gigilo
Senior Jockey
- Joined
- May 5, 2011
- Messages
- 9,698
Wouldn't get overly involved with aw meetings over the next few days,going will be desperately slow as I was expecting to happen always useless this time of year with so many horses not going on such slow going,may not even be on -8 tonight so minimum stakes..
1.30
Quite a good maiden on the warpath won impressively over c/d last time out only won by 2 1/2ls but couldv'e been 12 1/2ls couldv'e run a decent time if involved in a race,another of tomorrow runners magnetic boundary ran on same card was a length quicker and tomorrow on the war paths carrying 7 pound more but as said looked far superior..They could be the two to concentrate on although the evans and burke horses form looks pretty good as well and sire stars are ok,just maybe the draws are a negative for them favouring the other two.
On the warpath 11/10 365/skybet/10bet/victor/hills Magnetic Boundary 4/1 sportsbook/ppower/skybet/10bet/hills
2.0
Samtus gone off 125/1 last couple of runs shown nothing in last 6 runs,but returns to swell where has run twice winning both times once over c/d off 73 then followed up off 78 over 1m4fs betting will be very interesting returned here off 75 trainer marjorie fifes been out of form currently 0/37 so maybe worth following for a couple of runs at what could be huge prices so worth a small bet,may actually tirn in to a very good trade if stable like it would've been 5-6/1 to win this on last seasons form tops.I put up good time ahead last time out won nicely again over 1m4fs and again probably the one to beat the only slight ? is the extra 2 furlongs,cousin khee(around 8/1) could run well at a bigger price was in good time aheads race although beaten 5ls looked in need of step up in trip and although veteran at 10 this trip should suit better as long as some pace on..
Samtu 66/1 sportsbook/ppower 50/1 sunbets
20/1 365
2.30
Abraj dubai was very impressive on debut winning in 1m28.14 beat a very poor field by 8ls but couldv;'e been 15ls the second rated just 60,that winning time with such ease suggests 80 is a fair mark the negative is just second run in a 0-80,whatever happens tomorrow think its one to follow..Lots of the usual suspects hardened 80 horses over c/d,appleby runs toy theatre been improving and has already won a higher grade race on turf,currently 4/16 runs was 5th to bumptious last time out at wolves staying on in probably better race than this only beaten 2ls.The sires not very prolific and no stats on surface also sire out of kingmambo no winners on fibresand althiugh 53% of 15 runners from progeny olaced on it so might not be a total negative..
Michele strogoff made all off 89 at chester earlier in the season,has been out of form recently and trainers not in form but only on a mark of 78 still a 4yr old,chucked in on that form maybe worth a saver/forecasts with ben Curtis riding from 1 draw if goes on surface,sire aqlaam 16% on surface would be thriown in if coming back to form,betting will be interesting 20/1 skybet/betfred.Thing that put me off was tony coyles horses running so poorly,after I did zapper class on Saturday but this is well in with those sire stars hard to totally ignoire..
Abraj Dubai 2/1 365/sunbets/victor Toy theatre 9/1 sportsbook/365/cvorals/victor
3.0
A weak looking race wide open race captain revelation was differet class to these only last season strangely now with michael mullineaux and the inevitable decline in form,trainer has very few winners but now is on life time lowest mark of 72 with phil dennis taking off another 3 pound.
Last time out on second run for stable was drawn 1 got shuiffled back way off the pace then seemed to stay on over the 7fs under hands n heels was beaten a long way but stepped up another furlong could run well in this lower grade for first time with all the new headgear on.Another at these 20/1 + prices that could be a decent trade,be surprised if not backed in such a weaker looking race..
Applebys shamrokh looks interesting out of invincible spirit 17% on surface,just the 12 runs joined the appleby stable from gosdens whebn rated 85 last two runs have been in better races 4th and 2nd off 72 is drawn in the carpark in 14 but this is weak and with sire stats hard to ignore..and shearian now back in form is more than capable in this grade when hit form l;ast yesr maintained it..
Shamrokh 8/1 365 Captain revelation 25/1 sportsbook/ppower/hills 20/1 betfred/totesport this could also be a decent trade..
16/1 ppower left..
