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Ante-Post Props 2025 Flat

Seraph Gabriel bet365 hcap friday 5/1

Archivist is favourite but is also fav for the john smiths so SG could be fav come Friday.
 
Archivist and where he runs is a fascinating conundrum this weekend. As well as the John Smiths and the Seraph Gabriel race he's also in an 8f handicap at Newmarket on the Saturday. I doubt he'll run in that as he looks like he needs 10f and I've backed Fifth Column at 8s. This Godolphin horse ran really well for Gosden in the Britannia from the wrong part of the track and Ryan has been booked.

In the Seraph Gabriel race Haggas also has Regalian entered up and that plus the trainer loving winning big races at York could point to the Magnet Cup for Archivist. I think Regalian, Seraph Gabriel and Urban Glimpse are all backable prices for the race with Archivist taking so much out of the market. What to do?
 
Yes, to go 33s looks plain odd. Fox Legacy franked the Royal Hunt Cup form today too, albeit over a longer trip. Maybe Urban Lion is also of interest for Goodwood then after his fifth at Royal Ascot.

I was looking at the International Handicap tonight, they go 9/1 the field at the moment if you exclude More Thunder, given what Haggas said today about him targeting a group race.

Classic looks interesting, the gelding operation looks to have brought about improvement so I respect his chance at this stage.

There's a horse at a mammoth old price called Spangled Mac, who beat Classic at Newbury in 2023.

Mac was also a good fourth in the Buckingham Palace over course and distance at Royal Ascot the same year in 2023. He was just in behind proper handicappers that day, most notably Northern Express.

Spangled Mac has some good back-form anyway. What's happend since then, is he lost his way in 2024, then had a busy winter in Bahrain, where to be fair, he did win one race, with the Wokingham winner Get It down the field in ninth that day.

It showed Mac is still well capable if and when they can get him right. After that busy winter he had a wind operation, and only got started again this season in late June. The last run at Pontefract was a fair effort and he wasn't beaten a million miles giving weight to most of the field.

To summarise, he's clearly becoming a bit hit and miss as he gets older, but he's nicely situated in the handicap to run with a relatively low weight at number 35 on the list, so at odds of 66/1 I'm becoming more tempted to have a go ante post.

He's in the Stewards Cup too, but I reckon he'd be more suited to the International at Ascot. The 66s is with only four places mind, and bookmakers will likely go more places on the day, so that must be factored in to the price available ante post. I won't go silly but I wanted to give him a good mention anyway.
 
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Good weekend of racing coming up which is much needed after super sprint day and there's a couple of fillies I like in the opening two races at Ascot.

In the Princess Margaret Midnight Tango looks overpriced at 12/1. She was beaten a fast diminishing head in the Empress stakes on the July Course last time out but she was tardy out of the gate on a day where it paid to be at the front. This stiffer 6 will really suit her.

In the Valiant Stakes I'm on Cajole again at 8/1. She wasn't given a good ride from admittedly a poor draw at Sandown the other week but it looked like she was beaten by a most promising Balding filly. There's a couple of Beckett fillies I'd be wary of ahead of her in the market but Rossa Ryan has been booked for Stanhope Gardens at York so I'd be surprised if they both turned up. Cajole ran a fantastic race in the Sandringham and there surely is a good fillies race in her.
 
The Fortune Teller said:
Yes, to go 33s looks plain odd. Fox Legacy franked the Royal Hunt Cup form today too, albeit over a longer trip. Maybe Urban Lion is also of interest for Goodwood then after his fifth at Royal Ascot.

I was looking at the International Handicap tonight, they go 9/1 the field at the moment if you exclude More Thunder, given what Haggas said today about him targeting a group race.

Classic looks interesting, the gelding operation looks to have brought about improvement so I respect his chance at this stage.

There's a horse at a mammoth old price called Spangled Mac, who beat Classic at Newbury in 2023.

Mac was also a good fourth in the Buckingham Palace over course and distance at Royal Ascot the same year in 2023. He was just in behind proper handicappers that day, most notably Northern Express.

Spangled Mac has some good back-form anyway. What's happened since then, is he lost his way in 2024, then had a busy winter in Bahrain, where to be fair, he did win one race, with the Wokingham winner Get It down the field in ninth that day.

It showed Mac is still well capable if and when they can get him right. After that busy winter he had a wind operation, and only got started again this season in late June. The last run at Pontefract was a fair effort and he wasn't beaten a million miles giving weight to most of the field.

