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The 2026 Longshot Thread

Desert Orchid said:
I might as well start this fvcking thread...

Thursday 01 January

Glengouly (Cheltenham) & Jet To Vegas (Musselburgh) - currently about 21/1
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Are you not the same guy who was preaching about the amount of bad language on the site ? To put swear words in where there really is no need seems to me to be hypocrisy of the highest order (not for the first time).

I just don't know whats happened to you Maurice i really dont.
 
Bleu D'Enfer 2:15 Musselburgh, 40-1 ew.
I do like Jet to Vegas in this race but I think it's a more open contest than 40-1 would suggest. And I like Charlie Maggs for 5lb.
 
Generous1991 said:
Bleu D'Enfer 2:15 Musselburgh, 40-1 ew.
I do like Jet to Vegas in this race but I think it's a more open contest than 40-1 would suggest. And I like Charlie Maggs for 5lb.
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I had just started to think he might win when he blundered at the second last.
Ran well anyway - one to look out for next time.
 
Desert Orchid said:
I might as well start this fvcking thread...

Thursday 01 January

Glengouly (Cheltenham) & Jet To Vegas (Musselburgh) - currently about 21/1
Click to expand...

Poor start.

Glengouly looked back to his disappointing self (unless they're targeting a festival race) but I can't help being deeply suspicious of the ride JTV got. Prominent (the right place to be at Musselburgh) and popping his fences well, the jockey seemed to me to be at pains to make sure he didn't go with the leader from after the home turn.

Two singles and a double all consigned to the bin without a proper run for my money.

Pocket talking, maybe, but I move on.
 
Ayr
3.30 Gaillimh A Stor - I'll chance this horse after another wind operation. He's probably fairly treated on his novice hurdle form too, if you are prepared to go back long enough. Market support would boost confidence levels.
 
The Fortune Teller said:
Ayr
3.30 Gaillimh A Stor - I'll chance this horse after another wind operation. He's probably fairly treated on his novice hurdle form too, if you are prepared to go back long enough. Market support would boost confidence levels.
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I fear he may need it softer than it's likely to be, quote Kinneston Nick "it is likely to have dried back a bit (from soft) as they have had the frost covers on since Monday which is likely to result in sticky holding sort of ground. "

No rain forecast, so let's see what it's really like.

The stable's other runner - Coconut Splash - can go well if it is proper soft.
 
Wolverhampton

5.30 The Caltonian is available at 25/1 which seems very fair for an each way bet. This horse is now on its last winning mark of 88, which was from January last year at Newcastle, where he had We Never Stop and Albasheer behind him, both of whom have won since, and are quite good horses on their day.

I just think if The Caltonian is on a going day, he could run very well. He wants to come through horses late on so hopefully this race might set up nicely for him if they go a proper tempo, and maybe an argument could be made, were he with a bigger trainer he'd be a shorter price. Of course it all depends if he returns to his best form, but at 25/1, I'm happy to pay to find out.
 
Not my kind of race, Marb, but that form from nearly a year ago does give it a shout here. It's shown next to nothing since then and maybe that's been deliberate as there was a glimmer last time as its rating finally came back down.

I might wait until the BOGs kick in tomorrow morning.
 
The most interesting runner to me has already gone from 25s last night to 10 or 11 currently, and you know who it is DO. I missed the 25s, but 'fortunately' the dog woke me up at 3 this morning for a wee and I managed to get a reduced bet on at 16s. The intent was to have a right go, but not at 16s.

Having said that, Purest disappointed me last time at Southwell, even if running OK. Could be he needs Newcastle to show full best.

Got to be heavily doubtful it's on though, I'm about 20 miles or so East of Wolves, it's deep white outside.
 
1.45 Naas
Letos looks overpriced at 33/1 with Bet365. Travelled strongly at Carlisle but didn’t get home. The Mullins pair and Elliott’s three may be a different class but I’m happy to take a chance at the price
 
Outlaw Peter, 33/1 12:55 Kemp, is too big, if there's a chance he can perform to previous levels. I assume there is such a chance, as he went off fav on his return. Now down a further 2lbs.
Cobden rides PN's other horse, but at 33/1, you can't have everything. Not much e/w juice of course, only 6 runners.
 
Fai 12.45 - In My Teens 50/1

Three very modest runs to date over hurdles and wearing the second JP silks so probably going for a handicap mark but depending on what handicap she might be going for they might want to win this. This is a very low class race and she has a Flat RPR in treble figures so could be a 140+ hurdler waiting to happen. Winning this could get her a mark of around 110.
 
Desert Orchid said:
Fai 12.45 - In My Teens 50/1

Three very modest runs to date over hurdles and wearing the second JP silks so probably going for a handicap mark but depending on what handicap she might be going for they might want to win this. This is a very low class race and she has a Flat RPR in treble figures so could be a 140+ hurdler waiting to happen. Winning this could get her a mark of around 110.
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This has been in my alerts since its first run.i haven't got PP so I had to take 40s.
I said earlier on here that the Fred Winter could be an aim.
Gets a lot of weight tomorrow.
 

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