Daily picks.

Kempton

4.25

Ouladah 5/2 365..

Another dire aw card,ouladah is a 16 race maiden rated 52 but form has seemed to improve switched to the aw last time out a very short price of 11/8 getting beat by the progressive plsating trying to make all just getting collared 4ls clear of the third..Again runs in same grade against lots in form andf potentially well handicapped horses,can't say there's much value in the pruice but just looking at the winning time over this c/d was very good for the grade was a second quicker than tomorrows second fav new rich in the other division and run quicker than the class 5 on the card..
The negatives could be trying to make all at Kempton with horses in here that will almost definitely take it on so there is a potential pace collapse,drawn 4 with Nicola currie claiming 5 I presume will go off very short again again off mark of 47,plus the way it travelled last time out may go clear with something like monarch maid and trade very short in running..
 
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Ouladah as I suspected might happen,still decent race to trade in went off silly price yet again,took all the 15/8 last night as well couldv'e made decent profit on race laid off for decent free bet,don't know what it went in running I presume it was odds on..was still worth doing even for free bet beat the 2nd 4ls last time out needs easy lead to show best..these Nicola currie horses going off crazy prices,someone told me it went 1.62 in running wasn't really paying attention.

Another couple of dire cards tomorrow,another small bet..

Lingfield

2.40

Mr bossy boots 12/1 ppower/sportsbook

Mr bossy boots hasn't won since joining Amanda Perrett don't know what's happened last two runs been very flat and drifted like a barge going off
big prices,was 5th in a 0-105 at Kempton in October off 91 very good form,the went to lingfield travelling really well coming to last 2 furlongs but stopped in run pulled up.Looked like would've gone close in that race won by Gulliver another 0-105,those runs were with richrad kingscote on then last two runs joey Haynes has ridden and has gone off massive prices,hard to know why after the unlucky lingfield run as was backed in that race perhaps horse has had a niggle 5 weeks off.Tomorrow gets to run in just a 0-85,lowest awmark since October 2015,joey Haynes rides again so
perhaps doesn't know horse well enough but could easily run well in this if back to best,probably one to follow now dropped into these graded races and with kingscote riding..The obvious three head the market,mr bossy boots if showing that earlier form would be the value..

Gets 3rd and backed for 4 places as well,but very strange time around 2 seconds slower than for that grade,don't know if they went a false pace or massive headwind 1m24.85 and miles back to the 3rd very strange race need to watch that a few times..
 
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Will do an ew yankee short pruices

Chelmsford

8.0

Reiffa 10/11 365/sportingbet/unibet/888bet/ 5/6 sportsbook/ppower/betfred/totesport

Reiffa clocked 1m1.09 on debut at wolves for a debut run that was a very decent time coming into straight was 7ls behind with 2 furlongs to go,won going away at finish she's open to loads of improvement on that form getting 18 pound from volatile,volatile was 3rd to second thought last season in a listed race at lingfield and in a quick time.
Made seasonal debut for new trainer Jamie Osbourne in a weak maiden,obviously if that was just a run out even giving the huge weight away would still be the one to beat but now has a bit to prove,you'd be expecting the haggas horse to be going off a lot shorter than 10/11 unless volatiles expected to come back to form,if he isn't you could see the haggas hoprse going off very short and a decent trade..Potentially itself an 80-90 horse just based on debut run.

Southwell

1.20

Angel palanas 9/4 365/10bet / Best tamayuz 12/1 sportsbook/ppower/hills/ 11/1 betfred/totesport/betfred/sportingbet

Angel palanas won by 6ls last time, looks a nice improver,hopefully he won't remember the awful ride given by jock hit him 10 times in the straight even though there was never any chance of being beat,he was still galloping on strongly at the finish as well..The winning time was almost 2ls quicker than hammer gun winning the class 4 over the same trip as per with these decent speedfigure horses is drawn poorly in 10 hopefully will give him a better ride than last jock he looks like 7fs will suit after that front running win especially with a little more restraint and with his claim of 7 pound then still runs off just 58.
Best tamayuz drawn even futher out in 14 is very hard to catch right has lots of decent placed form recently and in its turn will win a race being so consistent pity hadn't got better draw but looks overpriced..

1.50

Axecap 2/1 365/sportingbet/hills

Axecap has run over the c/d last time out form didn't look upto much winner ran 3rd off 80 next time out,and axecap got loads off weight off that winner worth trying in multiples though in a weak looking race the time of that 5f race was only .56 slower than the 0-90 so interesting to see if it was slightly better form than first appears..First time pieces with in form edward greatrex riding.

