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2026 Cheltenham Supreme Novices Hurdle (Grade 1) 4yo+ : Prize Money £84405.00 : Distance 2m 87y

A proper race with so many variables.
That Punchestown Bumper where Baron Noir beat El Cairos and Koktail Brut has proved to be some race.
That Baron Noir is 4 to 5 times the price of El Cairos is a fine tribute to David Maxwell's riding skills !
It is a while since Paul Townend rode a 12/1 shot in the race.
 
Here's my trial/prep/pointer race stats i.e. races which historically runners in the Supreme have ran in during the preceding 12 months and how they subsequently faired in the Supreme, aggregated up since the start of the century.

I'm only showing the races runners in this year’s Supreme have ran in and their finishing position in that race.
 

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  • 20260310 1320 Cheltenham Supreme Novices Hurdle - trial race stats.jpg
    20260310 1320 Cheltenham Supreme Novices Hurdle - trial race stats.jpg
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Always been good to me, but looks unusually competitive this year. They’ll probably finish strung out like the washing to prove me wrong. I’ll be going with Old Park Star.
 
I have Old Park Star top of my ratings but Talk The Talk winning the Leopardstown Tattersalls Novice Hurdle Stakes makes it a contender.
For a big price ew bet I like Koktail Brut , given it was 4th in the Leopardstown Tattersalls and won the Fairyhouse Royal Bond Novice Hurdle Stakes.
Stats are on the screenshot
 

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