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We'd have known it was you from your accent Col.

Good luck today Gentlemen.

Thanks for doing this Art. No mean feat, and it's really very much appreciated. Jinny, can I send the prizemoney towards the trophy you suggested please?

Roger and I go back more than 20 years. Our paths first crossed when he took over the tipping competition I used to run on the long since gone 'Neigh' website. He has been an absolute stalwart on here for a lot of years, and his competitions kept us entertained year after year. He put so much...

Sorry, I couldn't resist :lol:

Sir Harry Lewis's are generally a bit bonkers, but he had some useful progeny over the years. He never cut it as a flat sire, but Unowhatimeanharry, Diamond Harry, and Mighty Man amongst others were all very useful. I'm actually quite surprised any of his are still going, so it's great to see...

On value grounds Reet?! ;)

He's really interesting, but I'd say he'll be a tracker horse Slim, and the time to get him will be second or third up. You'll know because the money will come. I've had a small ew play though, because I'd kick myself if it was this time and you'd put him up.

It was a flippant way of saying that the chances of winning at a range of odds from 5/1 to 10/1 is much worse than the actual odds, so by default if you don't don't have a strategy to beat those odds you'll be a loser. It's the same as my last answer to Reet. Profitable punters who that claim...

It does. It tells you that if you're a guesser you lose.

Winners do bring home the bacon, that's definitely correct Reet. But there's no getting away from the simple fact that if someone's average win SP is 3/1 and they have 20% strike rate they're a losing punter. Someone less successful than Outsider who chases longshots still needs 1 in 16 wins...

If the rain is forecast the same outcome would happen anyway, and we knew the risk. The same would also happen if it lashed down the night before. The issue of ground is generally the other way round, when it's too firm. That being the case connections usually decide on the day, unless they...

Not true though Reet. Strike rate allied to odds is what pays the bills. Strike rate alone doesn't make you profitable.

I understand your frustration yorick, but on balance I much prefer the 48 hour decs, despite it not being perfect. Having the extra time to work through cards to see where the opportunities lie, to rate races, and to form study is much better than 24 hour decs. You point out yourself that...

That's exactly as I view it. I know some disagree and will say a winner is a winner, but we all win to percentages, and it's our win percentage combined with the true win chance of the horses we back that decide whether we're profitable or not. It's punting theory 1-0-1, backing horses at poor...

All the best with her Art. Another significant step in her progress today. She's looks potentially smart and hopefully she's going to take you to some nice races in the future.

Using sectionals as part of a wider approach is fine. Using sectionals as a standalone approach is a quick way to the poor house. The bottom line is that the ability to read and interpret form in the unique context of a race has always been the most important thing, and if you can't do that no...

Mostahdaf surely the value play in the POW's?

I'd already backed Aberama Gold at 16's, but I agree that's a very big price for a horse that looks as though he could benefit for a step back to 6f with the pace drawn around him. Sure to be staying on, so I've followed you in. Missed the 50's, but 33's 7 places with Skybet taken. I've also...