2.55

Luv u whatever 4/1 sportsbook/ppower/365 9/2 skybet 7/2 lads

Luv u whatever 8yr odl now ran two respectable races over c/d in December within three days although beaten 4ls and 7ls those were 0-75 this is only a 0-70 and gets to run off a pound lower mark than those runs,obvious ew chance in this grade could well be a bit iof a gamble with fav very short,looks decent trade to me in a poor race..Unless fav gets backed at current 11/8 can't see why luv u whatever won't go off nearer 5/2 maybe shorter so will be backing it down to 3/1 to try and make a bit trading and get a 1/4 of a barrow..

10/30 left with ppower/sportsbook..
 
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gigilo said:
Will do an ew yankee short pruices

Chelmsford

8.0

Reiffa 10/11 365/sportingbet/unibet/888bet/ 5/6 sportsbook/ppower/betfred/totesport

Reiffa clocked 1m1.09 on debut at wolves for a debut run that was a very decent time coming into straight was 7ls behind with 2 furlongs to go,won going away at finish she's open to loads of improvement on that form getting 18 pound from volatile,volatile was 3rd to second thought last season in a listed race at lingfield and in a quick time.
Made seasonal debut for new trainer Jamie Osbourne in a weak maiden,obviously if that was just a run out even giving the huge weight away would still be the one to beat but now has a bit to prove,you'd be expecting the haggas horse to be going off a lot shorter than 10/11 unless volatiles expected to come back to form,if he isn't you could see the haggas hoprse going off very short and a decent trade..Potentially itself an 80-90 horse just based on debut run.

Don't know what was going on with market there saver on volatile 10/1 it was 11/4 last night,the haggas horse got smashed to bits got a free bet as I said would be massively bet and had the reverse forecast 2 horse race utter madness..forecasts paid 14.51 craziness..13.8 on betfair wtf!!

Southwell

1.20

Angel palanas 9/4 365/10bet / Best tamayuz 12/1 sportsbook/ppower/hills/ 11/1 betfred/totesport/betfred/sportingbet

Angel palanas won by 6ls last time, looks a nice improver,hopefully he won't remember the awful ride given by jock hit him 10 times in the straight even though there was never any chance of being beat,he was still galloping on strongly at the finish as well..The winning time was almost 2ls quicker than hammer gun winning the class 4 over the same trip as per with these decent speedfigure horses is drawn poorly in 10 hopefully will give him a better ride than last jock he looks like 7fs will suit after that front running win especially with a little more restraint and with his claim of 7 pound then still runs off just 58.
Best tamayuz drawn even futher out in 14 is very hard to catch right has lots of decent placed form recently and in its turn will win a race being so consistent pity hadn't got better draw but looks overpriced..

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1.50

Axecap 2/1 365/sportingbet/hills

Axecap has run over the c/d last time out form didn't look upto much winner ran 3rd off 80 next time out,and axecap got loads off weight off that winner worth trying in multiples though in a weak looking race the time of that 5f race was only .56 slower than the 0-90 so interesting to see if it was slightly better form than first appears..First time pieces with in form edward greatrex riding.

2.55

Luv u whatever 4/1 sportsbook/ppower/365 9/2 skybet 7/2 lads

Luv u whatever 8yr odl now ran two respectable races over c/d in December within three days although beaten 4ls and 7ls those were 0-75 this is only a 0-70 and gets to run off a pound lower mark than those runs,obvious ew chance in this grade could well be a bit iof a gamble with fav very short,looks decent trade to me in a poor race..Unless fav gets backed at current 11/8 can't see why luv u whatever won't go off nearer 5/2 maybe shorter so will be backing it down to 3/1 to try and make a bit trading and get a 1/4 of a barrow..

10/30 left with ppower/sportsbook..
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As I suspected got backed had nice little touch trading this 1/4 of a barrow laid off at 3.3 was little cracker and nice chunk running on as well,

No more bets for me now unless definte shorteners etc,if there are horses that I know are going to shorten regardless of wether I think they will win or not will put them up especially like todays where guaranteed shorteners,the cards are so dire actually finding real value bets is so limited,so will be less bets...So much uncompetitve small fields,ruining the meetings with all these Newcastle fioxtures
 
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AW Sprint finals..


Kachy 7/1 lads 6/1 corals will keep an eye out for other books..

