Ascot Chase

[Ian_Davies]

Seven possible runners in this 2m5f Grade 1 - including one who I think needs a MILE further!

Ante-post betting: https://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/ante-post-racing/national-hunt/betfair-ascot-chase/winner

 

[Euronymous]

I'm going in on Le Patron again 8/1 is very decent. Pic D is getting on a bit, this isn't the test that Lhomme Presse needs and Corbett's Cross and Ascot's fences won't get on imo.

 

[Marb]

I'm going in on Le Patron again 8/1 is very decent. Pic D is getting on a bit, this isn't the test that Lhomme Presse needs and Corbett's Cross and Ascot's fences won't get on imo.

Amen to this.

 

[Beef or Salmon]

Pic D'orhy the most likely, Le Patron certainly the value play.

 

[Ian_Davies]

Ian's initial preview

Pic D'Orhy - Farms races over this trip at Ascot, ought to be paying inheritance tax, really, ten isn't THAT old but the trainer isn't in the best of form

L'Homme Presse - Beaten by the above in this last year, same age, 3m plus park course chaser really.

Corbetts Cross - Another circuit might help this NH Chase winner who will be just about getting going when the football results come in.

Hitman - If you haven't figured out this is the biggest bridle horse in training by now, the angels will weep for you.

Le Patron - Missed Saturday because of the ground (which wasn't actually that bad) despite being a Heavy ground Grade 1 winner as a novice. Detest the yard, but he did look a progressive 7yo when winning at Newbury in November.

Flegmatik - Needs to start now to make the frame and that's not allowed.

Blue Lord - Beaten 33l by Champion Chase winner in waiting Solness at Leopardstown. Beaten 28l prior to that. In dismal form, but his trainer is one to keep an eye on. You might have heard of him. (If you haven't you've been living in a cave).

 

[Desert Orchid]

Flegmatik will be off for his life at Kempton later this month

 

[Ian_Davies]

In the Yellow Pages* Handicap Chase.

*Denotes blatant old race title Daniel rage bait.

 

[Ian_Davies]

Six declared so far - day of race betting link once field confirmed and link on Oddschecker.

 

[Ian_Davies]

Betting: https://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/2025-02-15-ascot/15:37/winner

 

[Danny]

Sort of in agreement with Ian can't see Corbetts cross liking the trip and 5/2 seems ridiculous. Where I'd probably differ is I think Le homme presse is more of a danger this year different prep, bigger gap between races might help again more rain would help bring the trip back to him a little bit. Wouldn't like to split him and pic though tbf and as long as Corbetts cross remains in 2nd place in the betting there has to be some value for the reverse forecast on last year's 1-2. That's probably the way I'd play it anyway.


Ignore me I'm talking bollocks forgot Le homme Presse had run in the Cotswold chase at the end of January thought he was coming straight from King George really haven't been paying attention. Still wouldn't be surprised to see the same 1-2 as last year though.