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CRAP ABOUT RACING NO ONE WANTS TO READ.....

luckyme

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As people are a little touchy/feely about what you put on their threads I have decided to start my own thread for the crap I put up here but please don't post anything negative about the stuff on here just don't fooking click on the thread in future......
if this crap puts anyone onto a winner or stops anyone backing a short priced loser my job is done.

Now more crap for yis to read..





Joe Tizzard Saturday Blog | Newbury​

26 Feb 2026

15:15 Newbury – Copperhead & Eldorado Allen

The nature of these veterans’ races mean that every year a new wave of competitors come through, so that means life gets harder for the likes of Copperhead and Eldorado Allen. Both now 12, they still love the game, and all the while they show that enthusiasm, we’ll enjoy them.

Eldorado Allen has won a Denman Chase around here, so we know he loves the track and he’s had a brilliant season, winning at Cheltenham first time out, and Copperhead was running a nice race in the final at Sandown before he unshipped Fred [Gingell]. I don’t think there’s much between them, Copperhead carries much less weight obviously which levels things up, and I hope they both have each-way chances.

15:45 Newbury – Triple Trade

The target for Triple Trade is the 2½ miles Veterans’ final at Haydock in the spring, but we didn’t want to just leave him at home in the meantime, so we’re running him in decent races, and if he does pick up some good prize money, it won’t matter too much if he creeps up the handicap.

He’s just turned ten, and he’s had a brilliant season so far, winning two and being placed on the other two runs, and I think he can be very competitive in the Haydock final as a ‘new’ veteran, but he’s here to run his best race too.

16:58 Newbury – Fairy Park

Fairy Park is a lovely, big strong daughter of Walk In The Park who we got after she won her point-to-point in Ireland. We’ll see the best of her when she goes novice hurdling next season, but she works nicely at home, and I think an awful lot of her. This debut run will tell us a lot more about her, but I think she’s a name for the future.


Noble Park 7/2
Nicky Henderson
He didn’t appear to stay three miles on very soft going last time so we’re dropping back down to a trip he’s won over before, and the ground here won’t be an issue. He’s a very good jumper who schooled well earlier in the week and this looks an extremely good opportunity for him. I quite like his chance off a mark of 123.


Hope ya enjoyed the read.
 


Who's your pick for the Morebattle Hurdle (​

Jonathan Gatenby, William Hill I can see the case for the less-exposed types in the shape of Hamlet's Night, Spectacularsunrise, Quaviste and Captain Hugo but I prefer the chances of Dedicated Hero, who switches back to hurdles after unseating over fences last time. He is 6lb lower than when running well enough in the Greatwood Hurdle earlier this season and can go close here.

Tom Park, audience editor
I like the Dan Skelton-trained Quaviste, who shaped better than his fifth-placed finish last time. This is a valuable pot and I can't imagine Skelton is coming all this way without a massive chance. He could make light work of his mark of 113.

Maddy Playle, reporter I'd nominate Serious Operator at the prices. He's beaten some good horses in his career, including Brewin'upastorm at this track off a 1lb lower mark. His form this season reads well, despite his stable being out of form in the early part of the campaign, and they’re doing much better now. I’ve backed Indeevar Bleu, who beat him last time, for the BetMGM Cup at the Cheltenham Festival, so I hope he can boost that form.

Gareth Topham, commentator Spectacularsunrise should run well at an each-way price. He won nicely here earlier in the season, has run two good races in defeat since and gets a handy pull in the weights with Hot Fuss, who beat him at Windsor. He'll be seen in a better light returned to Kelso.

Robbie Wilders, tipster I have a long-range interest in Hamlet's Night and my confidence keeps increasing. He had the perfect prep by winning on the Flat, Sean Bowen is booked and Charles Byrnes's ante-post favourite I Started A Joke isn't running. The weather is cooperating, so there will be no excuses for Hamlet's Night, a tough and progressive hurdler whose second-place finishes to Rubaud and Give It To Me Oj in the autumn read well.

What's your view on the Greatwood Gold Cup (​

Gatenby Vincenzo hasn't done much wrong all season and is solid at the front end of the market. Blow Your Wad wasn't totally disgraced in a Grade 1 contest at Ascot a fortnight ago and could have been raised more than 2lb for that. I'm going to chance one of the novices in the shape of Koukeo, who was progressive before flopping at Musselburgh last time.

Park Vincenzo probably deserves to be favourite, but I like the chances of Issam, who has been in terrific form this season. While a mark of 143 might prove beyond him, I'm not sure any horse here has loads in hand, and Issam is clearly improving.

Playle I think the market has got it pretty spot on and I don't have a strong view on the race. Vincenzo and Twinjets have obvious claims. I suspect Pleasington could be better than his mark for last year's winning trainer Olly Murphy and his run earlier this season at Wetherby was eye-catching, but something looked amiss before he fell last time and he cannot be trusted.
Topham Blow Your Wad was unsurprisingly no match for Jonbon and Pic D'Orhy at Ascot and will find this company much more suitable. He's one for one at Newbury, having won here over hurdles, and represents an in-form stable.