Kachy caught my eye last night,group horse over 5fs put on to the aw for first run over 6fs dascombe obviously thinking the conditions would suit and the 6fs at liongfield was perfect up with pace even from a poor draw,winning easily after 4 month break.The time of 1m9.19 decent time off 9-7 fotst attempt fropm poor draw plud the track may not be riding asquick as usual,very slow a couple of days ago,rest of races on card suggest may still not be running that quick so run looks even better..Now proven on aw and 6fs on this track with improvement to come could easily make a case for it being favourite, may not seem a lot in prices but its as good as anything seen so far including favourite gifted master .39 quicker than gifted masters win here earlier in season...potentially biggest impriover in race..
 
Another couple of dire cards one bet for now and that's only really as there's a possibility could go off extremely short..

Lingfield

3.10

Gakku got a massive rise in ratngs after running 4th in a listed race over 1m5fs here,the actual winning time of the race was under standard which is quite rare so didn't look a dubious piece of form,went to swell only going off 4/6 looked a 1/3-1/4 shot on that run should've gone on surface out of pivotal eventually beaten 10ls..Comes back to lingfield over a furlong shorter trip against horses like American gigilo rated 129 over hurdles gakkus rated 93,obviously bit to prove after the swell run but if you can forgive it would again be 1/3 shot in this race needs to reproduce tha run has first time visor on.If it was to flop again then fearsomes Kempton form looks respectable around 80 horses when 3rd there in maiden three winners coming out of the race but changed trainers now littmoden with ,betting will be very interesting with gakku after it only went off 4/6 at swell to see what price it goes off back here..Will win or just bomb out completely..

Gakku 10/11 365/sportsbook/pppower/betfred/totesport/betway/sunbets

Evens blacktype 5/6 skybet/victor/ 11/10 betfair 1.99 betfair..

Drifted out to 9/4 sportbook/skybet/ppower/blacktype betstars exactly the same as last run may still trade ok in running just hope its not beat after a furlong..Been backing at 3.65 down to 3.0 so laid off for nice free bet..and saver on fearsome got 7/1..

Amazing all the savers are winning,got a 120 hurdler trying to best near enough 80 horses going off 6/4 crazy..Thats last two or three shorties where savers are winning with rock solid form..

ffs this fearsomes gone off 9/1 unbelievable only two you could bet,unreal prices..is this some sort of joke 14.5 on betfair never even checked betfair markets wtf..hope a few backed it as was around 5/1 last night,rock solif form if fav flopped..
 
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Turning into a lovely month,everythings going right huge drifters on savers pity i'm not getting the prices but havn't really liked much lately anyway so lovely little bonus for the figures,wasn't going to bother having a bet on a very competitive card so just a small bet for me at Chelmsford..

Chelmsford

2.25

Buckland beau 8/1 ppower/sportsbook// 7/1 365

Buckland beau has been poor this season and really hasn't shown anything,didn't run to badly when only 8thof 13 over the mile here looked like he might be coming back to form that was off a mark of 76 then again shown nothing since.Did show a glimmer on the 19th this week in a slowly run race over 1m2fs at lingfield off 67 ion a 0-75,was stopped in run at finish wouldn't have won anyway,but at least showing off this mark he might now be competitive.
Althouigh this is a drop in class a 0-65,his form will have to improve as the market leaders teds brother and lazarus last runs have been in better clas races and decent times,teds brither was 2nd over a mile off just 57 in a better race than this only beaten 4ls behind winner again twice titan goddess for looks rock solid and drops in class.Also the lightly raced lazarus beaten in a seller over 1m2fs at lingfield then running 3rd at Kempton to deeleys double that is better form than most of these in this race and potentially still open to improvement.Thet are the pair to beat,but just a small bet on buckland beayu for me,think it might be its next couple of races will see at its best,but just incase..
 
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gigilo said:
Turning into a lovely month,everythings going right huge drifters on savers pity i'm not getting the prices but havn't really liked much lately anyway so lovely little bonus for the figures,wasn't going to bother having a bet on a very competitive card so just a small bet for me at Chelmsford..

Chelmsford

2.25

Buckland beau 8/1 ppower/sportsbook// 7/1 365

Buckland beau has been poor this season and really hasn't shown anything,didn't run to badly when only 8thof 13 over the mile here looked like he might be coming back to form that was off a mark of 76 then again shown nothing since.Did show a glimmer on the 19th this week in a slowly run race over 1m2fs at lingfield off 67 ion a 0-75,was stopped in run at finish wouldn't have won anyway,but at least showing off this mark he might now be competitive.
Althouigh this is a drop in class a 0-65,his form will have to improve as the market leaders teds brother and lazarus last runs have been in better clas races and decent times,teds brither was 2nd over a mile off just 57 in a better race than this only beaten 4ls behind winner again twice titan goddess for looks rock solid and drops in class.Also the lightly raced lazarus beaten in a seller over 1m2fs at lingfield then running 3rd at Kempton to deeleys double that is better form than most of these in this race and potentially still open to improvement.Thet are the pair to beat,but just a small bet on buckland beayu for me,think it might be its next couple of races will see at its best,but just incase..
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15/2 skybet..
 
gigilo said:
AW Sprint finals..


