Todays Racing -----England--Ireland

[Danny]

Bloody hell these plots of Skeltons what a crooked fella .....I saw how that aptly name one that couldn't get beat today pulled up to go with the rest of them from this season.

The only one you need to worry about is Panic Attack with form figures of 111 last 3 runs, hidden in plain sight.

 

[luckyme]

Today’s Lay of the Day:
1448 Lingfield Tilsworth Max
Horse has an AW record of 1/17 of which the course side is 1/6.
Gained its first win on 10th January in a Class 6, 0-50 Handicap over 7 furlongs, off a mark off 44.
It had today’s Jockey aboard and 9st 9lbs on its back.
Today’s race is identical in most aspects apart from its rating which has gone up to 50, so 6lbs extra and it has to race over 1 furlong further.
After the win it had a similar race at this course off 50 but it couldn’t deal with the rise and was beaten 4+ lengths.
Distance wise on the Aw its record is 0/4 and 0 places.
Other in the race are on the same mark as their previous run or taking a drop so I don’t see a reason as to why this one should turn it around.
Its Sire has a 5 yr AW record of 1/73, so this one’s win last time was a surprise more than anything. The record in that period at today’s distance is 0/12 and 0 places.
The combination of the above factors put a negative on its back for me.
Trainer at the Course the last 5 years has a record of 9/123.
His last winner was this horse in January 2026 but prior to that the previous winner was August 2024. Tilsworth Max broke a losing run of 27 and since the win, he’s on another losing run of 9.
CD wise the record over 5 years is 0/17.
The cynic in me says that this one is here to get its mark reduced and then go back to 7 furlongs for a punt.
Very opposable for me.

 

[luckyme]

Been a quiet few days and not finding that many lays but we'll go for one today. Lay of the Day: 1520 Musselburgh Divas Doyen
Horse has career record of 2/31 of which Chases account for 2/23.
Its first win was November 2024 at Carlisle, a Class 5, 0-105 Handicap, over 2m 4f on good going. Its mark that day was 81, but it ran off 78 due to a 3lb claim.
The next win was at Hexham in March 2025, a Class 5,0-100 Handicap over 2m4f on good/soft going. Its mark that day was 83, but it ran of 76 due to a 7lb claim.
Both races it only carried 10st 2lbs or 10st 4lbs.
Today’s race is pretty much the same as the 2 wins, but it runs off a mark of 84 and has 11st 4lbs on its back.
Minor point is that both wins came on undulating tracks and on today’s flat surface the record is 0/11.
It’s going to have to do more to take this.
Trainer at the Course the last 5 years has a record of 2/26. Chases wise it’s 2/20. The last winner was November 2024 but there have only been 5 runners since.
Current stable form would be the concern though.
The last winner they produced was this Horse in March 2025. The stable is on a losing run of 44 and there have been just 4 places.
Jockey at the Course the last 5 years has a record of 7/74 with a Chase angle of 1/30.
The Chase winner came back in January 2024 and he’s on a losing run of 18.
Recent form hasn’t been anything special with a 30 day record of 0/17.
He hasn’t had a winner since the turn of the year and is on a losing run of 35.
Not for me and it’s worth opposing in my view.

 

[luckyme]

Lay of the Day and hopefully the current positive trend continues: 1430 Market Rasen Scottish King
Horse has a NH record of 0/12 of which Chases are 0/5.
Very little to get excited about as even when it has finished 2nd it was 4 lengths down.
Probably had its best run last time out which was accompanied by 1st time cheekpieces.
There is no change in the quality of the race today when compared to his 5 previous attempts.
All around this Class and Distance and all off a rating of 91 or 92. The Jockey is the regular one, so the claim remains consistent across all rides.
The one change is the weight that this one has to carry today.
It has been allocated 11st 10lbs which will come down to 11st 7lbs due to the claim, but that is the highest weight it has had to carry.
Having found it difficult to win with less weight, I don’t see it turning it around carrying more.
They’ve removed the cheekpieces today, so it will become clearer at the end of today if they were the factor in the better performance last time out.
Trainer at the Course the last 5 years has a record of 2/20 and the Chase side is 2/12.
It’s not a course he visits that often and since his last winner here in April 2024 he’s only sent 10 horses.
His record with Chasers over the last 5 years at all courses is 2/51 and the Horse in April 2024 was his last winner. The losing streak with Chasers stands at 24.
Jockey at the Course the last 5 years has a record of 6/61 and Chase wise it becomes 4/28.
But he hasn’t ridden a winner at the course for nearly 2 years and his losing run is 20.
His 5 year Chase record at all courses is 34/373, but his last winner was March 2025 and that losing run sits at 18.
The whole package doesn’t point towards a winner for me and we have to oppose.

 

[luckyme]

1422 Ffos Las Kara Sacre

Had this been a Chase, I would probably be more wary as there appears to be a return to form in that sphere.
Hurdles wise I don’t think they are there yet.
Horse had its 3 runs to get a mark and was allocated 118.
They haven’t opted to go down the Handicap route and go for another Maiden.
Its race last time was a Class 4 Maiden over 2m 5f at Ludlow on good/soft ground. It was its first run for the trainer and since May 2025.
It jumped left and weakened 3 furlongs out.
It’s been dropped in distance today to 2 miles and they have moved it to a left-handed course.
They are giving it every chance, and you’d think there should be an improvement, but will it be enough.
There are some questions on the Sire side:
Last 5 years on the forecast going the Hurdle record is 2/41.
Add the distance to the going and it becomes 1/15.
Course record the last 5 years, 0/8 and 1 place.
Trainer at the Course the last 5 years with Hurdlers is 2/26.
The last winner was in November 2023 and its 12 losers since.
Current 30 day record in general with Hurdlers is 0/13 and if we pushed it out to 90 days it becomes 1/37.
The last Hurdle winner was 9th December 2025 and the losing streak is 29 with 4 places.
Jockey at the Course the last 5 years with Hurdlers is 2/29.
Over the last 30 days with Hurdlers in general it’s 0/21 and if we extend it to 90 days its becomes 2/57.
His last Hurdle winner was 9th December 2025 and his losing streak is 46 and 5 places.
It’s opposable for me.

 

[luckyme]

Pretty Basic for this one:

1605 Kempton Javert Allen

Several things stand out as regards this one.
Its wins have come at 2 miles and the effort last time out at today’s distance saw it beaten 10 lengths.
Highest winning mark is 120 and must race off 128 today so 8lbs higher in the ratings.
Highest Class its won in is Class 3 and above that the record is a small number, 0/2.
Likely to try and take it from the front, despite receiving weight all round, the proven staying power of the market leaders should find this one out.
It doesn’t look good enough to me and I’d be surprised if the winner isn’t from Bad or Califet.

 

[luckyme]

if you are laying them you will know where you are with them.