Daily picks.

Giggsy have a look at Marie's Fantasy Ling 3:00 and tell me what you think of her chances. Stable expecting a good run from her today I'm told - but can't always be relied upon to produce from experience. Thanks.
 
Restored my faith in my ability. Backed the mare last two runs, the first time large and said I could only back her in running if she led. It turned out she traded the same price in running even though she got the lead. Managed an 17 pt profit with 3 lay backs.

Mary's Pet is a horse that basically annoys me Simpson.

The horse looks like its screaming out to be returned to Southwell, but contues around the London tracks, which must surely be owner based.

His Kempton record is dire, but if you dismiss his class barrier and a stream of wide draws, you can't really knock her efforts.

For a low grade mare, her record when actually getting the lead is excellent.

Her only recent failure from the front was when beaten by todays fav, Spellmaker. Kirby probably went a little too hard that day ( hit 1.5 in running), but has an 8lb turnaround this time.

I think the last run can be discounted, when a 7lb claimer really wasn't forceful enough to get the lead. All five wins have come with comments: "led from start".

Surprised that Fox has only ridden the mare three times, with decent results.

Drawn in 3 and an all time low mark of 50, should hopefully see her get an early lead.

No doubt she will get beat and then run at Southwell.
Click to expand...
 
I thought Kaylee ran far better than the Racing Post comments. I thought he came wide on the turn.

Worth watching in a C7 h/cap.
 
Sorry chef wasn't about although i would never put somone off backing a 33s shot anyway,never like anything in the race.


apache rising

Interesting time today by apache rising and only rated 62 hacking up by 6ls will get punished for that win but i;'ve mentioned before these 3yr old handicaps on the aw have been very weak on nearly all the tracks.The time was .32 quicker than the older handicappers earlier on the card 1m41.98 can't remember to many faster by 3yr olds this season if any so even if put up 10 pound would still look extremely well handicapped on this surface! running
 
Unreal backed the first two only bets of the day for interest,the form of that lingfield race and the time was unbelievable if it had been a furlong further wouldv'e looked a really good bet.As it was you couldn't possibly be confident,safwaans the only runner to let the form down yet looked different class to the horses behind.;)
 
gigilo said:
safwaan

Put this in to fill out the multiples today which was costly upped in class but there was no pace on and the race was run in a stupid time of 2m9.53.Previous to this run was runner up to a progressive type in a decent time over the same c/d,that form today was franked by silkee supreme and penbryn both poor draws as well 1st and second at kempton and were 6th and 5th in that lingfield race .Both of those horses were in my to follows but after that result tonight the values completely ruined.And if that wasn't enough it was franked by gunner will in the first race at lingfield as well 4th in that lingfield race very solid form for horses rated that lowly.Safwaans off 58 and looked a lot better than those behind that won today,so should be up to winning another race off this mark guaranteed siome pace.
Click to expand...

1st,4th,5th,6th and seventh have won from that race and the 8th dolly colman beaten 7ls third yesterday,
 
This was my original post about this horse, mind you victory was a long time coming!

Penbryn- 10fs Lingfield class 6 h'cap, N Littmoden.

This horse was well suited to this longer trip and was always pulling double over the field. Horse really doesn't want to be in front and almost gave the race away in the final furlong, but the Nk victory means that the h'capper wont be raising him too much. This horse has been very well backed on its last 3 runs suggesting that connections know he's a fair deal better than he'd previously shown, could be more than capeable of stepping up a grade but be mindful of putting an IR Lay in when he comes cruising up as he'll want to throw the towel in towards the finish.
 
He's full of crap stewart,hasn't got a clue he's absolutely seething that he hasn't been getting my picks i can feelhim exloding on that thread thats why i don't bother replying.He knows nothing don't believe anything anyone says on there they're all clueless,i only post on there after midnight to wind them up.
 
I would imagine dozens if not hundreds know i post on here stew,how do you think that OTF got on here,maybe i will just have to put all of the last years results on betfair with prices and write ups;) the roi must be enormous.Been looking back at the thread recently been an unbelievable 18 months,think i've had one bad week in all that time!!R.E.L.E.N.T.L.E.S.S:lol:
 
You wouldv'e done your cobblers backing them violet jordan horses anyway,everyones backing them and they keep getting stuffed they will never get value.And thats presuming they are still capable of running to any sort opf form!:p
 
Don't know where that improvement came from slower than fairy wing carrying 12 pound less on last run at swell over 6fs and wins by 10ls today,they must've been absolutely dire those in behind today.
 
I mailed that ascendant to you yesterday i take it you didn't back it,you need to keep an eye on your in box if your not looking on here.I was hoping to get saturdays cards done but there's no decs yet so can't dio anything.
 
What do you think of McBirney tomorrow? Not quite sure about the trip, otherwise looks a bet. Not getting the emails at the moment Andy - am I on your list?
 