Kachy 7/1 lads 6/1 corals will keep an eye out for other books..

Kachy caught my eye last night,group horse over 5fs put on to the aw for first run over 6fs dascombe obviously thinking the conditions would suit and the 6fs at liongfield was perfect up with pace even from a poor draw,winning easily after 4 month break.The time of 1m9.19 decent time off 9-7 fotst attempt fropm poor draw plud the track may not be riding asquick as usual,very slow a couple of days ago,rest of races on card suggest may still not be running that quick so run looks even better..Now proven on aw and 6fs on this track with improvement to come could easily make a case for it being favourite, may not seem a lot in prices but its as good as anything seen so far including favourite gifted master .39 quicker than gifted masters win here earlier in season...potentially biggest impriover in race..
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Just bring this back up again incase it's been missed ,will keep an eye out for better prices but i'd be very surprised if this is bigger than 7/1 with anymore books obviously a bit of time before finals day but i'd be surprised if bigger than 4/1 on the day tops and that's allowing for all the runners infront of market running..kachy looks guaranteed as would've been no popint in bringing it out for one run if final;s day wasn't intended..Will take all prices fropm 6/1 upwards..
 
Kachy hasn't had problems as such, but he needed a little confidence and that will do him the power of good. He'll come back now in two weeks' time for the Listed sprint, which is a 'win and you are in' and if he wins that he won't have to run a third time in order to come back on Good Friday.
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Colin Gorman, assistant trainer.
 
Had the forecast the winner had best form was 11/4 last night,buckland beau made it value can't believe it went off 3/1 shorter than the winner crazy prices,any other time I would've backed the winner as well as you knew one thing it was going to stay and still unexposed trouble is no form at track so didn't want to be having more bets in the race..Profit on day peanuts though had a feeling it was going to try and use its stamina more today as well,can't be lucky everyday..at least the write ups are bang on with others runners doing as predicted..not even sure what it went I running either wasn't watching..
 
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gigilo said:
Turning into a lovely month,everythings going right huge drifters on savers pity i'm not getting the prices but havn't really liked much lately anyway so lovely little bonus for the figures,wasn't going to bother having a bet on a very competitive card so just a small bet for me at Chelmsford..

Chelmsford

2.25

Buckland beau 8/1 ppower/sportsbook// 7/1 365

Buckland beau has been poor this season and really hasn't shown anything,didn't run to badly when only 8thof 13 over the mile here looked like he might be coming back to form that was off a mark of 76 then again shown nothing since.Did show a glimmer on the 19th this week in a slowly run race over 1m2fs at lingfield off 67 ion a 0-75,was stopped in run at finish wouldn't have won anyway,but at least showing off this mark he might now be competitive.
Althouigh this is a drop in class a 0-65,his form will have to improve as the market leaders teds brother and lazarus last runs have been in better clas races and decent times,teds brither was 2nd over a mile off just 57 in a better race than this only beaten 4ls behind winner again twice titan goddess for looks rock solid and drops in class.Also the lightly raced lazarus beaten in a seller over 1m2fs at lingfield then running 3rd at Kempton to deeleys double that is better form than most of these in this race and potentially still open to improvement.Thet are the pair to beat,but just a small bet on buckland beayu for me,think it might be its next couple of races will see at its best,but just incase..
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As below should've backed winner as drifted out to 5.3 on betfar,i expected it to be a strong fav and buckland beay ends up 3/1,was 9/4 earlier no saver but forecast 16.57 and 15.90 so little profit on the day,write ups are bang on at the moment just annoying no ssver at that price..
 
THEBOO said:
Great trade, left some on for the win but happy with the trade. Great advice, thanks again.
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Shouldv'e backed winner when it drifted think it went 5.3 on betfair may have been bigger wasn't paying much attention not even sure what buckland beau went in running,vrry unlucky to run into an unexposed one though the rest just looked slowboats..
 
Can't understand how it never went lower than that with a furlong to go,only two in it and still wasn't sure it was going to get beat near the line strange in running that..
 
I left a 1.4 lay in play , watched race, couldn't believe myself that it never got matched, checked as soon as race ended.
 
Timeform results say the in-running low was 1.81 - I find that incredible the way race went I would've expected 1.1 or 1.2 at most.
 
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