To summarise, he's clearly becoming a bit hit and miss as he gets older, but he's nicely situated in the handicap to run with a relatively low weight at number 35 on the list, so at odds of 66/1 I'm becoming more tempted to have a go ante post.

He's in the Stewards Cup too, but I reckon he'd be more suited to the International at Ascot. The 66s is with only four places mind, and bookmakers will likely go more places on the day, so that must be factored in to the price available ante post. I won't go silly but I wanted to give him a good mention anyway.
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Spangled Mac could run in the Racing League race in the 7.10 at Yarmouth on Thursday, after being taken out of the International at confirmation stage yesterday. He'd hold a stronger chance in the Yarmouth event.
 
Barnestormer said:
Be careful with Cloud Cover owner/trainer has Royal Dress entered in the same race and he probably won't run them both.
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Yes,I saw that but Royal Dress is entered at goodwood cloud cover isn't.
Cloud cover looks best on a/w over 7f I realised after I backed it.but I thought 10s was worth a go.generally 11/2.
 
I've taken 16/1 Mudbir for the Cambridgeshire ahead of its race at Goodwood tomorrow (which I've also backed it to win). . It’s been brought back from a mile to this 7f trip the last twice but its breeding and striding are screaming 10f so this might be their way of picking up nice money en route to working the 3yo’s way into the bottom of the Cambridgeshire weights and winning there. It wouldn't be the first time the Gosdens have got a Group-class 3yo into the race off a modest mark.
 
Were Lifeplan in a higher-profile yard, I doubt if he would be 10/1 for the Middle Park and 25/1 for next year's Commonwealth Cup.

That's as good a 2yo performance as there's been this year so far in my book - be interesting to see if the Prix Morny can serve up anything better.
 
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2 for Saturday just because of the prices

Stressfree 14/1 old Newton cup
Leadman 14/1. Ascot

These wont be 14s if they run.
Low stakes.
 
Head wrecking race Outsider, mainly because O'Meara is such a tricky twat. I didn't want to get involved really but Akkadian Thunder was 10s last night in a place and that was too big to resist on his favourite track. He's been ridden poorly the last twice, as has Leadman. You never know if that's pilot error (always fav with Danny Nohope) or them not being off. Like I said tricky.

I like Strong Warrior as well but he'll be pulled if the ground isn't suitable.
 
Outsider said:
Might as well start my Ayrfolio off with
sondad 45/1 might not get in.
billyjoh 33/1
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Glad to see Billyjoh not going at Ascot this weekend. If there has been one race where I think he can finally win a race its been this one. Last year he tracked the wrong horses he was a lot better than the bare result though. I don't think he'd of got the better of Lethal Levi last year as what he did in this race last year was absolutely exceptional the ride Clifford Lee gave him that day he'll probably never ride better in his career.
 
Danny said:
Glad to see Billyjoh not going at Ascot this weekend. If there has been one race where I think he can finally win a race its been this one. Last year he tracked the wrong horses he was a lot better than the bare result though. I don't think he'd of got the better of Lethal Levi last year as what he did in this race last year was absolutely exceptional the ride Clifford Lee gave him that day he'll probably never ride better in his career.
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Yes,Danny I agree.nothing was finishing better when in the clear.
One problem is he isn't certain to get in.
 
Euronymous said:
Head wrecking race Outsider, mainly because O'Meara is such a tricky twat. I didn't want to get involved really but Akkadian Thunder was 10s last night in a place and that was too big to resist on his favourite track. He's been ridden poorly the last twice, as has Leadman. You never know if that's pilot error (always fav with Danny Nohope) or them not being off. Like I said tricky.

I like Strong Warrior as well but he'll be pulled if the ground isn't suitable.
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Akkadian thunder 10/1 I missed that.good price.
I once put on here that if you want to win book Tudhope
And if you want it to lose book Tudhope.
Some interesting jockey bookings for the O'Meara horses.
Mark winn
Ben Robinson
Marco Ghiani
Harry Davies
Hector Crouch.
Horgan(5)
I also had a bet on Sword 33/1.
 
Oct 4th ascot 7f. Betmgm hcap 92,772 to winner 43,506 to 2nd
O'Meara has 3 entered.
Akkadian thunder 20/1
Leadman 25/1
Sword but I can't see him getting in.
I've done the top 2 plus
Apiary 66/1.

Leadman isn't certain to get in.
 

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