,

I may very well overdose on Boubillaise if Lazzat hoses up - you all can but live in hope.
 
8/11 best Lazzat now and as short as 4/7.

I made him somewhere between 10/11 and 4/5 when I first looked at the race - that's a 52%-55% chance of victory - it's a game of fine margins at this trip, e.g. 7lb in hand would be less than three lengths and you can lose that with a slow start and/or trouble in running.

15/8 had to be taken, but 8/11 is now plenty short enough and, with the market the shape it now is, I don't blame anyone looking for each-way alternatives.

Should be a good race.
 
I agree the favourite is very short now, but he won this race last year - 6f110yds at Deauville with a bit of cut will suit Lazzat better than the 6f at Ascot on quicker ground imo.
 
Danny said:
Songhai perked my interest in the Listed race. Looked to have improved for first time in a tongue tie lto when 3rd in a grp 2.
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Yeah I'm feeling flush after going to Ascot yesterday so will have a dabble in France

1331 Prix du Cercle - Don Juan Cuneo Solari (Listed Race) (3yo+) (Straight Course) (Turf) 3yo+ : Prize Money £19669.42
Songhai to win and Vicious Harry each way
 
pawras said:
Yeah I'm feeling flush after going to Ascot yesterday so will have a dabble in France

1331 Prix du Cercle - Don Juan Cuneo Solari (Listed Race) (3yo+) (Straight Course) (Turf) 3yo+ : Prize Money £19669.42
Songhai to win and Vicious Harry each way
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No dice, didn't fancy the winner Miss Attitude at all but Redorange was my 3rd choice
 
1505 Deauville ARC Prix Maurice de Gheest - Fonds Europeen de l Elevage (Group 1) (3yo+) (Straight Course) (Turf) 3yo+ : Prize Money £179447.93

Lazzat is my top rated and top of my trial race stats as well, although I don't have all the French pattern races set up for cross referencing yet, that is WIP for the Arc, i.e. it won the Ascot Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Flat Stakes in June and the Deauville Prix Maurice De Gheest Flat Stakes last year. Returning winners from the prev year have a 4/10 strike.

But at a current price of 1.76 on the exchange is too short imo for this 11 runner race, so looking for each way punts.

On ratings my next 3 are Beauvatier , Tribalist and Topgear.

The significant trial ponters races are that Beauvatier was 3rd last year in the race, Tribalist won the Saint Cloud Prix Du Muguet Flat Stakes 1m Group2 in May and runners coming from that race have a 5/12 (41.7%) ew strike in this race. Topgear won the Newmarket Challenge Flat Stakes 7f Group2 in Oct 24 and runners coming from that have a 4/10 (40%) ew strike in this race.

Just small money Sunday afternoon TV bets so meh whatever happens
 
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When I glanced at the race, I was surprised to see dangerous horses like Shadow Of Light and Inisherin in there. If you’re taking a short price, you don’t want horses like that—ones that could decide to show up today and never win again—up against you.

Shadow Of Light being a non-runner is good news for favourite backers. I’m going to chance Inisherin at 12/1 for no other reason than he’s such a bizarre horse he just might show up here.

The most minimum of stakes, obviously.
 
Ian_Davies said:
Slightly disturbing to see Slim and I are now posting literally simultaneously.
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Shadow Of Light was at least an interesting runner. The way the race is now, do you just take your value and run it out, or are you tempted to play a couple each way against it as aggressive hedging? With just the nine runners now, there’s a fair case to bet something like Inisherin each way.
 
Slim said:
Shadow Of Light was at least an interesting runner. The way the race is now, do you just take your value and run it out, or are you tempted to play a couple each way against it as aggressive hedging? With just the nine runners now, there’s a fair case to bet something like Inisherin each way.
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I probably ought to be looking at a couple each-way in what now looks a bit of a bad each-way race, but I'm going to stick with my bets on the fav at odds against as I think the forum could do with a good laugh when it gets turned over - I'm all about others.
 

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