gigilo
Senior Jockey
- Joined
- May 5, 2011
- Messages
- 9,796
Back to the turf guessing games and 1/4 stakes on watered ground..
Ayr 2.30
Jessie allan 25/1 ppower/sportsbook/hils/victor/betfred/totesport genrerally
Jim goldie has four in this cavalry charge brendans already been well backed but hard to ignore jessie allan on its favourite track c/d record 5/1/1/5/7/3 won off 53 and 61 last season over this c/d two class 5s better than tomorrows race and was also third in a 0-75 as well off 64..
Been out of form since,you could make excuses fir most of those runs the aw,different trips although did drop into the right class last time out and was well beaten,but never really got a run and may come on again for that run.Tomorrow runs off just 55 and corey madden again takes off another 7 so nicely handicapped.You wpuld really want to see plenty of money for it if its spot on now off this mark,but with such a decent c/d record you have to back it as a regular at the track,betting will be interesting.Prrobably no shoe tomorrow but can't rish not having a few coppers in it at pruces..
Ayr 5.05
Lucky violet 33/1 hills 14/1 victor/ppower/sportsbook/skybet/totesport/betfred generally Testa rossa 6/1 365 11/2 victor/sportsbook/ppower
If lucky violet is expected to run anything like last years two wins it should be hammered off the boards won in 2016 then didnn't win again till 2018 looked thoroughly exposed then won three races last season one over tomorrows c/d off 55,then won a class 4 and class 5 off 60 and 64 with claimers taking off 3 pound.Those two wins were completely different class to tomorrows race,but they were at mussulburugh so maybe thats its track but as said won one of these over c/d last season off 55 so even on that run the prices still look massive was 10/1 when it won that day..Has run three poor races on the aw at newcastle since those turf runs,but at these prices impossible not to bet betting will be interesting as shiuld be nowhee near double fiigures if expected to run well,the betting should tell the story.Obvioisly speculatve on last few runs,but one to be following especially with those runs at musselburugh..
Testa rossas been in and out on the aw but been running in better races,doesn't win very often on the turf either but last run on turf was off 71 last august plenty of form in better races than this 0-65,has never even run in a class 6 turf race runs off just 65 tomorrow with corey madden taking off another five so well in.The trip might be a little short on turf but was third off 74 over c/d in a 0-75 last july,a decent pace then would have a great ew chance at the very worst...
Testa rossa 6/1 generally now,as per these goldie horses drufters find them impossible to predict...
Yarmouth 3.45
Nasee 15/8 365 2/1 victor/skybet
Nasee has only had the four runs,made handicap debut over 1m2fs last time out first run for ed vaughn steps up in trip tomorrow so a question to ask but does drop in class and looked like gettig swallowed uop till late in race staying on again so trip may suit and back on same track as that handicap debut..There is a handicap debutant in the race maroon bells,didn't show much in the maiden win by sunmaiden last season at sailsbury,but that race was run in a quick time and although beaten 20ls that was first run and every other runner infront of it had run and all of them are rated at least 69,tomorrow runs off 59 wouldn't be a surprise if it showed up well might be worth a token saver..
KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Had a bit more on the drift hot 3.0s on betfair plus a lovely place on the other,another nice drufter 3.5 a place!!!
4.15
Sirius slew 5/2 ppower/sportsbookskybet generally
Sirius slew is an exposed mid 70s horse second here on last run to camachess knoxking up a fourtimer in a handicap,just looks an obvious one to do for the frame with moore probably on something better but first time out,should hit the frame and if favourite flops then has a chance.
Kempton 6.55
Hotsy totsy 4/7 365 8/13 skybet
Hotsy totsy won by 5ls eased last time out was the fastest race on the sailsbury card and the runner up has won since,if that forms to be believed this could be a 90+ horse so would have to have it in some bets as only a maiden at kempton with nothing else having any form if yet..Sometmes they just bomb out on surface but there is a possibility this could go off 3s on even shorter if nothing in there..
Last edited: