UK AW Track Bets Today 12/02/2026 - Betting Tips & Information, Race & Runner Analysis

[davewatts50]

Here are my bets for the UK's all-weather races today. I only have one selections which is from the Lingfield afternoon meeting.

Note, the point of writing up these selections is always to illustrate which horses are carrying my personal bets. And those bets are always derived/determined from the processes outlined in the book: UK All-Weather Racing: A Specialist's Guide to Finding Value on the AW


3:43 LINGFIELD Classified Stakes (0-50) (6) 4yo+ over 1M2F

THUNDERING BREEZE

She’s an Improving 5 year old mare, that is yet to win a race. She was disappointing when she last ran 22 days ago at Lingfield in a Class 6 over 10 furlongs, where she finishing 7th out of 10 runners, beaten by 5.15 lengths.

She actually started as the favourite LTO. That would have been due to the manner in which she raced on the 4/01/2026 at Southwell where is finished a good 2nd in a fairly strong race for the class. I’m really not sure what went wrong LTO but she certainly ran under par. I’m happy to forgive that run. The cheek pieces are back on so hopefully she will be back to herself and if she is she could well win this.

THUNDERING BREEZE EW @ 8.0

 

[davewatts50]

4:15 LINGFIELD - Handicap (0-80) (4) 4yo+ 1M

FARASI LANE

He’s an exposed 8 year old gelding who recently has showed an improvement in his form. He’s a distance winner and looks to be quite well handicapped based against his highest winning mark of 89 he races off 76 today.

He last won 682 days ago and had 18 races since. This is obviously a negative. That said he last ran 13 days ago at Wolverhampton in a Class 4 over 9 furlongs, finishing s good 2nd beaten by 0.75 lengths by Hitched in what looks quite a strong race. Today, he’s running in the same class but dropping down to the mile. Connections, obviously feel he has a better chance at today’s weights and change of distance. I certainly think there’s some merit in that.


TRIBAL WISDOM
He’s also an exposed gelding but he’s a year younger at 7 years old. He’s a Course & distance winner and another that I feel is quite well handicapped. His highest winning mark is 78 and he’s off 80 today.

He last won 68 days ago and has had 5 races since. He last ran 13 days ago at Wolverhampton in a Class 4 over 9 furlongs, where he finished 5th beaten by 1.90 lengths.

He’s running in the same class but is down in distance to the Mile.

HITCHED
He’s an in form 6 year old gelding who a Course & distance winner. He’s gone up in the weights for his win.

His highest winning mark is 78 and he’s off 80 today. I believe he needs to show some more improvement in order to win this race.

He last ran 13 days ago at Wolverhampton in a Class 4 over 9 furlongs, where he won by 0.75 lengths from Farasi Lane and Tribal Wisdom.

I think there’s some merit the race they all competed in LTO has the strongest form. We now have a different track and different weights so I see opportunities for the following bets.

My bets in this race are as follows

FARASI LANE EW @ 9.0 BOG

TRIBAL WISDOM EW @ 8.4 BOG

 

[davewatts50]

Here are my bets for the UK's all-weather races today. I only have one selections which is from the Lingfield afternoon meeting.

Note, the point of writing up these selections is always to illustrate which horses are carrying my personal bets. And those bets are always derived/determined from the processes outlined in the book: UK All-Weather Racing: A Specialist's Guide to Finding Value on the AW


3:43 LINGFIELD Classified Stakes (0-50) (6) 4yo+ over 1M2F

THUNDERING BREEZE

She’s an Improving 5 year old mare, that is yet to win a race. She was disappointing when she last ran 22 days ago at Lingfield in a Class 6 over 10 furlongs, where she finishing 7th out of 10 runners, beaten by 5.15 lengths.

She actually started as the favourite LTO. That would have been due to the manner in which she raced on the 4/01/2026 at Southwell where is finished a good 2nd in a fairly strong race for the class. I’m really not sure what went wrong LTO but she certainly ran under par. I’m happy to forgive that run. The cheek pieces are back on so hopefully she will be back to herself and if she is she could well win this.

THUNDERING BREEZE EW @ 8.0

Well that was a poor effort at best. What I would say is maybe it wasn’t to be today, maybe the trainer has a plan or maybe it’s Lingfield that the horse doesn’t like. Keep this one in mind if and when it runs at Southwell again. It will be a big price based on it flopping again today. I gave it a second chance and burnt my fingers. Hopefully, when it’s back at Southwell under the right conditions we see if we can get the money back. I reckon it races next at Southwell.

 

[chaumi]

Everest finished just in front for the same stable, had ruled that one out because he started off in a bumper and figured might be better off at further. Have to admit, was a little worried that was a 'big' mistake about a furlong out.

Jack Andrea did look good on that Southwell 11f run two goes back. And if you went back to July last year, there was a 'good' run in a Nottingham 10f race in slightly higher grade (lost several lengths at the start, detached but made up quite a lot of it to get 3rd). So, in this weak race, seemed to have a good chance.

Jack Andrea was around 11.5 about 10 mins pre-start, but came in quite heavily in the last minute or so.

Agreed Dave, Thundering is worth enough chance back at Southwell if a backable price.

 

[RUNARACEHORSE]

Well that was a poor effort at best. What I would say is maybe it wasn’t to be today, maybe the trainer has a plan or maybe it’s Lingfield that the horse doesn’t like. Keep this one in mind if and when it runs at Southwell again. It will be a big price based on it flopping again today. I gave it a second chance and burnt my fingers. Hopefully, when it’s back at Southwell under the right conditions we see if we can get the money back. I reckon it races next at Southwell.

Would say slightly disappointing as the pace looked to be slow and inexperienced claimer on top, will make a note re Southwell angle.

 

[davewatts50]

Sorry guys, that was another poor show. Maybe my cold is clouding my judgement. No excuse, just didn’t get it right. Note to self. Must try harder.

 

[chaumi]

Borgi was out of the same feeder race..." race was not run to suit as gelding was caught three wide in early stages and lost his early position"

Made a note of it this morning, didn't notice it was running here until close to the race. Then decided 10s or so wasn't big enough. But look back to Kempton when he ran 3rd to Local Hero, and the writing was on the wall (to some extent, anyway).

So, nothing wrong with the feeder. Likely if Borgi had got his cover/position there, he'd have done a lot better and may well have been the selection here.