I've had a small each-way bet on Fern Hill for this (Lads boosted to 20/1).
Stiff track should suit over this sort of trip, and he was the only horse able to go with Nothing To Ask at Chepstow first time out. He was comfortably beaten 6 or so lengths that day, but made a bad mistake two-out, and was trying to concede the winner 16lbs into the bargain. NTA ran off 118 at Chepstow, and has won again since off 126, and now has a mark of 134. Since, then, Fern Hill has run-out a ready winner of a novice handicap at Uttoxeter (off 133), and runs Saturday from a mark of 140. OK, it's never that linear, but he might not be unduly harshly-handicapped off that mark, based on the subsequent exploits of Nothing To Ask.
The selection is a second-season novice, but after a half-dozen starts over fences, he should more-or-less have the hang of things by now (one less chase start than War Lord).
Beyond this speculative lunge, I think it's an absolute pig of a race.