Daily picks.

I don't back any of the selections, and I read this thread only rarely, but gigolo seems to be socking it to the enemy every time I do stick my nose in.

Maximum respect.

I'll now leave you to your scabby sand-dancing. :cool:
 
Grasshopper said:
I don't back any of the selections, and I read this thread only rarely, but gigolo seems to be socking it to the enemy every time I do stick my nose in.

Maximum respect.

I'll now leave you to your scabby sand-dancing. :cool:
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I'm no fan of the sand, but not backing these is like walking past money in the street and not picking it up.
 
4.40 Chelmsford

Can't in recent times ever remember backing a kelleway runner and probably won't do so in future,but will have a very small bet on lady lydia
in the 6f sprint at chelmsford,a weakish looking fillies handicap.Lady lydia was with conrad allen previously,winning off 71 in december 2015
runner up off 75 in the following january,she then ran 4th of 9 in a listed race at lingfield probably flattered slowly run race and bumped up to 82
taking her out of her grade her last race before joining kelleway in was in may.
First run back in november for new stable was a decent run,6th of 11 behind bargain buy decent time over 7fs at lingfield for horses rated upto 90 beaten 3 1/2ls,plenty of runners in that race like summer icon,russian radiance,three bags sue and pretty bubbles all have won and others have placed.She then ran at swell no show and has had another two runs over a mile in a class 3 and 2 beaten easily but not far,althiough slowly run races,that has taken her down to a mark of 76 somewhere near she should be able to show her best.
Gay kelleways had a couple of winners recently and clifford lees had 2 winners and 2 seconds from last 6 rides and he;s also rode a winner recently for kelleway,he takes off another 5 pound as well,it's impossible to know whether the 6fs will suit plus she has a horrible draw in 8,penny dreadful wouldv'e nornmally been my pick in this race but hasn;'t been running to her form even though thrown in she will lead with beau mistral.At the prices will have a small bet on lady lydia,she probably isn't one to trust but does have some form at the track and over 6fs although a fair while ago,think betting will be interesting as decent drop in weights would likely be bet at these prices if 6f suits down in grade for horses rated upto 75..
I'd expect this to go off half these prices if stable like her..

Lady Lydia 12/1 365 10/1 ppower..
 
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Was disappointing to see her run with all those non runners was never going to suit her a small field with two getting an easy lead and 6fs probably not her trip,will have to give her another chance maybe at lingfield..
 
gigilo said:
Was disappointing to see her run with all those non runners was never going to suit her a small field with two getting an easy lead and 6fs probably not her trip,will have to give her another chance maybe at lingfield..
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What's going on with Mr Strutter in the 4.35 Lingfield? Asking under 4/1 on Betfair already.
 
Ran in far better class race at Newcastle last time out not beaten far,horses up to 75 only 55 tomorrow if taken at face value running on different track..
 
gigilo said:
Ran in far better class race at Newcastle last time out not beaten far,horses up to 75 only 55 tomorrow if taken at face value running on different track..
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Thanks. Its hard to trust moves when people put up money on Betfair they know they won't get matched.
 
Didn't have to delete the other bits of your message greg:lol: I took it in the right vain..

8.45 Wolves

Think wink oliver could be flying now and back to best won so easily and in a decent time that may well win again and that is reflected in prices,was a terrible race last time out but looked good for another 4-5ls and that would've been a very decent time when the track wasn't running particularlty quick so the one to beat.
Athletic is a horse I havn't backed for a couple of seasons and its easy to see why hasn't won july 2015 and on downgrade,joined the evans stable 4 races ago running well when splitting a couple of winners over a mile at lingfield,sionce that run again you could make excuses,too far behind in fire diamonds race finishing strongly,hampered behind captain bob with a furlong to go captain bob ended up 3rd in that race and then last time out no pace on which didn't suit.Dave maybe giving this a quiet one then dropped to a race for hiorses to 60,but think double figures is more than fair wit those races that havn't suited even if wink oliver xould be chuicked in still..
Top offer may also be worth a small bet now 8yr old and although doesn't win very often runs well at wolves when the pace is decent and has run well even last season in this grade and better,came back off a break of 6 months when just behind athletic and fire diamond 5 pound tuirnaround with athletic,that was off 65 tomorrow off 63 with lewis edminuds taing off another 5 pound so will be below last seasons win off 61 has run lots of decent races in these races and could run well at a big price..

