Daily picks.

[gigilo]

Try some multiples to very small stakes tomorrow

Nottingham 4.30


Ugo Gregory 5/2 hils


Ugo gregory got dropped to sprinting after running over further in seven previous runs,takes on the older horses tomorrow after winning over cd
a 0-75 by an easy 2 1/2ls difficult to know the value of the form and the time alsi difficlt to evaluate will pretty much be very slow tomorrow like its win..Having gone through the race not that many with very soft ground form,so stuck with it even though my enemy number one easterby, horses like cupid arrow could run well doesn't win too often but was second in a 0-65 over c/d penultimate looks one of the more obvious ones leads and favourite may follow it through from similar draws..Wouldn't discount that one even though flopped at catterick and also maybe prestbury park was better than these last season,has regressed but yhrows in the odd decent run and off 66 lowest ever mark may run ok.


5.0


Deinonychus 5/2 365/skybet/victor 9/4/sportsbook/ppowr Lucys law 8/1 generally


Deinonychus eight year old only twenty four runs,had a longlay off and come back from two years off has run ok fourth in a 0-75 over c/d recently then ran even better at ripon over 1m4fs in a 0-75 very little value in the prices even though has the best recent form but should run well on those runs on ground it likes..Movie star has only had seven runs,so not thoroughly exposed and ran well penultimate run off 62 in a 0-65 just getting collared and drops in class and trip obvious ew chances and one other Lucy's law a maiden on the turf 0/14 has been a non runner because of soft ground which sees strange looking at its form as a fifth in a 0-70 over 1m2fs at haydock recently and a third to captain pugwash in a 0-65 at wetherby on very slow ground,off 63 tomorrow off 58 with claimer taking off another five so off 53 although the claimer izzy clifto not great could run well,will proably be dependant on jock,trainers not been in great form either so would only be a tentative pick..These three would run well on their best form this season in a poor race.


Ffos Las 3.45


Beerwiththeboys 9/2 365/victor/skybet 4/1 generally


Beer with the boys keeps dropping in class still only twelve lifetime runs,was rated 75 at one point and has only won a maiden on soft ground at ponte,a third last season off 68 in a 1m4f handicap and this season after a wond op been stepped up in trips.Hasn't run badly in a 0-85 and a 0-80 over 1m6f twice beaten four and five lengths,gets to drop onto a 0-65 tomorrow runs off 67 with five pound claim,as long as it is the ground it wants then looks obvious place chance with favourite its how we roll..


Lingfield 4.55



Steel Helmet 4/1 hills Yasir 18/1 ppower/sportsbook 16/1 lads

Absolutely desperate race and with five 3yr olds lightly raced at bottom of the handicap from dunlop and prescott and hannon likely one of these will be better than the older horses that are totally exposed,but would be a complete guess to which ones..Steel helmets found a little improvement with steps up to 1m6fs at chelmsford in a 0-65 coming second then winning last time out over two miles the race at newcastle last time out was terrible..As long as there's not to many improvers in the race from the three year olds then should run well in relation to the older horses entered in the race and decent place chances..
Yasir the veteran 118 races wins over a variety of distances and runs ok if he gets a decent pace to chase a couple of races this season has been running on at finish in this class over 1m6fs then last time out same again over two mile running on third in a 0-60 beaten 6ls off 54..The probability is they will go slow here but a pound below last win in december then an ew chance..


7.0



Delicate Kiss 6/1 ppower/sportsbook Pheidippides 9/1 365

Kitcarina is the most lightly raced only eight tries,three on the aw and already won a 0-80 this season st kempton if it goes on the track then will probably win dropped into a 0-75 only two pound higher drawn 1 you could have a saver and maybe try some forecasts with the other two...Slighty bigger prices delicate kiss thoroughly exposed has won over c/d twice before,lt run here won by over 4 1/2ls in this grade,eight pound higher tomorrow, bit exposed but would could run well for a place.Similarly Pheidippides another c/d winner,eleven runs on the aw one win off 75 here won a very similar race to tomorrows and has been rated 80 in the past,if it runs to that form another decent ew chance..


7.30


Hidden dream 16/1 ppower/sportsbook/victor Catapult 12/1 365 9/1 hills

A couple of shots in the dark really as a 0-50 one of the worst races you will see,a john butler horse so betting will probably tell the story only the five runs shown virtually nothing, but the one run at wolves over 7fs was sixth in a 0-60 running on well after getting left,may have hit the frame with decent break..Then next run out the back never involved,horse might just be a rogue but off just 50 with another five off so seven pound lower than the wolves 0-60 and now in a 0-50 betting will be interesting,even though does have a very poor draw..
Catapults bit of a rogue 1/31 but still only a four year old the one win coming over cd last season off 49 in a 0-60 and had a third here over the c/d has lots of bits and pieces of form that gives it an ew chance and runs off just 46 trainers also had a couple of winners lately as well so might run well even without winning..

Disappoiting to see tracks drying ground,ffos las looking nearer good now,rain was forecast at these meetings but now been chaged just tyoical..i did the form o soft ground was actually hoping for heavy,probablt ruined all the bets now..ifacr they have the goings nearer gd ground the angle was soft ground..

 

[gigilo]

Try some multiples to very small stakes tomorrow

Nottingham 4.30


Ugo Gregory 5/2 hils


Ugo gregory got dropped to sprinting after running over further in seven previous runs,takes on the older horses tomorrow after winning over cd
a 0-75 by an easy 2 1/2ls difficult to know the value of the form and the time alsi difficlt to evaluate will pretty much be very slow tomorrow like its win..Having gone through the race not that many with very soft ground form,so stuck with it even though my enemy number one easterby, horses like cupid arrow could run well doesn't win too often but was second in a 0-65 over c/d penultimate looks one of the more obvious ones leads and favourite may follow it through from similar draws..Wouldn't discount that one even though flopped at catterick and also maybe prestbury park was better than these last season,has regressed but yhrows in the odd decent run and off 66 lowest ever mark may run ok.

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBPOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!God knows whst it traded in running a stone in hand from where it won,unreal.:lol:


5.0


Deinonychus 5/2 365/skybet/victor 9/4/sportsbook/ppowr Lucys law 8/1 generally


Deinonychus eight year old only twenty four runs,had a longlay off and come back from two years off has run ok fourth in a 0-75 over c/d recently then ran even better at ripon over 1m4fs in a 0-75 very little value in the prices even though has the best recent form but should run well on those runs on ground it likes..Movie star has only had seven runs,so not thoroughly exposed and ran well penultimate run off 62 in a 0-65 just getting collared and drops in class and trip obvious ew chances and one other Lucy's law a maiden on the turf 0/14 has been a non runner because of soft ground which sees strange looking at its form as a fifth in a 0-70 over 1m2fs at haydock recently and a third to captain pugwash in a 0-65 at wetherby on very slow ground,off 63 tomorrow off 58 with claimer taking off another five so off 53 although the claimer izzy clifto not great could run well,will proably be dependant on jock,trainers not been in great form either so would only be a tentative pick..These three would run well on their best form this season in a poor race.

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!!Lovely drift 4.3 on the fair,looked unbeatabler as long as ground was on soft side!!!!A great day sp 3/1


Ffos Las 3.45


Beerwiththeboys 9/2 365/victor/skybet 4/1 generally


Beer with the boys keeps dropping in class still only twelve lifetime runs,was rated 75 at one point and has only won a maiden on soft ground at ponte,a third last season off 68 in a 1m4f handicap and this season after a wond op been stepped up in trips.Hasn't run badly in a 0-85 and a 0-80 over 1m6f twice beaten four and five lengths,gets to drop onto a 0-65 tomorrow runs off 67 with five pound claim,as long as it is the ground it wants then looks obvious place chance with favourite its how we roll..


