Cheltenham Day 1 - What Are You Backing?
- Thread starter Slim
- Start date
Len Madeiros
Rookie
Dysart Dynamo, obvs!
And Gaelic Warrior.
Brave Seasca ew in the Arkle. Appreciate It in the CH. Frodon should place too.
I want to come out on “damage limitation” terms on Day 1.
And Gaelic Warrior.
Brave Seasca ew in the Arkle. Appreciate It in the CH. Frodon should place too.
I want to come out on “damage limitation” terms on Day 1.
Grasshopper
Senior Jockey
- Joined
- Nov 14, 2006
- Messages
- 16,050
Think Edwardstone is a sure-fire drifter in the Arkle - especially if Dysart Dynamo wins the Supreme, and the money comes for whatever horses Mullins has left in the race.
Good.
Edwardstone is being grossly under-estimated in many quarters, imo, and I quite fancy backing him at around 9/2 rather than 9/4.
If that pair go in, I’ll roar myself hoarse for Honeysuckle to close a nice ante-post treble.
I’ll wait for final decs in the Ultima, but have small marker bets down at fancy prices on Belargus, One More Fleurie and Mint Condition.
Think Farouk D’Alene can make his presence felt in the NH Chase if he goes there.
Good.
Edwardstone is being grossly under-estimated in many quarters, imo, and I quite fancy backing him at around 9/2 rather than 9/4.
If that pair go in, I’ll roar myself hoarse for Honeysuckle to close a nice ante-post treble.
I’ll wait for final decs in the Ultima, but have small marker bets down at fancy prices on Belargus, One More Fleurie and Mint Condition.
Think Farouk D’Alene can make his presence felt in the NH Chase if he goes there.
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Desert Orchid
Senior Jockey
- Joined
- Aug 2, 2005
- Messages
- 24,110
Supreme - DD (been saying as much since its last win)
Arkle - Edwardstone (backed at 10/1 laid off at 3s)
CH - Zanahiyr 33/1; Tommy's Oscar 100/1 & 66/1
Mares - Concertista 14/1
Boodles - Gaelic Warrior 5/1
NHC - Vanillier 8/1
Can't be unhappy with those prospects.
Arkle - Edwardstone (backed at 10/1 laid off at 3s)
CH - Zanahiyr 33/1; Tommy's Oscar 100/1 & 66/1
Mares - Concertista 14/1
Boodles - Gaelic Warrior 5/1
NHC - Vanillier 8/1
Can't be unhappy with those prospects.
Euronymous
Senior Jockey
Supreme - Constitution Hill backed from 8/1 on down also final leg in a couple of doubles.
Arkle - Small each way on Riviere D'etel at 6/1
CH - Zanahiyr 7/1 (w/o fav)
Mares - Tellmesomethinggirl 14/1 backed last March. Will top up on the day, expect a drift.
NHC - Vanillier 12/1 backed after his first run over fences.
My strategy at the Festival is always to get in early and nearer the day I will top up and also protect (first 2023 bet has already been placed.) I have Jonbon, Queens Brook and Run Wild Fred in trixies and L15's
Arkle - Small each way on Riviere D'etel at 6/1
CH - Zanahiyr 7/1 (w/o fav)
Mares - Tellmesomethinggirl 14/1 backed last March. Will top up on the day, expect a drift.
NHC - Vanillier 12/1 backed after his first run over fences.
My strategy at the Festival is always to get in early and nearer the day I will top up and also protect (first 2023 bet has already been placed.) I have Jonbon, Queens Brook and Run Wild Fred in trixies and L15's
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Tanlic
Senior Jockey
I dutched Constitutiom Hill and Jonbon @13/8 weeks ago and backed Honeysuckle several times at odds against months ago from 11/4 down. No interest in the Arkle or The Fred Winter....The expected gamble on Jonbon is ground dependant..wouldn't want it too soft
I have KILCRUIT at 16s and JONBON
EDWARDSTONE 9/2 in a double with TELLMESOMETHINGGIRL 4/1
APPRECIATE IT 8/1
ONTHEROPES 25/1
OSCAR ELITE 16s for the ultima if it gets in.
And a speculative bet on FEIGH 33/1 in the boodles (stablemate of gaelic warrior)
EDWARDSTONE 9/2 in a double with TELLMESOMETHINGGIRL 4/1
APPRECIATE IT 8/1
ONTHEROPES 25/1
OSCAR ELITE 16s for the ultima if it gets in.
And a speculative bet on FEIGH 33/1 in the boodles (stablemate of gaelic warrior)
Well done on getting 11/4. The best price available last August was 7/4.
