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  1. C

    The 2025 Longshot Thread

    Flight Leader 3.00 San 66-1 several Jamie/Saffie O combination that's prepared/ridden one or two to run well in valuable handicaps in recent years. FL won a Group 3 in France as a youngster and won other soft-ground races while with A Fabre. Chances are the ground was too fast in the Duke...
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    The 2025 Longshot Thread

    Tropical Storm 410 York 28-1 generally Has a good record at York over 5f, two listed wins, and proven in a big field for the first of those. Has put in several promising enough group-level runs. Took a knock at Ascot last time, which partly (maybe wholly) explains the run. 6f at York is...
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    The 2025 Longshot Thread

    Seagolazo 5.20 York 50-1 Hills & 365 Mentioned here a couple of times recently. Was expected to go well in his last race at Goodwood. It didn't happen, but HP says he made a noise. Scoped clean afterwards, they try a TT this time. 10f is still expected to suit. 50s is a nice enough...
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    The 2025 York August Meeting Day 2 (Thursday) Thread

    Words on Cosmic C from Fahey... "I’ve stuck a pair of blinkers on him after he never raised a gallop in Ireland last time and he’s absolutely flown in them at home. I hope they have the same effect on the track because on what they do at Musley Bank he’d be the pick of my three but after that...
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    The 2025 York August Meeting Day 2 (Thursday) Thread

    Anyone who remembers Shelir will not be baulking at the thought of backing an O'Meara 100-1 shot.
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    The 2025 York August Meeting Day 2 (Thursday) Thread

    If Julia Augusta runs (and he wants her to win!), she blows them away. Nothing like a bit of misplaced confidence!
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    The 2025 Ebor Handicap

    Shadow Dance has SDS named for the Ebor. Still in the other two races, and I guess could yet switch, but it's clear that the preferred target remains the Ebor (as it will have been since last year). DOM has pulled Mirsky from the Clipper, but the other 5 look set to have places if he wants them...
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    The 2025 Ebor Handicap

    Depending on your exposure to Shadow Dance, it gets worse. Now has an entry for a Goodwood hcap, too. Roger V is making us (or some of us, at least)) sweat for it. Although all available evidence suggests that Good to Firm would make a run anywhere pointless.
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    The 2025 Ebor Handicap

    ...and Shadow Dance has an entry for the Lanark Silver Bell. Which is mildly worrying. Enough have come out of the Ebor already to guarantee a run, I think. I would suspect the ground is a worry, and RV may go where it's 'softer', if anything. No rain unless the dark clouds to the west of us...
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    The 2025 Longshot Thread

    Well done, Mr W!
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    August 2025 System

    A moot point perhaps (because these additional aspects are effectively encapsulated within the process)...but "it’s about building a process that consistently finds good bets"...and then having the discipline to follow it without diverting, and the fund management to ensure longevity because the...
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    The Will Place Thread

    magic never dies
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    The 2025 Longshot Thread

    He always came across to me as if needing it proper soft to show his best, Robi. Until that Haydock Group 3 last year, that is. Hopefully, it won't be like a road on Saturday.
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    The Will Place Thread

    Well I'd still liked to have seen how this panned out. I can see scenarios where it might have given a positive return, especially given the quality of thoughts around individual runners that are regularly seen on the forum. So, the point we're at could be stated as... Thanks to those...
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    The Will Place Thread

    I agree, Dingo. I was just typing " Ignore my previous post, in hindsight it wouldn't be in keeping with the overall intent" Edit** But might be an idea for a thread of it's own. We'll see.
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    The Will Place Thread

    I'd say nice enough idea, Dingo. Worth monitoring. I'll stretch it a bit and suggest that including thoughts around 'this is a big price but could well place' might be worth considering. Example a 7 runner maiden, 4-9, 11-8, 8-1, 20-1, 50-1 and bigger. If you can see question marks over the...
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    Advice on Analyzing Horse Racing Form Guides for Beginners

    Great thread, as you expect from the membership on this forum....apart from the OP. It was a spam post, made just to get that mention of python programming in point 3 with the link under it. ie for search engine optimization purposes. Not easily noticeable at first (and even I didn't spot...
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    I am new to the forum

    "Might be on the extreme end of the range but high or low?" I'd say you were on the youthful side compared to several (possibly many) of us! Nice-enough looking site, btw, on first glance through. If you need any (free) advice/thoughts on structure/SEO, drop me a line at any point.
  19. C

    The 2025 Ebor Handicap

    I should also say... Since we're mentally planning a right old 'the TH membership had it right off late Aug 2025' party, likely (or unlikely) somewhere in deepest Hampshire or Scotland... Anyone who's gone for the SD/BFY or SD/Mirsky double might also be considering... SD/Theoryofeverything...
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    The 2025 Ebor Handicap

    It might be interesting to note that good old Faylaq turned over Shadow Dance last Sept...on ground that should have suited SD, but would also have been just about right for Faylaq. My reading is Faylaq won't get in...and RV will have SD bang on point...but if by some miracle enough come...
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