Lingfield 4.55



Steel Helmet 4/1 hills Yasir 18/1 ppower/sportsbook 16/1 lads

Absolutely desperate race and with five 3yr olds lightly raced at bottom of the handicap from dunlop and prescott and hannon likely one of these will be better than the older horses that are totally exposed,but would be a complete guess to which ones..Steel helmets found a little improvement with steps up to 1m6fs at chelmsford in a 0-65 coming second then winning last time out over two miles the race at newcastle last time out was terrible..As long as there's not to many improvers in the race from the three year olds then should run well in relation to the older horses entered in the race and decent place chances..
Yasir the veteran 118 races wins over a variety of distances and runs ok if he gets a decent pace to chase a couple of races this season has been running on at finish in this class over 1m6fs then last time out same again over two mile running on third in a 0-60 beaten 6ls off 54..The probability is they will go slow here but a pound below last win in december then an ew chance..

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!And a lovely place with yasir,anything else would be a bonus now!!!!:lol::lol:
7.0



Delicate Kiss 6/1 ppower/sportsbook Pheidippides 9/1 365

Kitcarina is the most lightly raced only eight tries,three on the aw and already won a 0-80 this season st kempton if it goes on the track then will probably win dropped into a 0-75 only two pound higher drawn 1 you could have a saver and maybe try some forecasts with the other two...Slighty bigger prices delicate kiss thoroughly exposed has won over c/d twice before,lt run here won by over 4 1/2ls in this grade,eight pound higher tomorrow, bit exposed but would could run well for a place.Similarly Pheidippides another c/d winner,eleven runs on the aw one win off 75 here won a very similar race to tomorrows and has been rated 80 in the past,if it runs to that form another decent ew chance..

Non runner was a bonus,just to see the otherone come 4th got stake back anyway 1.6 for 4 places so annoying wen you have multiples running on as well...


7.30


Hidden dream 16/1 ppower/sportsbook/victor Catapult 12/1 365 9/1 hills

A couple of shots in the dark really as a 0-50 one of the worst races you will see,a john butler horse so betting will probably tell the story only the five runs shown virtually nothing, but the one run at wolves over 7fs was sixth in a 0-60 running on well after getting left,may have hit the frame with decent break..Then next run out the back never involved,horse might just be a rogue but off just 50 with another five off so seven pound lower than the wolves 0-60 and now in a 0-50 betting will be interesting,even though does have a very poor draw..
Catapults bit of a rogue 1/31 but still only a four year old the one win coming over cd last season off 49 in a 0-60 and had a third here over the c/d has lots of bits and pieces of form that gives it an ew chance and runs off just 46 trainers also had a couple of winners lately as well so might run well even without winning..

Disappoiting to see tracks drying ground,ffos las looking nearer good now,rain was forecast at these meetings but now been chaged just tyoical..i did the form o soft ground was actually hoping for heavy,probablt ruined all the bets now..ifacr they have the goings nearer gd ground the angle was soft ground..

 

[gigilo]

Chepstow 7.45



Clear spring 20/1 skybet/sportsbook/ppower/victor/unibet

Probably desperate ground at chepstow tomorrow,lots of well handicapped hores in here Doc sportello,Naadirr and clear spring plummetted in weights and smokey lane back on its right ground,wouldn't be a shock so see any of them run well but would be guessing as all veteran stage now,Doc sportello has been running in decenr races on the turf and not been beaten far the last time out in a 0-95 just a length even though only 6th of 7 if it goes on this heavy ground and track could run well..Clear spring only ran two races last season has shown nothing since october 2017 won off 85 even though only had six runs since,although this season has run in weaker races a 0-85 and a 0-80 has run ok 4th and 5th not beaten far..those rus have been on fastr ground,doesn't usuallly run on fsster going so tomorrow ground should suit.That last win ws on heavy and its previous run before that was over c/d 2nd off 85,speculative bet but this is still a 0-80 and any improvement fr slower ground might run well..Be intersting betting wise this race as i've mentioned fiur and anyone of them on desperate ground could win this as they have all plumetted i weghts,althiugh they are veterans but i could see a few of them winning before the ed of the season..

 

[gigilo]

Try some ew multiples again,just a complete guessing game on the turf though as some mettings are drying out quickly..

Thirsk 5.55


Alotabottle 85/40 marathonbet 2/1 hills/victor/sportsbook/ppower Socru 9/1 hills Stronsay 11/1 victor/sportsbook/ppower


Alotabottle won easy at catterick last time out,was around .70 slower than the 0-75 older handicap but did win easy and carried 9-10 6 pound more than the 74 rated older horse handicapped winner, the only horse open to improvement in the race if it handles the track then would be the one to beat running off 75 in 3yr old handicap..Socrus interesting first time headgear last time out and best ever run a staying on 6th in a 0-90 at york,dropped into this 0-75 any more improvement decent ew chance off 70.
Stronsay bit inconsistent has won here before in a maiden,would be surprised if it could win but was third in recent run in a 0-80 at catterick off 72,off 70 tomorrow ew chances even though drawn in the carpark..

Wolves 1.40


No more regrets 14/1 victor/hills/365 Casarubina 20/1 365/victor 28/1 might try and see if it trades a little lower in running must be a right hound with that drift


A couple of speculative ones No more regrets was rated 84 with Richard Hannon completely different class to these,then went to patrick morris that in itself probably tells you has had problems three winners all season stable, tumbling down the weights for him but run ok in two races at chester well beaten but far better races than this..A fifth of seven in a 0-95 at chester on june 15th only beaten 4ls and a sixth of nine in a 0-80,those were not terrible runs and now drops into a 0-60 a massive 18 pound drop just since may,another five from the claimer so runs off 57..Has a poor draw which is a big negative but if stable think it can just run to 60+ then at these prices you would expect to be well backed,if not then you will probably see that regression..
Casarubina trained by littmoden,prices havn't contracted since i put it up so probably has regressed since last run you would want to see loads of money for this especially with josephine gordon booked,first time in handicap on fourth run off 59..On debut ran here over 5fs was beaten 6ls but looked a respectable maiden winner ustaths rated 81 and the horse directly behind it that day fairy fast had previous experience is rated 63 so looks ok on that run and even its turf runs havn't been to bad..Really you would expect these to be heavily backed in this 0-60 if just remotely showing ability..You'd want to be seeing these halving in prices in a 0-60.

Lovely start 28/1 ew plus did 4 places 4s a place!!other came 5th as well..


Thirsk 7.30


Al Erayg 7/1 hills

Was unlucky last time out when i left him alone,he had first time pieces on and never looked like losing till getting collared by the well handicapped mikmak in a 0-90 that was with a step up to a mile as well..He's unreliable so hopig the pieces work again,had run here earlier in the season when fifth of ten in a 0-105 staying on,tomorrow the extra furong off 74 a repeat then ew chances i this 0-80//

6.30


Mogsy 6/4 365/skybet/hills/victor/sportsbook/betfred/totesport


Mogsys fit takes on an odds on shot from haggas stable,was second at haydock on gd/sft ground the thirds come second off 82 last run in a handicap so mogsy looks at least on that run its third lifetime run, then maybe around an 85 horse,went off 40/1 so perhaps stable don't think much of it..The fav ran in a maiden won by thrilla in manilla chocca full of winners it could be anything had a 90 horse directly behind it and this was montathams debut run..I suspect he's different class but hasn't run for 294 days,so have added it in adds up if place..

4.55


Raquet 16/1 totesport/betfred/hills/unibet 365 20/1 sportsbook/ppower/victor

Raquet won this ladies amateur riders race last season,don't know who shannon watts is she's had one winner so would only be a token pick ground looks like being on soft side which should suit won the race last season off 52 with Ella Mc cain taking off 5 so 47 tomorrow off 46 with five off a pound out of the handicap but still well in at the weights.Horse has won five races over 6fs on softer ground,yet this season has had nine races only one over 6fs and that was on gd/fm the rest over 5fs.Has shown nothing bar one run at ripon when drawn on the wrongside and was first of seven on that side finishing third in the race,drawn 15 tomorrow draws a conondrum now although is drawn next to jacobs pillow if the highs are a advantage then might run ok from the draw..

