Desperate card have done a preview but probably not a card for getting rich on,wrote it out yesterday so have to put it up now although some very weak form heading some of the races have out up the prices of all horses although some of these could easily drift horses like bo slecta can't believe that will be 6/4 expect that to drift..especially if the guest and hughes horses are backed..
12.10
Highly competitve race loads of interesting runners,ominatago won a maiden by 8ls for appleby back in january over 1m3fs here lightly raced since and beaten at 6/5 over 1m6fs back here drops 2fs could easily be open to more improvement although 151 days off wouldn't surprise if appleby had him right running off just 68.
Speciality has just joined the beckett stable from france lightly raced and ran ok on debut at notts anopther open to improvement and rite to reign tumbling down the weights ran here last time out beaten 15ls over 2mile in third runs off just 66 with the 7 pound claim was rated 88 in 2016 another that could run well.
Good time ahead 3yr old showed improved form over this c/d was under pressure throughout the race till the last furlong when started picking up to finish 3rd,has had plenty of racing 27 races so looks exposed but as that was best ever run on this surface then maybe this surface will bring a little more improvement.Cousin khee rated 85 beginning of the turf season great record at the track been 2nd off 82 previous form and is potentially thrown in off just a mark of 58,not too many you could discount.
Swift cedar has a great record at swell for dave evans,hardly been seen since august 2016 just three runs so obviously had some problem on last turf run showed some form, 3rd off 67 at leicester in this grade,hasn't been seen for 6 weeks and now back on the surface he has preference for.Last run here won off 75 that was way back in march 2016 hasn't been seen here since and previous run to that was january 2016 when 4th in a 0-90 betting will be interesting,probably a lot to ask after long break and unsure of how much ability the 7yr old retains but has best known form at the track..A very open looking race but would stick wuth old form of swift cedar and promising debut of good times ahead..
Swift cedar 4/1 365 /Good times ahead 13/2 sportsbook/365/sunbets/skybet/10bet/marathonbet
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12.40
Gakku was 4th in a decent listed race at lingfield last time out even the time went under standard,out of pivotal so surface should suit and rated 93 drops back a furlong if it runs to that run then will win could well go off 3s on or even shorter..Applebys epitaph ran ok here over 1m3fs 16 race maiden could well run into a place and interesting runner frown out of nathaniel 3rd on debut,nathaniel decent sire stats on aw but as yet no runners on fibresand the three to fight out the places with fav likeliest winner on all known form..
Gakku 1/2 365/lads/sportsbooo/ 4/5 hills 8/11 skybet/sunbets/betfair /Epitaph 9/1 365 Frown 4/1 365
1.10
Lots of horses out of form zenovias been running ok at this level unlucky not to win last time out and with debut run here and sire invincible spirit 17.4% strike rate then worth considering with edward greatrex ridng it again after winning on it off 55,may actually be a bit of value after going off very short last couple of runs.
Well handicapped horses include borough boy,put him up last time out over 5fs just seenmed to be outpaced and really shouldv'e shown more last time out as was running in 0-65s last season and was round abouts most races,last time he ran over this c/d was march when 4th off 62 to viva verglas so could bounce back in this 0-60.
Derek shaw also has 3yr old lightly raced oh so dandy been running over 5fs against some decent 3yr olds wouldn't be major surprise off just 54 were to show something on surface out of dandy man 13% strike rate on fibresand,although ran poorly over 6fs at yarmouth.
Also fortinbrass hasn' shown much lately but ran a little better in a 0-65 last time out beaten 5ls has big turn around with tasaaboq for 3ls 13 pound,this is his fav c/d won off 60 last january over c/d, two further 3rds to viva verglas off 62 and then another win off 60 over 7fs,this mark of 53 lowest since janary 2016 dangerpusly well handicapped..
If nothing comes back to form then kaaber could well win again,4ls quicker than the first div of a 0-55 last time out over cd,still makes it look well in off just 55 with the claim,especially now proven on surface...
Zenovia 3/1 365 thought this would be a bigger price and Kaaber 7/2 could be well handicapped again.. / Borough boy 10/1 365 /Fortinbrass 11/1 sportsbook/sunbets/ppower/skybet
Fortinbrass still 10/1 365/hills...Zenovia 6/1 hills
1.40
Not much to go on tallow won the fastest of two divs at donny looks around an 80+ horse to me probablty the one to beat out of kodiac not great stats on surface but just respectable,if goes on surface may win this on default as most of the runners with form look mediocre..
Tallow.6/5 sunbets 11/10 365/sportsbook/ppower
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2.10
Weak looking maiden on the warpaths form looks ok,nothing special looks something around near 80 tops,that wouldn't normally look great but this is a weak maiden the sire has had winners on the aw on most surfaces although nothing on fibresand.The intersting thing is though that the sire Declaration of war was 2nd to mucho macho man on last ever run on the dirt in a grade 1 so potentially still could be a slight improver on surface.At the weights Zabaletswansong has decent chance with rossa ryan claiming 7,form doesn't look as good as fav and sire only had one runner on the aw,again interesting that the sire maotix sire monsun has decent stats on fibresand so a possibility of this one maybe showing slight improvement for surface and trip..
On the warpath 10/11 365/subets/hills/betfred/totesport / Zaaletswansong 6/1 sportsbook
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3.10
Cockney boy has shown slight improvement with mick appleby in a couple of very weak handicaps,although a 0-65 last time out when finishing 4th,hard to believe a horse rated 47 could win a maiden but th.e form in the race is terrible,sire cockney rebel is at 19% on this surface although you couldn't be overly confuident as bled on only run here.You'd have to excuse that run and think appleby wouldn't have run him if surface was an issue..
Bo selecta has form at the track,an eight race maiden but a 3rd here off 58 running on over 7fs,but then followed that up by beaten over 12ls over same c/d so unreliable although winnner won by 7ls and looked slightly better race obvious place chance on that earlier run..The joe hughes and Jenkins horses won't even have to be average to beat these two so betting will be interesting on those two..
Cockney boy 4/1 sportsbook/ppower/corals / Bo selecta 6/4 365/sunbets
Got my ew bet on cockney lad and 1.71 a place for bo selecta...
3.40
An impossible looking handicap with loads that could be well handicapped first time on surface,horses like pindarica and ingleby spring contested a 0-65 on the turf both have respectable sire stats they could easily run well on that form and any improvement could be the ones to beat.One that could run well at a huge price is royal rettie 18 race maiden now with paddy butler but three runs here one over 7fs and another over a mile 4th off 59 and a second off 60 hasn't run nhere since those runs and now off just 54 with a 5 pound claim,wouldn't be total shock if ran well although the jockey has only had 1 winner from 70+ rides and paddy butler very few winners..
I put up gatillo last time out at a big pruce,this time is going to be nearer front end of the market,did as predicted missed break giving huge start steps up a furlong tomorrow but drawn out in 12, jockey is on a bad run as well although will always be risky missing break,although still very well handicapped on last seasons form.
Win lose or draw another that rarely wins but at least has form over the c/d,is thoroughly unreliable but the 5th to stun gun in a 0-65 november 2016 off 56 tomorrow off 53 last winning mark on that form has at least an ew chance..
Gatillo 11/2 sportsbook/ppower/ 13/2 sportsbook/sunbets 6/1 ppower Win lose or draw// Royal rettie would be the more speculative..25/1 was expecting bigger on this be surprised if not bigger..sportsbook/ppower