Is it that straightforward though, viking?
The emerging trend of drier Autumns often means that horses either aren’t ready to go in October, or are ready to go, but don’t get their ground. A run in November, a run over Xmas, a late-Jan/early-Feb prep, and then onto the Festival is now often the way.
I think a lot of trainers are more worried about their top charges being beaten (and blowing the owners Festival bubbles) during their prep races, than they are single-mindedly focused on the Festival to the exclusion of everything else.
Re uncompetitive races, this is down to the Pattern, and the number of Graded options available to trainers, at the expense of open, no-ceiling handicaps (the Victor Chandler’s emasculation being the best example).