Notts 2.35


Valentino Sunrise 9/4 generally


A short price Valentino Sunrise would expect it to drift from 9/4 although its last three runs have been good,it looks the one to beat on its very last run in a 0-70 at donny but its other runs like the rest of the field wouldn't make it anything like a confident pick it just looks obvious for the frame if running to last three runs and the fact its won on heavy ground which it could be tomorrow..Is drawn 11 tomorrow don't know if that will be an advantage or not,one boy ran well in a 0-65 LTO and bronze beau has been running well in these races even though veteran has a chance..Celerity i have out up recenty is a 70 horse maiden,might be worth putting an in running lay as on these straight tracks has been leading..

Got 1.44 a place,main thing was getting in the frame although traded 1.24 in running..

 

[gigilo]

Much as suspected today,five seconds two of the just touched off ground was desperate at thrsk as well i think the 5.55 race the form will be priven wring as the favourute beat the winner by 10ls on previous run was a day for heavy ground horses there..

Acombe York wednesday



Persuasion 6/1 lads/corals..


Winning a maiden at goodwod on debut same maiden that Duke of Hazzard won previous season now rated 111 after winning earlier in the month,very impressive on deut gave the field 8ls was very free, to handle the track and run so free and finish off the race getting stopped in run didn't really look like a 2yr old..The time was pretty decent as well just .71 slower than Land of legends winning the 3yr old 0-105 handicap off 96 and that one hacked up as well i'd imagine potentially that persuasion is better than a group 3 horse and runs in the Acombe at york on wednesday..Sire acclamation has better stats on gd/fm ground is currently gd/sft at york but by wednesday if forecasts are right it shouldv'e dried out,Charlie Hills trains won the corresponding race last season with Phoenix of spain so becomes even more interesting as that one won 2,000 guineas this season..Obviously there are loads you could like its a bit of speculation but any improvement then should be involved in finish and could yet be anything..

 

[gigilo]

lingfield placepot

1,4,8,12
1,4,5,7
1,3
1,2,3
2,7,8
2,3,4,7,12




ew multiples

Windsor 5.30


Foxy femme 9/2 365 4/1 sportsbook/hills/betfred/totesport Tone the bone 5/1 365/hills/skybet/totesport/betfred
13/2 lads 6/1 generally looks like rai has hot the track si now that draw might hit the track and probaly turns it into another ottery..
Potentially quite a few unexposed runners so would only be minimum stakes,tone the bone has already won twice so mightv'e come to an end its winning run might just be as good as it is but looks to have a decet ew chance was a c/d winner off 55 back in april,beat simba samba off 61 that one has won since but onky a poor race.Last time out was second at yarmouth was second off 67 that was a 0-80 for 3yr olds but was only a 5f race,now up to 69 back up to 6fs,at least is drawn lowish hopefully ground will be on quicker side of good and stands rail an advantage,to give it place chances.
Foxy femme won at leicester last time out five lifetime runs a 0-70 off 61,now runs off 68 the seconds franked the form gold at midnight winning a class 4 at newmarket and two respectable runs stepped up in class since,although ever rock ws back in third ex[osed runners and reopposes tomorrow..Sonia henie won a better race than this on the aw last time out and looks one to follow that was first run for trainer david loughnane if it can bring that form to the turf then would be favourite,might be worth addig in for forecasts,at the moment the ground looks like being good would like to see it faster and no rain if things chage ground/weather wise i might do something else or add another pick but leave this as it is at the moment..Really have only dine them if ground is quick and relying on draw being an advntage.


Catterick 3.0


Santafiora 11/1 365/betway/victor 10/1 generally

Santafiora looks a bit more interesting than form reads,won 3/24 1/11 on turf won two races on the aw earlier in the year off 52 and 55 in january,may 31st went off 3/1f in a 0-70 on heavy ground at carlisle off 56 finished second,simialr runs o the aw and a respectable run on the turf
although only sixth at thirsk.Last time out was sixth at donny in a 0-70 drawn 10 but dropped out and ended up beig on the putsude of the field,probably a lengt or two better than that run..I put up springwood drive that da came second and has won twice since,including today and the thirds won maid of spirit hacking up in a class 4,was just behind fumbo jumbo which it shouldv'e finished infront of and the one won the 0-70 at thirsk..It looks like the horse wants some definite cut,was very sift yesterday but now drying if ithe grounds still on the slow side then off a mark of just 53 then could easily run well,this looks like one to follow o soft ground off these marks does tend to stat slowly so may pop up at a decent prce before the end of the season.Julie camacho is on a bit of a losing run as well,she usually has a good strike rate so won't be giving on this at big prices in future.



4.0




Billy wedge 9/1 lads/hills/sportsbook/betfred/totesport/betway

10/1 sportsbook/victor

This would definitely be speculative i wasn't going to put it up as the traier tracey waggot she never has any winners 2/87 so the chances of picking her winners are highly unlikely..Billy wedge a ten race maiden has three runs on softer ground a third in a maiden over 7fs at thirsk and a fourth off 69 over same c/d at thirsk,faster ground runs then again june 18th a second of twelve in a 0-70 again at thirsk over that c/d,that first division was only .08 slower than the second division won by bee machine favourite for tomorrows first division of the two..A different track and maybe just be a thirsk specialist but drops into a 0-60 tomorrow off the same mark,would have an obvious ew chance if could bring that run to
catterick..Our charlie brown 9/1 also was in this race at thirsk was fourth off 62 in first time pieces and the stalking moon was 5th a sh/hd between them they would have good chances again in tomorrows 4.30 second division if the form repeated even though both have become unreliable and o downgrade. both dropped two pound.charlie brown 14/1 The stalking moon 14/1

5.35


Tapis libre 8/1 365 9/1 ppower/sportsbook/skybet/lads/victor/efred/totesport/corals

A ladies amateur riders race with joanna mason riding veteran Tapis libre eleven now could be last season and last couple of runs not showing much,the last time he won was off 76 this time lst year with same type of race,joanna masons won on him ten times and the only time he's run well this season was at york when again on softer ground was sixth in the quee mothers cup a 0-95 same sort of race again..As said earlier hopefully the ground will be as slow as possible and might see a better run off a mark of 68,although there are horses i here that could be improving and some that are well handicapped anyway.Would like to see lots of rain and lots of money for it..




Lingfield 4.45


Mystical moon 8/1 365 10/1 victor/boyles 11/1 skybet/hills 12/1 888 sport 16/1 sportsbook/ppower

Unfortunately it looks like mystical monn has lost this race before it's starteed but at the prices have to back it,then just keep following it for awhile 2/18 on the aw won off 45 and 51 march/april 2019 then was fifth in may losing place from decent draw and then staying on i a 0-65 then again last time out was drawn low agai got no run ran on and then eased just beaten 2 1/2ls in a 0-70..Tomorrow runs in a 0-55 but drawn 12/12 just have to follow for a few races,all you can do is hope the pce doesn't hold up tomorrow and running off just 51 tomorrow..

And a non runner the one that looked the real value running today,no doubt because of the draw..just typical ad rain at windsor ffs,hope its not ging to be anothee week of impossible ground predictions

 

[gigilo]

lingfield placepot

1,4,8,12
1,4,5,7
1,3
1,2,3
2,7,8
2,3,4,7,12

£350 profit just needed one more result.




ew multiples

Windsor 5.30


Foxy femme 9/2 365 4/1 sportsbook/hills/betfred/totesport Tone the bone 5/1 365/hills/skybet/totesport/betfred
13/2 lads 6/1 generally looks like rai has hot the track si now that draw might hit the track and probaly turns it into another ottery..
Potentially quite a few unexposed runners so would only be minimum stakes,tone the bone has already won twice so mightv'e come to an end its winning run might just be as good as it is but looks to have a decet ew chance was a c/d winner off 55 back in april,beat simba samba off 61 that one has won since but onky a poor race.Last time out was second at yarmouth was second off 67 that was a 0-80 for 3yr olds but was only a 5f race,now up to 69 back up to 6fs,at least is drawn lowish hopefully ground will be on quicker side of good and stands rail an advantage,to give it place chances.
Foxy femme won at leicester last time out five lifetime runs a 0-70 off 61,now runs off 68 the seconds franked the form gold at midnight winning a class 4 at newmarket and two respectable runs stepped up in class since,although ever rock ws back in third ex[osed runners and reopposes tomorrow..Sonia henie won a better race than this on the aw last time out and looks one to follow that was first run for trainer david loughnane if it can bring that form to the turf then would be favourite,might be worth addig in for forecasts,at the moment the ground looks like being good would like to see it faster and no rain if things chage ground/weather wise i might do something else or add another pick but leave this as it is at the moment..Really have only dine them if ground is quick and relying on draw being an advntage.