I won't be backing it benny can miss a 3/1 like the weekend didn't back linroyale boy its when they're going off double figure prices in same grade.I put the bets on here straight away the only email i send out are to a few i know personally who aren't members on here stewarts already on there and says he sometimes doesn't look in.I put the bets on here first as you can tell by the times,going to be busy for the next couple of days doing saturdays cards.
 
1.20



Impossible looking handicap with draw etc spinatrix improved as the season went on last season 17 runs, only twice been out of the first four,a staying on fourth to miss rally in the silver cup at ayr on heavy ground which she seems to like 12 pound tuirnaround for 2ls,she's still only 5 and could still be improving presently 5 from 21 runs and with 7 pound claimer riding taking down to 85 has an ew chance.You could pick half the field and still not hit the winner so easy to make a case for a lot of runners,king of jazz is interesting was third in this last year off 96 on seasonal debut starts this season on 87 with darren egan taking off 3 pound.He followed that up with a third to global village and bonnie brae and off this mark even though he has a very poor strike rate might run well at a big price.



king of jazz ,spinatrix



1.55



Another impossible handicap quite a few open to improvement so you'd be guessing with a lot of runners,ocean tempest hasn't run for 259 days would suggest something was wrong with horse especially after winning a decent race art newmarket beating fireship and jakes destiny plus chapter seven back in fourth one of the market leaders in the lincoln.Fireships now rated 97 and was third in listed race last time out and jakes destiny could still be imprviong rated 92 and third on last run of the season.Gaul wood similarly open to loads of improvement although his last run at ascot has now to prove it on this softer ground ran well behind our boy jack at chester on soft suggesting he could still be well handicapped.





ocean tempest gaul wood



2.30





Jack dexter i followed all last season i said in to follows he would be listed class after sluicing up at ayr as looked miles infront of the handicaper still to prove he can take this rise in class but at some point it looks inevitable,jim goldie good with these progressive types.The race looks quite open on individual bits of form confessional,regal parade,our jonathon have all run well at this level so looks impossible trying to split them at the prices our jonathon maybe as beat regal parade on seasonal debut even though only 3/4l between them.



jack dexter,our jonathon



3.05



Captain bertie is a horse i've always followed saw he had his quirks but lots of ability,last season he showed his true potential winnning the spring cup at newbury,i thought he won with a bit in hand that day and his last run at ascot over an inadequate 7fs was eyecatching being passed by half the field after 4fs only to run on nearest finish.I've backed him at 16/1 and even if he doesn't show up first time out i think he may just be listed class yet and one to keep an eye on.The race looks impossible to narrow down so will pick just one more,swiftly done even at 6 looks to be improving was rated 67 in 2011 now rated 93 7 pound off tomorrow,his run behind fulbright at goodwood looks reasonable enough form considering he was badly hampered and still was finishing full of running 25/1 is a bit of value on that form.






captain bertie,swiftly done





3.40



Very little to go on in terms of decent form or times on the clock,edderys horse incorporate form looks ok but out of beat hollow and dam that didn;'t go on the soft would have to be a negative but does have fintness advanatage over two favs that havn't shown anything special.Similarly duke of yorkshires second to mister macasite might still be ok in a maiden with ? against the gosden and hills first and second favs.


incorporate,duke of yorkshire





4.15





Amaze looks interesting only has 7 lifetime runs last two rock solid form,the second behind chosen character looks good was runner up to benzanno next time out,benzanno i put on one of my previews at lingfield came out and won beating swingalong that said horse has gone in as well those formlines look good in the context of this race could see this being heavily backed.Picking another similar to the rest of the card guesswork prophesy was runner up to a mans world conceding 7 pound winners gone in again by 5ls and is now rated near 80 and prophesy still open to improvement.





amaze,prophesy







4.50



Star lahib off 77 marks look ok compared to time of the the older horses that ran on the same day 2 seconds slower but horse hacked up by 6ls probably a fair mark with improvement to come and most of these are exposed.One that isn't is the funcrusher only had the 4 runs as now a five yr old.last season ending with a 4th to bollin greta over slightly further in what was a superior race than tomorrows,he looks the likely gamble in the race 5 pound claimer taking him 2 pound below that run at york.These two stand out as improvers in the race the fun crusher might be the value.

star of lahib,the funcrusher





5.25



Absolute minefield and i could pick 6 in this but would have to see prices first,there are five or six very well handicapped luggers hall gets back on the turf after showing niothing on the aw was runner up to roberto pegasus off 75 last season over 4ls back to the third and second to icka micka off 73 any repeat of those runs would be involved in the finish.The same with amazing bluesky 2/5 over c/d lowest mark since may 2011 7/34 over the trip,was very consistent in better race than this last season so will be interesting to see if he comes back to form as he did have a lot of racing but similar to luggers hall any of his handicap form would go close in this race.



luggers hall,amazing bluesky
 
Last edited:
Back
Top