Put rest of card up
12.30
Medici doro probably best bit of form last time out at wolves in a 0-65 and the sire medicean 14% of fibresand,the ? would be this stiffer extra furlong there's not much form too go on a couple of others with respectable sire stats mr carbonator and rock on bertie bated breat ony had 5 runners 1 winner small sample and rock of gibraltar 8% on surface rock on bertie those three have the best form although very weak..Strictly on whats been shown so far if nothing imprves then likeiest winners but such low grade and lightly raced ones wouldn't take much to win it..
1.0
Horrible claimer with maybe 5/6 that could win acemaster and captain bob look likely to lead the race although captain bobs changed stable twice recentlty and on debut for philip kirby not a great run although over the 7fs here .Ran two decent races over this c.d last season and jonathion fisher rides claims 7 pound has won on it twice for robert cowell so knows the horse well although does have a bit to prove after last run is well in at the weights.Acemaster could get placed especially if the ones that havn't run here before don't go on the surface,others like morachje music(7/1 genral should be a good trade if nothing else) out of sleeping indian 15% on surface another that looks well in,was running well on the turf, well in tomorrows race at weights if doesn't get to far behind could be rattling home at finish..
3.30
Impossible 5f race like last weeks race they ended up on farside strangely the previous big field 5f race they looked to be an advantage standside so lots of guessing...presuming that low draw bias from last week continues then top 4 in handicap maybe the ones to focus on.Archie stevens(9/2 general) won a weaker race over c/d the one last week was drawn 10 but ended up on farside so can be upgraded,had shown very little in recent times but has run well over c./d before beaten by dungannon and piazon in a seller and a claimer last season clare ellam has got higher court to win twice recently as well even though few winners she has trained it this season...Krystallite i put up last time out at wolves just went off to quick in a better race than this,has three poor runs here although bred to go on surface dropping in class scott dixons running it here great chance unless surface is negative.
Ballesteros heads the weights with claim runs off just 55 far better than these on turf but never run at swell before could easily figure in such a terrible race tombas had winners on the surface although has changed trainers recently now with roger ingram..
Pearl acclaim drops in class to lifetime lowest mark ran ok over 6fs on first run on this syrface off 63 now on just 59 these 4 are drawn 1,5,6,7 think the first two mentioned most interesting.
1.30
Quite a good maiden on the warpath won impressively over c/d last time out only won by 2 1/2ls but couldv'e been 12 1/2ls couldv'e run a decent time if involved in a race,another of tomorrow runners magnetic boundary ran on same card was a length quicker and tomorrow on the war paths carrying 7 pound more but as said looked far superior..They could be the two to concentrate on although the evans and burke horses form looks pretty good as well and sire stars are ok,just maybe the draws are a negative for them favouring the other two.
On the warpath 11/10 365/skybet/10bet/victor/hills Magnetic Boundary 4/1 sportsbook/ppower/skybet/10bet/hills
2.0
Samtus gone off 125/1 last couple of runs shown nothing in last 6 runs,but returns to swell where has run twice winning both times once over c/d off 73 then followed up off 78 over 1m4fs betting will be very interesting returned here off 75 trainer marjorie fifes been out of form currently 0/37 so maybe worth following for a couple of runs at what could be huge prices so worth a small bet,may actually tirn in to a very good trade if stable like it would've been 5-6/1 to win this on last seasons form tops.I put up good time ahead last time out won nicely again over 1m4fs and again probably the one to beat the only slight ? is the extra 2 furlongs,cousin khee(around 8/1) could run well at a bigger price was in good time aheads race although beaten 5ls looked in need of step up in trip and although veteran at 10 this trip should suit better as long as some pace on..
Samtu 66/1 sportsbook/ppower 50/1 sunbets
20/1 365
2.30
Abraj dubai was very impressive on debut winning in 1m28.14 beat a very poor field by 8ls but couldv;'e been 15ls the second rated just 60,that winning time with such ease suggests 80 is a fair mark the negative is just second run in a 0-80,whatever happens tomorrow think its one to follow..Lots of the usual suspects hardened 80 horses over c/d,appleby runs toy theatre been improving and has already won a higher grade race on turf,currently 4/16 runs was 5th to bumptious last time out at wolves staying on in probably better race than this only beaten 2ls.The sires not very prolific and no stats on surface also sire out of kingmambo no winners on fibresand althiugh 53% of 15 runners from progeny olaced on it so might not be a total negative..
