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The Will Win Thread

When is the fight?

There may be ways to make ten per cent on your money between now and then at literally zero risk.

If it somehow goes the distance, your money is in the hands of the Judges.

I totally get where you're coming from, but it's not my sort of bet.
 
Double J said:
Before I make a huge deposit i cant get back, AJ be Jake Paul.

AJ 1/10. What sort of limit will the bookies limit you too? Ive never made a bet above 3 figures.

Im seriously debating sticking my full savings on this for an easy few quid. But also dont want to deposit a shit load into one of my last few accounts and lose the lot.

Better going into a shop?
Click to expand...
Exchange is best option, then shop then soft books.
 
Double J said:
Before I make a huge deposit i cant get back, AJ be Jake Paul.

AJ 1/10. What sort of limit will the bookies limit you too? Ive never made a bet above 3 figures.

Im seriously debating sticking my full savings on this for an easy few quid. But also dont want to deposit a shit load into one of my last few accounts and lose the lot.

Better going into a shop?
Click to expand...
Youll get nothing like a decent amount on at the high st bookies, Betfair might have a but of liquidity but imo, it is NEVER EVER worth betting anything at long odds on.
 
Ian_Davies said:
When is the fight?

There may be ways to make ten per cent on your money between now and then at literally zero risk.

If it somehow goes the distance, your money is in the hands of the Judges.

I totally get where you're coming from, but it's not my sort of bet.
Click to expand...
Im okay with horses, but Im not anywhere near good enough/read form well enough, to make 10% between now and then.

AJ should be 1/100. 1/10 is absolutely criminal. But, as always, probably wagering limits, and cba with the arsing around of trying to get my money back out when he wins.
 
Danny said:
They'll just take the interest on any money you give them until the bout doesnt happen.
Click to expand...
The bout happens.

And AJ wins when he likes. Jake has no option due to pressure from broadcasters etc.

AJ also has multi millions still to make after this fight. I wouldn’t lay 1/1000
 
Double J said:
Im okay with horses, but Im not anywhere near good enough/read form well enough, to make 10% between now and then.

AJ should be 1/100. 1/10 is absolutely criminal. But, as always, probably wagering limits, and cba with the arsing around of trying to get my money back out when he wins.
Click to expand...
You'll make something in interest just by having the money in the bank - that needs to be set against what you'll win if and when the fight takes place.

What condition will Anthony Joshua be in for a fight of this nature?

When you're betting tens on, you're not really betting - you're trying to buy money and I've heard and seen more horror stories about people doing that than you might imagine.

It's the stuff of Racing Blogger - it certainly isn't the stuff of shrewd long-term betting.

Just IMO of course and, yes, Joshua should win easily, but "should" doesn't mean "will" and tens on isn't "no offers" and it's not no offers for a reason.

I'll shut up now!
 
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Double J said:
Im okay with horses, but Im not anywhere near good enough/read form well enough, to make 10% between now and then.

AJ should be 1/100. 1/10 is absolutely criminal. But, as always, probably wagering limits, and cba with the arsing around of trying to get my money back out when he wins.
Click to expand...

You can't make 10% following this thread?
 
Slim said:
You can't make 10% following this thread?
Click to expand...
Probably could tbh. But Im quite regimental in my staking. Particularly on others tips. Even others like yourself, who are way superior to me at judging and even being in social circles to get snippets, only trust yourself. I have a betting pot,
and stick to the means within the pot.

Here Im talking about money not used for betting.
 
Ian_Davies said:
You'll make something in interest just by having the money in the bank - that needs to be set against what you'll win if and when the fight takes place.

What condition will Anthony Joshua be in for a fight of this nature?

When you're betting tens on, you're not really betting - you're trying to buy money and I've heard and seen more horror stories about people doing that than you might imagine.

It's the stuff of Racing Blogger - it certainly isn't the stuff of shrewd long-term betting.

Just IMO of course and, yes, Joshua should win easily, but "should" doesn't mean "will" and tens on isn't "no offers" and it's not no offers for a reason.