It rains and the two soft ground horses come 1,2 shouldve had the forecast once the ground went against my two,it just did my head in oce i saw the going chang and the crazt ting is they were drawn wide and got the rail ad the twi i did wet up the centre just unbelievable.luckily one git in the frame..


Catterick 3.0


Santafiora 11/1 365/betway/victor 10/1 generally

Santafiora looks a bit more interesting than form reads,won 3/24 1/11 on turf won two races on the aw earlier in the year off 52 and 55 in january,may 31st went off 3/1f in a 0-70 on heavy ground at carlisle off 56 finished second,simialr runs o the aw and a respectable run on the turf
although only sixth at thirsk.Last time out was sixth at donny in a 0-70 drawn 10 but dropped out and ended up beig on the putsude of the field,probably a lengt or two better than that run..I put up springwood drive that da came second and has won twice since,including today and the thirds won maid of spirit hacking up in a class 4,was just behind fumbo jumbo which it shouldv'e finished infront of and the one won the 0-70 at thirsk..It looks like the horse wants some definite cut,was very sift yesterday but now drying if ithe grounds still on the slow side then off a mark of just 53 then could easily run well,this looks like one to follow o soft ground off these marks does tend to stat slowly so may pop up at a decent prce before the end of the season.Julie camacho is on a bit of a losing run as well,she usually has a good strike rate so won't be giving on this at big prices in future.



4.0




Billy wedge 9/1 lads/hills/sportsbook/betfred/totesport/betway

10/1 sportsbook/victor

This would definitely be speculative i wasn't going to put it up as the traier tracey waggot she never has any winners 2/87 so the chances of picking her winners are highly unlikely..Billy wedge a ten race maiden has three runs on softer ground a third in a maiden over 7fs at thirsk and a fourth off 69 over same c/d at thirsk,faster ground runs then again june 18th a second of twelve in a 0-70 again at thirsk over that c/d,that first division was only .08 slower than the second division won by bee machine favourite for tomorrows first division of the two..A different track and maybe just be a thirsk specialist but drops into a 0-60 tomorrow off the same mark,would have an obvious ew chance if could bring that run to
catterick..Our charlie brown 9/1 also was in this race at thirsk was fourth off 62 in first time pieces and the stalking moon was 5th a sh/hd between them they would have good chances again in tomorrows 4.30 second division if the form repeated even though both have become unreliable and o downgrade. both dropped two pound.charlie brown 14/1 The stalking moon 14/1

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!Couldn't be arsed to write the same foirmline up,that will do about time pity the other let it down in other divvision.and the stalking moon got the place as well in 4th will settle of that today!!!.

5.35


Tapis libre 8/1 365 9/1 ppower/sportsbook/skybet/lads/victor/efred/totesport/corals

A ladies amateur riders race with joanna mason riding veteran Tapis libre eleven now could be last season and last couple of runs not showing much,the last time he won was off 76 this time lst year with same type of race,joanna masons won on him ten times and the only time he's run well this season was at york when again on softer ground was sixth in the quee mothers cup a 0-95 same sort of race again..As said earlier hopefully the ground will be as slow as possible and might see a better run off a mark of 68,although there are horses i here that could be improving and some that are well handicapped anyway.Would like to see lots of rain and lots of money for it..




Lingfield 4.45


Mystical moon 8/1 365 10/1 victor/boyles 11/1 skybet/hills 12/1 888 sport 16/1 sportsbook/ppower

Unfortunately it looks like mystical monn has lost this race before it's starteed but at the prices have to back it,then just keep following it for awhile 2/18 on the aw won off 45 and 51 march/april 2019 then was fifth in may losing place from decent draw and then staying on i a 0-65 then again last time out was drawn low agai got no run ran on and then eased just beaten 2 1/2ls in a 0-70..Tomorrow runs in a 0-55 but drawn 12/12 just have to follow for a few races,all you can do is hope the pce doesn't hold up tomorrow and running off just 51 tomorrow..

And a non runner the one that looked the real value running today,no doubt because of the draw..just typical ad rain at windsor ffs,hope its not ging to be anothee week of impossible ground predictions

 

[gigilo]

Kempton 4.0


Choral music 12/1 ppower/sportsbook 10/1 victor/365/hills/lads/totesport/betfred/corals

Choral music 19 runs five wins usually very consistent both on turf and the aw,last two runs have been poor though especially last run at lingfield hard to really make any excuses but run before last two runs was 2nd to quick breath here over 7fs in a 0-75 off 73..had run two of its poorer runs before that run as well so it's a bit speculatuve if its just gone out opf form for now..But has decent c/d record winning in october off 73 then followed that up with a 4th i a 0-80 in november,a better race than tomorrows only beaten 1 1/4ls staying on,as mentioned in and out snce but back down to a mark of 70 would have a decent ew chance in this grade if just running to its curret mark.Trainer jihn long doest have many runners but he does seem to save the whe they are ready to run,17 runners this season three winners and five places i got a ittle bot of 16s was hoping a few more books would open 16s but not to be..although if it ran anywhere near its best should only be 6-7/1 anyway in this grade..tops

 

[gigilo]

These going changes are ridiculous i did the form at bath on gd/sft ground loads of rain expected so thats ruined the form will stick with a couple of them but i think they need good ground not fast,just very small interests multiples..


Bath 4.05


Sir plato 6/1 totesport/betfred 13/2 hills 9/1 ppower/sportsbook


Sir plato was looking the obvios bet with rain forecast,the rain hasn't materialized and looks like being quick ground now has run ok on gd/fm but this race looked ideal a 0-65 running off just 65 with claimer taking off another three down to just 62 never run in this grade before..Went off favourite last time out at windsor off 67 again the ground probably too quick in a 0-80 at widsor beaten just over 5ls,probably still has an ew chance but i can see the ground being rattling tomorrow...Will have to follow it for a few runs with stable in such good form..

3.25


Heritage 5/2 888sport/victor/365 Line of reason 11/2 generally 6/1 unibet

Heritage has already woj two races as a 3yr old winning handicaps off 81 and 82 on fast ground,last time out second here to miss celestial beaten at odds on that ones gone onto run third to mister jumbo at chester and on sunday third to shades of blue and perfection both rated 105 so form might still be quite good coming back here,although the huge weight of 9-10 for the 3yr old taking on older horses is a big task.
Paul midgley sends Line of reason all the way to bath no other runners there,looking at its form its very rarely run on turning tracks infact has avoided them i presume he's sent it just because of the fast ground,a mark of 85 is obvously very well in but nothing to suggest on form this season it should win,although it is now in the right races be interesting to see if it just gets left on turning track.


Carlisle 3.10



Ugo Gregory 3/1 skybet/sportsbook/ppower/betfred/ttsport Bedtime Bella 9/2 totesport/betfred 4/1 hills


Both improvers on soft/heavy ground they will need to improve on the races won so far as there are oters i here with better form,the ground looks like being desperate there tomorow already soft and more rain tey will relish the ground,although both have welterweghts..Hoping really the ground will hinder the others as much as them not having as good a form..If ground dries out hen kollossus would have a decent chace was third in a bettr race last time out at hamilton..



