Mr Whatoxo
Amateur Rider
Some interesting races on the first day of Chester tomorrow. Mostly look like races to watch and learn from for the weeks ahead.
I assume they have the cutaway for the first couple of days, which will reduce the number of hard luck stories a bit. Obviously high drawn horses tend to be disadvantaged here (though on soft/heavy bias is not as pronounced). 2 of the 3 non-runners already announced were drawn 11 of 12 and 13 of 14.
The going is quoted as Good (Watering) 7.5 on going stick, which, if we can rely on it, will probably favour the prominent racers.
My two small bets for tomorrow are:
3.40 Megaphone 50/1 This seems a generous price. Disappointing last in £77k Good Friday race at Newcastle behind Berkshire Whisper (who he beat on that one’s debut, and his own debut for George Boughey). He was only 6+ lengths behind and started slowly that day. Previously, he had been progressive and done well when racing prominently. Cheek pieces on tomorrow and if he breaks well from 5, could go well.
4.45 Liamarty Dreams 14/1. 3 of his best six performances based on RPR’s have been at this track. Came into this meeting last year in good form and ran quite well. Was off 92 then, now off 83. Generally races prominently and if he can reproduce his best form, could go close. I quite fancy he will. Coincidentally, he is also drawn 5 and wears cheek pieces for the first time.
I assume they have the cutaway for the first couple of days, which will reduce the number of hard luck stories a bit. Obviously high drawn horses tend to be disadvantaged here (though on soft/heavy bias is not as pronounced). 2 of the 3 non-runners already announced were drawn 11 of 12 and 13 of 14.
The going is quoted as Good (Watering) 7.5 on going stick, which, if we can rely on it, will probably favour the prominent racers.
My two small bets for tomorrow are:
3.40 Megaphone 50/1 This seems a generous price. Disappointing last in £77k Good Friday race at Newcastle behind Berkshire Whisper (who he beat on that one’s debut, and his own debut for George Boughey). He was only 6+ lengths behind and started slowly that day. Previously, he had been progressive and done well when racing prominently. Cheek pieces on tomorrow and if he breaks well from 5, could go well.
4.45 Liamarty Dreams 14/1. 3 of his best six performances based on RPR’s have been at this track. Came into this meeting last year in good form and ran quite well. Was off 92 then, now off 83. Generally races prominently and if he can reproduce his best form, could go close. I quite fancy he will. Coincidentally, he is also drawn 5 and wears cheek pieces for the first time.