I'll shut up now!
Click to expand...
All true...
Remember Buster Douglas.
Someone put $168k on Tyson trying to buy $4k.
Then again, I don't suppose AJ is going to spend the month before the fight drinking and whoring like Iron Mike did.
 
Double J said:
Probably could tbh. But Im quite regimental in my staking. Particularly on others tips. Even others like yourself, who are way superior to me at judging and even being in social circles to get snippets, only trust yourself. I have a betting pot,
and stick to the means within the pot.

Here Im talking about money not used for betting.
Click to expand...

That sounds like a good system. Stick to that.
 
Generous1991 said:
All true...
Remember Buster Douglas.
Someone put $168k on Tyson trying to buy $4k.
Then again, I don't suppose AJ is going to spend the month before the fight drinking and whoring like Iron Mike did.
Click to expand...
I don't suppose he will either, but Joshua is highly unlikely to be trained to the minute for this, he will probably think he's only got to show up on the night to win, and any lack of fight fitness or complacency will reduce the disparity between the two.
 
AJ has to come in at 245 pounds or below. He will be very fit for the bout. Jake Paul has nothing to worry AJ. It’s a nailed-on certainty that AJ wins.

I have never bet more than £25 in my life, so I won’t be chasing £2.50.
 
In fairness he has just got to show up. AJ as much of a bellend as he is and as many ped's as JP can pump himself with it won't matter. If this is a fight a real fight that ever actually happens Double J is right it's the best 1/10 shot anybodys ever seen .

As for fitness Anthony Joshua is physically gifted but hes never been naturally that good a boxer. I think he's one of the biggest tools Ive ever seen inbthe game but one thing you wont get AJ on is fitness he's fit all year round and never neglects his training. He got to the Level he got to through pure hard work.
 
Seeing as the last fight I took a serious interest in was "The Thriller In Manila" I bow to your "somewhat" more contemporary knowledge, Danny!
 
I remember having a good bet on Evander Holyfield at 8/1 to beat Tyson. Tyson had done his stint in jail + had knocked over 2 nobodies, in readiness for the bout. Before his incarceration, he had never beaten anyone as talanted as Holyfield, who was a proper warrior.
 
At 36 years old, Joshua has been enticed by the reported purse of $50m (who wouldn’t be in his situation?) but he still fancies a crack at Fury albeit probably 5 years too late. If he doesn’t demolish Paul the secondary aim is unlikely to happen. I believe he will be fully trained and engaged.
He also has a very significant community investment programme in north London / Herts that he uses his earnings to fund. It’s a big motivation as he looks to create a legacy heading into his last couple of fights or so.
 
Robicheaux said:
I remember having a good bet on Evander Holyfield at 8/1 to beat Tyson. Tyson had done his stint in jail + had knocked over 2 nobodies, in readiness for the bout. Before his incarceration, he had never beaten anyone as talanted as Holyfield, who was a proper warrior.
Click to expand...

I had the biggest bet of my life still to this day on him in the rematch as I couldnt see how it could be a different result and he wasn't favourite. The scenes in my house when Tyson started biting chunks out of him we're unreal I think i nearly died of heart attack that night and hence have never had that big of a bet since and I have a lot more money than I had back in those days.
 
Danny said:
I had the biggest bet of my life still to this day on him in the rematch as I couldnt see how it could be a different result and he wasn't favourite. The scenes in my house when Tyson started biting chunks out of him we're unreal I think i nearly died of heart attack that night and hence have never had that big of a bet since and I have a lot more money than I had back in those days.
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Yep, bizarrely your'e right. Holyfield still was the outsider in the rematch. He was well on top + teaching him a lesson, until Tyson couldn't take it anymore + lost his head.
 
Double J said:
Before I make a huge deposit i cant get back, AJ be Jake Paul.

AJ 1/10. What sort of limit will the bookies limit you too? Ive never made a bet above 3 figures.

Im seriously debating sticking my full savings on this for an easy few quid. But also dont want to deposit a shit load into one of my last few accounts and lose the lot.

Better going into a shop?
Click to expand...
Don't bet on that rigged shite
 

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