Carlisle 4.55



Beverley bullett 8/1 generally


Doesn't win too often Beverley bullet,stuck in mid 60s for over two seasons winning off 60,62,64,66 likes desperate conditions and is a c/d winner has form with loads in this race some it should beat some it shouldn't plus it has the car park draw in 14.Plenty of negatives but as least proven on ground and c/d a recent ataying on fifthere in a 0-85 over a furlong shorter tha tomorrows race,as long as draws not a diasdavantage then ew chances,firewaters still open to iprovement as a 3yr old second in a simialr race at haydock recently on desperate ground so at least prves it stays on ground.Iconic bay looks well handicapped on a win at ayr last season on desperate ground in a 0-75,off putting is that three runs here have been poor,could be coincidence and maybe this desperate ground will suit better running off a 4 pound lowr mark than that win..and parole has some of the best form in the race winning a 0-75 back in 2017,the rain hasn't arrived as forecast here either so ground might be not be as bad as looked likely and could run well at 20/1,easterby has five ruunners here today with york on.

5.55



Lucky icon 6/4 365


A very short pruce and am not even sure jocke has even rde a winner te rides not even a place,am not quite sure f that is rght but that makes the ptice look even shorter,rated 127 over hurdles after an easy win last time out and now joining the Phil kirby stable,a very strange entry for
first debut ru gets in off what looks a rodiculous mark of 46,will be intersting to see if it runs i've looked at the recent hurde wins and the time of the lst win was just outsode standard tomorrow totally different conditions..Would beunusual to see a horse run times like tht ober hurdkes then won on heavy ground on the flat,the positve you could take from the sire sixties icon 20% strike rate o heavy ground,no doubt ut will wi by hald the track or will bomb out completely,would be a very por entry if theywere t run this not knowing it goes on heavy ground..

Was supposed to be rain at carlisle now that hasn't arrived either,was expecting heavy ground now i see gd/sft and all mine are drifting i really can't be bothered to go through it all again have menntioned a couple of others in write up as well now...waste of time and effort..

 

[gigilo]

Too many guessing games for me as regards ground so jst one bet for me in last at york,going to leave racing till the wekend now as i can't get the going right at these tracks hopefuilt drys out by friday./saturday..

York 4.50



Salayel 5/1 ppower/sportsbook/ 9/2 victor/lads/hills

Salayel just five lifetime runs,first four runs in dubai on the aw then joined roger varian stable made debut after a four month break coming second to california love that one tiuched off in a 0-105 at chelmsford on the 10th of august...The race at newmarket was only .08 slower than the bunbury cup on the same day and that was a big field 0-105,horse still ope to improvement would liike no rain and the track to be as quick as possible,hopefully dry out a bit more overnight..loads of others you could pick out am not even going to try and pick anything else with the current going..The times of the races that day suggest even though off 91 still could be well in this type of race,inteesting runner..
Whitefountainfairy 9/1 has been an eyecatcher numerous times especally at goodwood in better races than this,last time out agai at goodwood eyecatcher hs become very well handicapped..Strange hasn't been entered at goodwood next couple of days on ground that wouldv been perfect,hasn't form here or on these tracks like york and has the draw in car park 18,but does have the class o figure in this race..Still unsure of ground looks like being gd/gdfm ne may get away with it and obvious chance at least on form..

 

[gigilo]

Trades evens Saleyel and still only scrapes in the frame,beat the third 6ls last time out unreal result vcouple of token bets i 7 horse race think the forst two in betting will probably be 1,2 betfred/totesport paying 3 places so tiny interests on these two..

Newmatket5.30

Dominus 10/1 Btefred/ttesport Tinto 20/1 betfred/totesport generally

Dominus and Tinto looking exposed now a little,i think Majaalis and Drummond warrior will have to stop progressing to not win this Drummond warrior ran exactly the same time as Dominus at windsor on the same night when Dominus was second in a 0-85 to the progressive second collection and Drummond warrior won easily in a maiden,Tinto was 2 3/4ls behind Dominus in that race although did get stopped in running and had to be switched also finished 3ls behind Domius earlier in the season over tomorrows c/d..It looks like Tinto can't finish infront of Dominus but appeared to be travelling well last time out in a 0-105 stopped in run over tomorrows c/d may simply have been flattered as they didn't go quick but did look better than that form,penultimate run finished infront of concierge at goodwood thats 9/1 tomorrow..As said on the windsor run has 2 3/4ls to find with Dominus and the maiden winner Drummond warrior from the same card,they both look capable of winning more races it's just this race looks very hot with two progressive horses..A small field so worth a couple of speculative bets with three places..I think Tinto will probably go off a lot shorter,all depending how short front two in betting get but can see it 12/1 maybe even shorter so a nice trade in there reardless of result.

Still 16/1 marathonbet/888sport

Can't complain about that backed it into 14s made a few quid trading,traded eves in running as well plus got the place with betfred totesport nice little race to bet i gave the field 5ls start as well..just can't get any luck this week two beaten a nose tinto beaten a nk.nose loads of seconds...

 

[gigilo]

Very little value on these cards again small stakes and multiples,hopefully these tur ito thieving bets..

Goodwood 3.15

Oh This Is Us 6/1 35/skybet/victor generally Lake Volta 8/1 victor/betway/365/lads/skybet

Could do wit the ground drying out at goodwood to make it rattling,it's currently good ground looking at the times that looks right if it stayed like that then this race becomes a pinjob lots prefer goodish ground,maybe not so many fast ground..Oh This I Us hasn't run off 105 since february 2018,usually contests group 3s and listed races,has been running perfectly respectable this season in these races,its best run came at epsom on rattling ground when second to zaaki rated 112,was faster than the group 2 filies race on the same card,if the ground becomes quick then would take some beating in a handicap has run well here before as well.
Lake voltas got a poor draw in 10,third in this race off 100 last season now off 97,acts on most goings and trips has already won off 98 this season and a fifth in the bubury cup off 103 so obvious ew chances at its best,especially if gets to the front and uncontested,kimifive 10/1 won easily over c/d off a four pound lower mark and has since been runner up to beat le bon and was finishing well in the stewards behind lake volta,might be worth a saver and try some forecasts..wouldn't put anyone off putting in kimifive instead of lake volta there looks nothing between them..

Complete waste of time Oh this is us went from 11/2 out to 14s on betfair,absolutely stunk that race and of course the ground dead as a dodo the winner and third usually run in lower grade races,just impossible to predict these meetings i was expecting rattling ground there today just dead ground..Thought it wouldv'e been rattling by this time today,that hannon horse should be investigated as never goes off that pruce in listed and group races one of the stragest drifts i've ever seen.


Windsor 7.20



La manquina 7/1 victor/ppower

La manquinas only had five runs on the turf,best run was at newmarket on the 12th of july the fastest race on the card fast by 1.22 seconds compared favourably with class 2 and listed races on same day, the horse directly behind it went onto win a 0-95 next time out at goodwood La manquina was in that race but it got behind on the track not a great run either.The 4th also ran well in a 0-90 NTO, had medieval 4ls behind thats 9/2 tomorrow in same race,the 7th breathtaking look run well yesterday in a 0-105,if they don't overwater at windsor which they tend to do dropped back into a 0-85 appears still well handicapped..If they don't chuck the water on i can see this going off favourite,could easily go off 3/1 maybe shorter and a decent trade..




Windsor 7.50

Kingston Kurrajong 6/1 365 Noble fox 7/1 sportsbook/victor/ppower 8/1 unibet


Kingston kurrajong doesn't win too often,a recent third over c/d in a 0-80 would have obvious ew chances on that run,quite a few lightly raced 3yr olds, probablitity is one of then will win the race so will stick with Noble fox previous c/d run was second off current mark three pound claim tomorrow so another ew chance in same grade with just five runs..Quite a few in here similiary could do with one or two non runners..