Wilders I can't believe there isn't more love for Blow Your Wad. He ran a superb race when third in the Ascot Chase on his stable debut for Gary and Josh Moore and he's one from one at Newbury. Freddie Mitchell can utilise his 3lb claim this time, negating his mount's 2lb rise for that solid effort in Grade 1 company. He's been running well all season. With his stamina assured, he won't be far away and the yard is going well again.

Who else takes your eye on ITV at Kelso?​

Gatenby Hombre De Guerra catches the eye in the 2m1f handicap chase (1.10) on his first run for Lucinda Russell and Michael Scudamore but Torneo will be hard to beat, so I'll single out Smart Decision in the 2m5f handicap hurdle (3.30). He has the assistance of Jamie Hamilton in the saddle this time after his regular pilot William Easterby retired this month, and he may not have finished improving against some more exposed rivals.

Park I really like Starmount's chances in the Premier Novices' Hurdle (2.15). He is two for three this season with his only defeat coming when he finished fourth in a red-hot Grade 1 at Aintree. He went far too hard from the front and understandably faded, but he was much better when winning at short odds at Wetherby next time.

Playle It’s a bit of a boring answer but Torneo could be a good thing in the opening 2m1f handicap chase (1.10). His form this season looks really strong, including his fourth-placed finish at Newbury in December, which Lookaway boosted again last weekend. This looks a prime opportunity for him against more exposed rivals.

Topham I fancy Kosac D'Oudairies each-way in the Premier Novices' Hurdle (2.15). The only horse he's found too good for him this season is Mydaddypaddy at Haydock and he won gamely on his starts either side of that. He has a good attitude and may take some pegging back.

Wilders Tom Lacey has a talented horse in Montemares, who can win the Premier Novices' Hurdle (2.15). Montemares, a May foal who only debuted in November, fell short in his hat-trick attempt in the Challow, as older, more battle-hardened opposition outstayed him after he travelled well. However, he's had two months to get over that, is dropping in class and his trainer says plenty more physical progress is to come.

And on ITV from Doncaster or Newbury?​

Gatenby The Anthony Honeyball-trained pair of Gabriel's Getaway and in particular Brookie should give the favourite Mighty Bandit something to think about back on better ground in the 2m½f handicap chase (1.55) at Doncaster. Over at Newbury, Our Power (3.15) drops into veterans' company for the first time and can go well off a mark 6lb lower than when third in the Scottish Grand National ten months ago.

Park Jasmin De Grugy has been frustrating to follow after stringing together five wins last season. He was the 4-1 favourite when falling at Cheltenham last time, but he is sporting first-time cheekpieces and a tongue-tie in the Grimthorpe Chase (2.30), which could prove the winning trick.

Playle Brave Kingdom has strong claims in the veterans' handicap chase (3.15) at Newbury. He's been fragile, but that means he's lightly raced compared to a lot of these and he gets in off a low weight. He’s now 5lb lower than when last successful and that win came at this track, and there are few trainers able to target a race as well as Paul Nicholls.
 
1330 Lingfield Arishkas Dream

Had its first run on the polytrack at Chelmsford but they switched to Wolverhampton for the next 4 runs.
It won last time out going away.
That was a Class 4 rider/restricted Maiden over 6 furlongs, and it had a rating of 66 that day and carried 8st 13lbs.
Takes a drop down to Class 5 today but it’s a first attempt in a Handicap and as a result of the win its rating has been put up 4 to 70. It has been allocated top weight of 9st 9lbs which will be the heaviest weight it has carried to date.
Sire record with 3yo’s on the AW over the last 5 years is 8/79.
There was a patch between Feb 2023 and September 2024 where he found 6 winners but then went on a losing run of 30 before this horse broke it last time out.
The record at today’s course over 5 years with 3yo’s is 0/6 and 0 places.
The progeny does win on the polytrack but there is a preference for Kempton which is right handed.
I looked at the Sires record on undulating courses, turf and AW, and the record is 39/341.
If we focused solely on 3yo’s then it becomes 1/29.
Trainer at the Course the last 5 years has a record of 3/48 and Cd wise that equates to 1/6.
The record with 3yo’s over all distances is 1/20.
Jockey at the Course the last 5 years has a record of 25/230. CD wise that becomes 6/35.
All looks quite good until we look at the Jockeys record in Class 5 races at the Course over the last 5 years which is 9/90 but no winner since December 2022. The Course/Class losing run sits at 39. An anomaly which carries a negative angle.
Horse has to carry extra weight, a Sire that doesn’t produce winners at the Course and has a question over undulating tracks, with the Jockey anomaly, makes it opposable for me.
 
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