Michele strogoff made all off 89 at chester earlier in the season,has been out of form recently and trainers not in form but only on a mark of 78 still a 4yr old,chucked in on that form maybe worth a saver/forecasts with ben Curtis riding from 1 draw if goes on surface,sire aqlaam 16% on surface would be thriown in if coming back to form,betting will be interesting 20/1 skybet/betfred.Thing that put me off was tony coyles horses running so poorly,after I did zapper class on Saturday but this is well in with those sire stars hard to totally ignoire..
Abraj Dubai 2/1 365/sunbets/victor Toy theatre 9/1 sportsbook/365/cvorals/victor
3.0
A weak looking race wide open race captain revelation was differet class to these only last season strangely now with michael mullineaux and the inevitable decline in form,trainer has very few winners but now is on life time lowest mark of 72 with phil dennis taking off another 3 pound.
Last time out on second run for stable was drawn 1 got shuiffled back way off the pace then seemed to stay on over the 7fs under hands n heels was beaten a long way but stepped up another furlong could run well in this lower grade for first time with all the new headgear on.Another at these 20/1 + prices that could be a decent trade,be surprised if not backed in such a weaker looking race..
Applebys shamrokh looks interesting out of invincible spirit 17% on surface,just the 12 runs joined the appleby stable from gosdens whebn rated 85 last two runs have been in better races 4th and 2nd off 72 is drawn in the carpark in 14 but this is weak and with sire stats hard to ignore..and shearian now back in form is more than capable in this grade when hit form l;ast yesr maintained it..
Shamrokh 8/1 365 Captain revelation 25/1 sportsbook/ppower/hills 20/1 betfred/totesport this could also be a decent trade..
16/1 ppower left..
Put rest of card up
12.30
Medici doro probably best bit of form last time out at wolves in a 0-65 and the sire medicean 14% of fibresand,the ? would be this stiffer extra furlong there's not much form too go on a couple of others with respectable sire stats mr carbonator and rock on bertie bated breat ony had 5 runners 1 winner small sample and rock of gibraltar 8% on surface rock on bertie those three have the best form although very weak..Strictly on whats been shown so far if nothing imprves then likeiest winners but such low grade and lightly raced ones wouldn't take much to win it..
1.0
Horrible claimer with maybe 5/6 that could win acemaster and captain bob look likely to lead the race although captain bobs changed stable twice recentlty and on debut for philip kirby not a great run although over the 7fs here .Ran two decent races over this c.d last season and jonathion fisher rides claims 7 pound has won on it twice for robert cowell so knows the horse well although does have a bit to prove after last run is well in at the weights.Acemaster could get placed especially if the ones that havn't run here before don't go on the surface,others like morachje music(7/1 genral should be a good trade if nothing else) out of sleeping indian 15% on surface another that looks well in,was running well on the turf, well in tomorrows race at weights if doesn't get to far behind could be rattling home at finish..
3.30
Impossible 5f race like last weeks race they ended up on farside strangely the previous big field 5f race they looked to be an advantage standside so lots of guessing...presuming that low draw bias from last week continues then top 4 in handicap maybe the ones to focus on.Archie stevens(9/2 general) won a weaker race over c/d the one last week was drawn 10 but ended up on farside so can be upgraded,had shown very little in recent times but has run well over c./d before beaten by dungannon and piazon in a seller and a claimer last season clare ellam has got higher court to win twice recently as well even though few winners she has trained it this season...Krystallite i put up last time out at wolves just went off to quick in a better race than this,has three poor runs here although bred to go on surface dropping in class scott dixons running it here great chance unless surface is negative.
Ballesteros heads the weights with claim runs off just 55 far better than these on turf but never run at swell before could easily figure in such a terrible race tombas had winners on the surface although has changed trainers recently now with roger ingram..
Pearl acclaim drops in class to lifetime lowest mark ran ok over 6fs on first run on this syrface off 63 now on just 59 these 4 are drawn 1,5,6,7 think the first two mentioned most interesting.
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sire stats worked out lovely..