Chelmsford 4.20


Bayston hill 15/2 ppower/sportsbook 9/1 marathonbet Dangerous Ends 11/1 ppower/sportsbook/victor 8/1 generally


Another race where the more likely winners are lurking in the 3yr olds at bottom of the weights,these two thoroughly exposed Dangerous ends is 4/17 on the aw has won here off 70 and been second off 72 been running over further lately running respectably got its mark down a couple of pounds to 71..Ran a decent race over a mile at lingfield last time out in a 0-75 finishing third staying on over a mile,tomorrow claimer takes off five so off 66 think a lot will depend what these 3yr olds are like if any good then maybe only going for a place they have very little to find bottom three in weights..
Bayston hill similarly expose aw runner,has won over this c/d and lingfied 3/16 on the aw prett consitent won i first time pieces here only five runs back in april,that was only a 0-70 so weaker race,has run well in 0-75s over c/d before and gets ti run off 64 tomorrow with claimer taking off three//Will probaby be relying on the bottom three runners being no good,but already their form isn't far behind whats in the book so looking more at place chances.


5.25



Pearl spectre 7/1 365 13/2 victor/hills



Very speculative pick with Pearl spectre a veteran now at eight,did win in january off 70 over c/d but has regressed now to this company not really looking like winning,this is now lowest ever aw mark of 62 has never run in a class 6 on the aw before on any of it early season for would be favourute..Been running on the turf hasnever wonon it i te runs but not running that badly,there are two big negatuves grace mc entre rides she is very poor and her dad is in terrible form have just cheked last nine runners and seve of the have finished in the last two..Will be intersting to see if there's any money for it,might be worth putting in an in running lay as she may go off really quick will be running off just 55 tomorrow with daughter riding.

Drifts like a barge daughter on and misses the break,leads nearly every race,had some stinkers today probably my own fault trusting these jock and trainer combinations,got the ground wrong aat goodwood and two absolute filthy driters..

Redcar 4.55



Thomas cranmer 7/1 generally

A record of 5/36 Thomas cranmer was running to a slightly higher level last season,was rated 92 at one point been regressing now just rated 72 one decent run this season a fourth at york off 73 in a 0-85,last time out fourth in a 0-75 as well a repeat of those runs in this lady amateurs race for horses rated upto 75 then obvious place chances at worst..Real director could be the one to beat just five runs,a decent run in a 0-85 at newcastle and now with archie watson,brodie hampsons been riding loads of winners as well..

Had saver on regal director got 7/2.got 1.5 thomascranmer 4 places garbage day..




Newmarket 5.05


Equitation 4/1 victor/skbet/victor

The clss horse in the race Equitation strange entry really as never wo over 5fs,i presume they are risking with it being newmarket has still only had thirteen runs o the turf so possibly till open to a little imprivement all season been running mainly at windsor over 6fs two seconds touched off by molls memory and embour both ran well today in better races..Will need them to go quick not like the farcical race that ended the newmarkket card today,others like excessable and leo minor both have become well handicapped will ike the ground and in the right grade..

Too short for it got 1.7 4 places to get stakes bak rubbish day

 

[gigilo]

Garbage again today,4ths and seconds betting on wrong ground try a thieving bet tomorrow hope its better tha todays stuff,..

Goodwood placepot

5,8
6,8
1,2,4,5
3,4,5,6
1,6,9
1,3,4,5
Goodwood 2.30


Elegant love 4/1 generally 9/2 888 sport Queens soldier 2/1 ppower/sportsbook

Queens soldier ten runs six places,should have won by now two decent runs here one in a class 5 coming 3rd and a 2nd in a class 6 now dropped into a seller bound to be involved in finish along with the evans horse Elegant love.Elegant loves cauht the eye a couple of time one run at windsor massive outstanding piece of formin a 0-80 at windsor only beaten 4ls,then a eyecatcher at ffos las again staying on,both have solid form for a seller,grounds been a nightmare here today as i thought it would be fast but still riding on the slow side,i presume by tomorrow it will be quick..Shouldn't make any difference to these two as both have form on either ground..

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Best betting race of the weekend,miles clear and the forecst £4.14!!!

5.20

Zac brown 4/1 sportsbook/ppower Major pusey 6/1 365/victor

Zac browns been a winning machine on the aw,not so good on turf but was only on june 26th won at sailsbury beating recent winner harry hurricane in a 0-80 off 67 although that was a veterans race,has won over c/d before,drawn in 7 and usually leads..It's not usually an advantage to go on the rail,but there hasn't been any watering so it might be a advantage tomorrow and could well trade very low in running,irish runner mister trader hasn't run for 261 days,maybe been laid out for this race shown nothing in recent times and two entries in ireland non runner because of soft ground impossible to leave out and drawn 6 is currently 7/2 fav,betting will be very interesting was rated 77 now rated just 67/
Major pusey was a horse i was going to follow at some point,but he looks like he's lost his enthusiasm for racing,finishing races off tamely am not even sure it will run as it usually prefers softer ground,this is lowest mark since may 2015 when it actually won over this c/d off 65,hasn't run in this grade since, its run poorly in races it shouldv'e run well in last two races,be interesting to see if stable let in run again with a decent draw in 9.

Evens for 2 places zak borwn covered with 1.45 3 places as only 7 runners a very good day,had alreadybet it ew at 4/1


Yarmouth 3.25


Jovial 4/5 365

Skinny price for jovial as get some decent 2yr old races at yarmouth,time was respectable at chelmsford on debut certainly nothing special with natura improveent i would say its probably going to run to high 80s maybe 90..Haggas,SBS and palmer and varian i race could be a nice maiden this race..


Got 2.2 only half stakes though but got 1.4 for 2 places which has worked out lovely KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!!!



Yarmouth 5.40


Punjab mail 5/1 365/victor

Punjab mail two great runs with two very poor runs,just 11 days ago on soft ground at sailsbury beaten in an apprentice handicap beaten easily,previous to that was fifth of nine at york in a class 3 beaten 2 3/4ls staying on,drops into a 0-70 tomorrow hopefully a little bit of water has been put down as was non runner previously on gd/fm..Ryan moore rides.This horse has ability i'm wondering if he's going for a touch on the aw,on debut run for the ian williams stable best ever run was fifth of nine in a 0-90 over 6fs staying on so will be keeping this in notbook for any wolves appearences that was off 77 as well..tomorrow off 67.

Cantring non trier 4.3 out to 7.2 think my plan of the aw plot is looking likely..

Don't know whats going on at yarmouth no watering sytem so the grounds firm and punjabi mails still running..


Kingston kurrajong won the last,thankfully saved the day so not as bad as first thought.....

 

[gigilo]

An interest bet for tomorrow couple of ew multiples verysmall stakes..don't normal bet on bank holidau mondays as racings always diabolical..




Chepstow 5.30


Menin gate 13/2 hills 6/1 skybet/unibet Sindarella 11/1 ppower/sportsbook/unibet

A weak 1m4f race for horses rated upto 60 a few lurking in the weights,Menin gates had eight lifetime runs looks capable of wining a ve weak race last four runs stepped uto these trips in 0-70s a 3rd in a 0-70 at donny about its best run staying on at finish,although the races have bee ru on slower ground or been run slowly so might not be quite as good as first looks but if no imprvers then should run well..

Sinndarellas more exposed a ten runner maiden but has been running ok,a second at bath then second of four at bath steppe up in trip
a third over tomorrows c/d in a 0-65 then second of fiur at bath in a 1m6f race infact that maybe the distance it needs te horse directly behind it blame it on sally haed up at goodwood yesterday in a 0-70 so has ew chances o those runs and runs off just 45 with claimer taking off 3.