He’s right HW. I have Honeysuckle in live multis at 11/4 from 11th August with Betfair
Supreme - No idea really. I was throwing free fivers and tenners at the race in all directions for months so have big prices about the main protagonists but don’t really have a clear position and for whichever one wins, there’ll be a plethora of losing bets, albeit only free ones with football teams in multis. Jonbon is my biggest return, despite have Kilcruit at 16s when he drifted so I’ll probably top up on Jonbon as the bigger price of the three
Arkle - Edwardstone. I posted somewhere in here how much I fancied him to beat Third Time Lucki at Sandown and started taking double figure prices for the Arkle before that race. Along with Telmesomethinggirl & Run Wild Fred, the horse that keeps waking me up to check the internet and make sure nothing has happened to him
Ultima - No firm position but I do like Corach Rambler
Champion Hurdle - Honeysuckle
Mares - I posted in the ante post thread that I’ve long thought this race offers the best value and have been backing Telmesomethinggirl at all prices since September. The biggest was 16/1 which was incredible straight after she was beaten at Punchestown when conceding weight in a race unlikely to suit.
Fred Winter - I’m firmly in the Tide Turns camp from before his run in the Red Mills but I’m scared shitless of Gaelic Warrior so have taken out savers though admittedly after all the nice prices have gone. Britzka at 14/1 is my final arra at this race.
NH Chase - Run Wild Fred. I was surprised he was as big as 12/1 throughout the summer as he was always going to be eligible for this having not won as a novice last season and the race looked sure to be perfect for him. Doubts are creeping in now though as to how he’ll take to the course and I can see him running well again without quite winning.
My Tuesday positions are great but the rest of the week is truly dire by comparison
Supreme - No idea really. I was throwing free fivers and tenners at the race in all directions for months so have big prices about the main protagonists but don’t really have a clear position and for whichever one wins, there’ll be a plethora of losing bets, albeit only free ones with football teams in multis. Jonbon is my biggest return, despite have Kilcruit at 16s when he drifted so I’ll probably top up on Jonbon as the bigger price of the three
Arkle - Edwardstone. I posted somewhere in here how much I fancied him to beat Third Time Lucki at Sandown and started taking double figure prices for the Arkle before that race. Along with Telmesomethinggirl & Run Wild Fred, the horse that keeps waking me up to check the internet and make sure nothing has happened to him
Ultima - No firm position but I do like Corach Rambler
Champion Hurdle - Honeysuckle
Mares - I posted in the ante post thread that I’ve long thought this race offers the best value and have been backing Telmesomethinggirl at all prices since September. The biggest was 16/1 which was incredible straight after she was beaten at Punchestown when conceding weight in a race unlikely to suit.
Fred Winter - I’m firmly in the Tide Turns camp from before his run in the Red Mills but I’m scared shitless of Gaelic Warrior so have taken out savers though admittedly after all the nice prices have gone. Britzka at 14/1 is my final arra at this race.
NH Chase - Run Wild Fred. I was surprised he was as big as 12/1 throughout the summer as he was always going to be eligible for this having not won as a novice last season and the race looked sure to be perfect for him. Doubts are creeping in now though as to how he’ll take to the course and I can see him running well again without quite winning.
My Tuesday positions are great but the rest of the week is truly dire by comparison
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Yeah, I went searching after discussing with a buddy in August and 7/4 was best available. He took it. (Not on Betfair). Well done at 11/4.
Not as good as RWF at 12s.
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Tanlic
Senior Jockey
Honeysuckle was readily available 3/1 for a long time after she won last year so I was slow. As far as Betfair goes almost 10,000 pounds was matched between 9/2 and 11/4.
long before I woke up.
Wish I had a Grand on Fred at 12/1 I'd be out of there for 1500 quid if I could and let the other 1100 or so run....Must have a good chance g/l if you're on
long before I woke up.
Wish I had a Grand on Fred at 12/1 I'd be out of there for 1500 quid if I could and let the other 1100 or so run....Must have a good chance g/l if you're on
Tanlic
Senior Jockey
10 Grand? is that all?.we know you can afford it
I'm taking my chances that we don't get a downpour and having my 10 grand on Jonbon before JP backs it and the avalanche of money comes for himGood luck with DD
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dvds2000
Gone But Not Forgotten
Just a heads up 3 x £5 free bets available on Paddy power for the first 3 days of the festival, need to opt in, should be in promotions.
Think Skybet are doing stake back as cash up to £10 if you don't back the winner of the first race on Tuesday
Think Skybet are doing stake back as cash up to £10 if you don't back the winner of the first race on Tuesday
It was £20 with skybet last year so I assumed it would be this year so if Jonbon loses I will only get a tenner back.
Tanlic
Senior Jockey
If you have £50 on and it loses do you get £20 back or is the max bet £20?
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A sporting bet win lucky 31 on these. I think Epatante is more likely to place than win but I think she is overpriced and I want a sporting bet in the race so I will include her.
1.30 Constitution Hill
2.10 Edwardstone
2.50 Tea Clipper
3.30 Epatante
4.50 Gaellic Warrior
1.30 Constitution Hill
2.10 Edwardstone
2.50 Tea Clipper
3.30 Epatante
4.50 Gaellic Warrior
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