Athletic 10/1 365 Top offer 22/1 365 20/1 hills/victor/sjames/betway.

Will also mention captain bob as if the top two don't get pace to aim at and that includes captain bob getting an easy lead,there is a [ossibility could steal the race,when prices opened up was only 6/1 ppower went 9s too big I've had a saver at 8/1still left with hills..

8/1 betbright 7/1 totesport/ppower/betfred/10bet/marathon/88bet
 
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Sprint final April

Corals have the aw championship races priced up already, thios time last year I put alben star up at 14s and he won in the april final,he's won the race twice in last 3 years and is 8/1 and pretend winner previous year won at 6/5 is 5/1 most of the runners will be the same as last season.The front two in the betting based on form times over c/d look stand outs already pretend was runner up to markaz at Newcastle in june and as mentioned won this race previous year beating alben star so even though front two in betting the way the race will be run with exact same runners looks like being run to suit with both picking up the pieces.You're not going to get much on with one firm at this point,so looking at the race without those two and possibility that one may not turn up then maybe worth having a small bet on lancelot du lac.Lancelot du lac was 2nd in this race last year drawn 13 cantering entering the straight after being up with pace throughout beat most of the likeliest runners that will qualify in behind yet corals have him at 25/1,if the race is run exactly the same as last season I think one of the other two will win but 25/1 compared to the 4/1 sp when runner up last season is enormous.Don't quite understand how they've come to this price prevous 3 runs on the aw had won then runner up to alben star,could easily make a case for him being third fav in the race based on aw form over c/d.Must been priced up on last three turf runs where he was disappointing in all three runs,if he returns to the aw in form he's never going to be bigger than 10/1-12/1

Lancelot du lac 25/1 corals

Would start taking the 6/1 and 5/1 for Pretend now will be 4/1 tomorrow tops could be very short come finals day decent trading position can only shorten...

Wasn't totally unexpected seeing pretend struggling over the 5fs today,so surprised books have pushed it back out to 5/1 lancelot du lac is as short as 9/4 with corals and biggest 11/2 ppower,very strange looking race as still a lot of runners need to qualify with three runs the bets still look very good to me pretend now looks value again as qualified despite losing 6fs much more suited..

Pretend 6/1 ppower/sjames 11/2 sportsbook 5/1 generally...

Just the 5/1 left with sportbet/boyles/corals ppower still 6s if they're taking a bet
 
2.55 Wolves

A very competitive looking handicap,a few of these took each other on 4 days ago and there was lots of pace on and looks similar scenario
the most interesting runner that night was miracle garden shown nothing this season in three runs after looking quite progressuve last season and just with 18 lifetime runs has obviously had some problem.Getting cut up leaving the stalls was out the back throughout and still apparently travelling well a furong out making ground again,but was stopped in run when upside temple road eventually eased finishing eighth.Last season finished off the season with a 4th to encore d'or off 79 one of the fastest 5f races times of the season over that c/d even though beaten 3 1/4ls for horses rated upto 90,that form would make miracle garden fav for this race.Last run suggested might be coming back to form,on last winning mark of 74,looks one to follow for the near future there's loads of pace and if can get a decent pitch may run well and looks likely to be heavily backed after that slightly eyecatching run.Trainer roy brotherton doesn't have many winners,nothing so far in 2017 and maybe more of a longterm project be at least should guarantee some decent prices..

Miracle garden 14/1 ppower sportsbook could well go off half these prices..
 
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Really don't want to be taking less than 7/1 as plenty in with chances,will be interesting to see what happens with the unexposed hughes horse if that's not backed it wouldn't surprise me to see miracle garden going off fav,there are probably other bets in this race now as some should drift as well..
 
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