Southwell 5.20



Beechwood james 7/2 365/skybet So hi cardi 20/1 365/victor 18/1 betfred/totesport 16/1 skybet/sportsbook/ppower


Put up the favourite last time out won a weak race but won easily,bred to on surface and sires had winners over the trip ovious chances along with priven track form of Thahib ifraj two runs here a third over 1m4fs and and win of 46 and a second over 1m6fs in a 0-60 in may obvious ew chances..off just 50 again..Beechwood james has only had four races last time out beateb easily by the favourite staying on,will try this one as an ew alternative is out of top class dirt horse Sunday break sire of Never on a sunday,rated 120 who as of yet has had two winners on the aw fro just four runners..
A shot in the dark with roger fell horse So Hi Card,from this stable if even remotely expecting improvement would expect loads of money for it from this mark of just 54 and just the five runs first run for stable beaten 9ls in a 0-65 at redcar not disgraced,out of so you think top class rated 125..So you thinks had only five runners so far on fibresand a winner and when you look at its stats over 16f and 16.5 furlonggs its 2/7 and 2/8 with all its other distances very poor,so you think third in the melbourne cup going off 2/1 favourite..Betting will be interesting in this grade if showing more or if has galloped at the track..


Ripon 2.10


Queens blade 9/2 generally.

A very strange looking rsult t redcar last time out for easterby trained Queens blade,had the second favourute murphy rides over 7ls behind has already been beaten over 5fs at this track off a mark of 59 in a handicap,last tie out won the seler at redcar the time suggested it ran above its mark time beng only .46 slower than the class 4 won by betsy trotter..It does look dubious as the second and third have been beaten since,is drawn poorly in 4 as well,as usual betting will tell the story with the easterby horse and see if it repeats it...Blinkers were on fr second time ever in that run,the first time ws on the aw at wolves over 5fs,calypiggian looks ok on debut run has run 5th in a handicap at ponte gets first time tt tomorrow,wouldn't surrise me to see this run well on better grund back in a seller..


Chepstow 3.45


Stoweman 15/8 unibet 13/8 sportsbook/ppower/victor Impatient 3/1 totesport/betfred

Stoweman just touched off by ethic on debut at sailsbury in a good time,flopped not tie out oj softer ground probably worth another chance although i have seen that chepstow are watering on a going stick of 5.8 very trange that would suggest the grounds gd/st to me,wo't know till tomorrow after a couple of races so minimum stakes.Impatients out of decent aw sire more than ready not much i the way of form on debut infact through the third horse in the maiden it contested has loads to find with the fav,very well bred and not great sire stats for turf but one thing caught my eye was 2 winners from 6 runners at chepstow,be interesting to see if it actually is a turf horse..

 

[gigilo]

An interest bet for tomorrow couple of ew multiples verysmall stakes..don't normal bet on bank holidau mondays as racings always diabolical..




Chepstow 5.30


Menin gate 13/2 hills 6/1 skybet/unibet Sindarella 11/1 ppower/sportsbook/unibet

A weak 1m4f race for horses rated upto 60 a few lurking in the weights,Menin gates had eight lifetime runs looks capable of wining a ve weak race last four runs stepped uto these trips in 0-70s a 3rd in a 0-70 at donny about its best run staying on at finish,although the races have bee ru on slower ground or been run slowly so might not be quite as good as first looks but if no imprvers then should run well..

Sinndarellas more exposed a ten runner maiden but has been running ok,a second at bath then second of four at bath steppe up in trip
a third over tomorrows c/d in a 0-65 then second of fiur at bath in a 1m6f race infact that maybe the distance it needs te horse directly behind it blame it on sally haed up at goodwood yesterday in a 0-70 so has ew chances o those runs and runs off just 45 with claimer taking off 3.

Menin gate unplaced but sinderella 4 paces can't believe that fahey horse,its never run so badly another imposible trainer to catch rught..

Southwell 5.20



Beechwood james 7/2 365/skybet So hi cardi 20/1 365/victor 18/1 betfred/totesport 16/1 skybet/sportsbook/ppower


Put up the favourite last time out won a weak race but won easily,bred to on surface and sires had winners over the trip ovious chances along with priven track form of Thahib ifraj two runs here a third over 1m4fs and and win of 46 and a second over 1m6fs in a 0-60 in may obvious ew chances..off just 50 again..Beechwood james has only had four races last time out beateb easily by the favourite staying on,will try this one as an ew alternative is out of top class dirt horse Sunday break sire of Never on a sunday,rated 120 who as of yet has had two winners on the aw fro just four runners..
A shot in the dark with roger fell horse So Hi Card,from this stable if even remotely expecting improvement would expect loads of money for it from this mark of just 54 and just the five runs first run for stable beaten 9ls in a 0-65 at redcar not disgraced,out of so you think top class rated 125..So you thinks had only five runners so far on fibresand a winner and when you look at its stats over 16f and 16.5 furlonggs its 2/7 and 2/8 with all its other distances very poor,so you think third in the melbourne cup going off 2/1 favourite..Betting will be interesting in this grade if showing more or if has galloped at the track..

Feel sick i leave the obvious pick Thahib ifraj out was 11/1 last night wins easy 9/4 beechwood places the rag got backed ito 10s nevr involved..


Ripon 2.10


Queens blade 9/2 generally.

A very strange looking rsult t redcar last time out for easterby trained Queens blade,had the second favourute murphy rides over 7ls behind has already been beaten over 5fs at this track off a mark of 59 in a handicap,last tie out won the seler at redcar the time suggested it ran above its mark time beng only .46 slower than the class 4 won by betsy trotter..It does look dubious as the second and third have been beaten since,is drawn poorly in 4 as well,as usual betting will tell the story with the easterby horse and see if it repeats it...Blinkers were on fr second time ever in that run,the first time ws on the aw at wolves over 5fs,calypiggian looks ok on debut run has run 5th in a handicap at ponte gets first time tt tomorrow,wouldn't surrise me to see this run well on better grund back in a seller..

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!I cannot believe that got 6s on the fair,:lol::lol::lol: unreal 7/4 last night the clock never lies and they went farside so wasted distance incredible ride!!


Chepstow 3.45


Stoweman 15/8 unibet 13/8 sportsbook/ppower/victor Impatient 3/1 totesport/betfred

Stoweman just touched off by ethic on debut at sailsbury in a good time,flopped not tie out oj softer ground probably worth another chance although i have seen that chepstow are watering on a going stick of 5.8 very trange that would suggest the grounds gd/st to me,wo't know till tomorrow after a couple of races so minimum stakes.Impatients out of decent aw sire more than ready not much i the way of form on debut infact through the third horse in the maiden it contested has loads to find with the fav,very well bred and not great sire stats for turf but one thing caught my eye was 2 winners from 6 runners at chepstow,be interesting to see if it actually is a turf horse..

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!Lovely drift on stowman got 5/2 and the place on impatient wrked out perfect..

A frustrating day after a good start 9/2,got 5/2 on Stoweman winners 3/1,7/2 and 11/1 places so decent day,kicking mysekf no doing thaib ifrraj 11/1 last night **** knows why i never did it.ony horse with track form... at least back on track again.

 

[gigilo]

Catterick 4.55



Extrasolar 8/1 365/victor Mightaswellsmile 25/1 generally

These two runners want opposing ground,currently is gd/fm and being watered if it doesn't rain then it will be to extrasolars advantage,this season has run twice on dg/fm at catterick over c/d 2nd t hard solution in a seller carrying 9-10,had Bfifty two just behind it i 3rd and thats won twuce since and now rated 62 Extrasolar gave it 7 pound..Then again on the 17th of july 5ls behind bettsy trotter giving it 9 pound but that ones now rated 87 getting tiuched off today..mightaswellsmile was a further 1 1/2ls behind in that race but 8 pound worse off tomorrow..
Tomorrow Extrasolar gets t run off just 57 with ben sanderson claiming 5 so down to 52,extrasolar also had something exciting behind in that seller giving it a stone yet tomorrow only gives ir 4 pound,if the rains stay away off ths mark could easily run well with a race where most of the runners are better o soft ground, wouldn't be a surorise of it went off fav ben sanderso hasn't ride it for 12monhs yet his two rudes on it 5th and 1st..
There is rain forecast and if the amounts come that are forecast plus on top of watering then the griund could well be g/sft that would be no good to extrasolar but would suit this one,26 runs just the one win but this season two c/d 2nds has had something exciting,extrasolar and vallarta behind all running in tomorrows race if the ground chages it won't go off 20/1 it will be 10/1 tops.There were two divisions of this class over c/d on the 24th of july spirut of zebedee tomorrows favurute 7/2 ad something exciting 13/2 tomorrow were 1st and 3rd,mightaswell smiles 2nd in the other division was 2ls slower but at adjusted weghts a length to find on the pair so even thogh may only come 4th the 20/1 would still be a big pruce with griund going against a lot of the field..


I thought this might happe just 6mm of rain so gd/fm gd in places that virtually rules out mightaswellsmile will probably lay that bet off unless theres some more rain and vice versa wt the other,just ridiculous wanted either gd/fm or gd/sft and looks like it could be inbetween and good and gd/fm watch the first couple of races see what the times are and whther its raining.

Ended up doing the opposite in the end laid off extra solar to get stake back,they have the ground as g/fm but the going according to the times is gd/sft,got smashed off the boards the other 25s into as 7/1 as i said it would if it was soft ground and the horse that had the same form won the race someonexciting.Ran a decent race in fifth just overdid tactics from poor draw in 12 first two came from well off the pce was definitey the bet,just a pity the draw hadn't been kinder 1/2l off third .Extrasolars worth another bet never runs well on that ground if it can get it before the end of the season,was amazed it didn't drift out to 16s,lots of punters clockd onto the one i icked but they didn't pick uo on extrasolar hating the ground..Don't know where these going reports are coming from says gd/fm on all sites,how anyone can have a bet without looking at the times just crazy.Every race on the card was slow by 5 seconds at least gd/fm it was gd/sft bordering on soft looking at the times..

 

[gigilo]

Carlisle 4.45


Placebo effect 11 hills 12/1 ppower/sportsbook/skybet/betfred/totesport generally should be a good trade.

Trainer and jock in very poor form but horse in the right race,last win was november 2018 on the aw in a clasified claimer has never run in this grade before a 0-65 usyually contests 0-70s or higher,on debut run this season was second to kylie rules in a 0-80 at beverley different class form to tomorrows race.Another fourth in a 0-70 at redcar staying on off 70 ben robinson took off three so off 67,been stepped up in trip last four runs to 1m2fs has ran ok in them two thirds,you could make a case for this being favourite in this class and may well go off favourite,betting will be interesting..As mentioned stable and jock out of form,but drops in grade would preferably hope there's no rain as a lot in this race need softer ground even though horse doesn't mind a bit of cut,another negative is the draw as well in 10 but at 10/1 hard to not have a bet couldv'e easily opened 5-6/1 in this grade,first time pieces back to the mile.After todays going report at catterick will be interesting to see if they get this right s reportedly gd/gdfm..Amood is the virtual rag at 33/1 realistically looks out for the run,won a 0-80 over c/d on gd/fm july 2018 off 64 different clas to this race and was second off 67 in a 0-85 an even better race over c/d.Then form completey tailed off switched to the aw running terible,looking at the pruce its gone off when winning or running poorrly i doubt the stable know when its going ti run well or not..although would not be a ttal shock.

12/1 generally,am not sure why this isnt getting backed at these pruces with everybook,has a poor draw but no wa this shuld be going off bigger than 6-7/1 in this race,am a bit suspicious abut the going as it seens all the sft ground horses are getting backed..


Ffos las 2.20


Brandy station 10/1 ppower/sportsbook


Same scenario here Ffos las saying good ground,there is rain forecast i have worked on there being some rain so hopefully going gd/sft,brandy station doesn't win too often trained by lisa williamson who doesn't have winners very often recently finished just behind spotlight here running in same race tomorrow has 2 pound turnaround with that one.That race was on quick ground brandy station prefers cut recently was 4th in a 0-80 at haydock oly beaten 1 3/4ls off 54 with claimer,only win in last 12months has come over c/d off 56 tis time last year,gets to riun off just 52 tomorrow with claimer taking off 7,so has a record of 1st and 3rd here and off lowes ever mark..
She also runs celerity a 79 raced maiden i've got ;ued in the last twice because its for this season in some races mainly haydck has been completeky different class to the rest of its runs a 2nd to the dapper man in a 0-75 and a 5th to powerallied in a 0-85 at chester,would need a crysta ball to predict a win but has run well here before and likes the ground if on sodt side would not be a shock with hardky any soft ground form in the race,the only other runner thats run ok on softer ground is tawaafoq...If the forecasts right and the rain arrives then it would be a negative for most of the runners...

I give up on these overnight bets,14 mm of rain was forecast just a few hours ago now nothing it's just a complete farce...

 

[gigilo]

Carlisle 4.45


Placebo effect 11 hills 12/1 ppower/sportsbook/skybet/betfred/totesport generally should be a good trade.

Trainer and jock in very poor form but horse in the right race,last win was november 2018 on the aw in a clasified claimer has never run in this grade before a 0-65 usyually contests 0-70s or higher,on debut run this season was second to kylie rules in a 0-80 at beverley different class form to tomorrows race.Another fourth in a 0-70 at redcar staying on off 70 ben robinson took off three so off 67,been stepped up in trip last four runs to 1m2fs has ran ok in them two thirds,you could make a case for this being favourite in this class and may well go off favourite,betting will be interesting..As mentioned stable and jock out of form,but drops in grade would preferably hope there's no rain as a lot in this race need softer ground even though horse doesn't mind a bit of cut,another negative is the draw as well in 10 but at 10/1 hard to not have a bet couldv'e easily opened 5-6/1 in this grade,first time pieces back to the mile.After todays going report at catterick will be interesting to see if they get this right s reportedly gd/gdfm..Amood is the virtual rag at 33/1 realistically looks out for the run,won a 0-80 over c/d on gd/fm july 2018 off 64 different clas to this race and was second off 67 in a 0-85 an even better race over c/d.Then form completey tailed off switched to the aw running terible,looking at the pruce its gone off when winning or running poorrly i doubt the stable know when its going ti run well or not..although would not be a ttal shock.

12/1 generally,am not sure why this isnt getting backed at these pruces with everybook,has a poor draw but no wa this shuld be going off bigger than 6-7/1 in this race,am a bit suspicious abut the going as it seens all the sft ground horses are getting backed..


Ffos las 2.20


Brandy station 10/1 ppower/sportsbook


Same scenario here Ffos las saying good ground,there is rain forecast i have worked on there being some rain so hopefully going gd/sft,brandy station doesn't win too often trained by lisa williamson who doesn't have winners very often recently finished just behind spotlight here running in same race tomorrow has 2 pound turnaround with that one.That race was on quick ground brandy station prefers cut recently was 4th in a 0-80 at haydock oly beaten 1 3/4ls off 54 with claimer,only win in last 12months has come over c/d off 56 tis time last year,gets to riun off just 52 tomorrow with claimer taking off 7,so has a record of 1st and 3rd here and off lowes ever mark..
She also runs celerity a 79 raced maiden i've got ;ued in the last twice because its for this season in some races mainly haydck has been completeky different class to the rest of its runs a 2nd to the dapper man in a 0-75 and a 5th to powerallied in a 0-85 at chester,would need a crysta ball to predict a win but has run well here before and likes the ground if on sodt side would not be a shock with hardky any soft ground form in the race,the only other runner thats run ok on softer ground is tawaafoq...If the forecasts right and the rain arrives then it would be a negative for most of the runners...


KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!When i saw the times iof the first two races i was very confident of it running well,no rain fell but the first second race was slow by 2.56 seconds,like i said nothing in the race likes soft ground and it loves the track won by half the track,very nice looks nearer gd/sft to me the going ground went in my favour for a change how it can be 9.1 on the going stick makes no sense to me....

I give up on these overnight bets,14 mm of rain was forecast just a few hours ago now nothing it's just a complete farce...

 

[Simpson Jersey]

Brilliant Andy, thought it would go well and also backed her horse yesterday, touched off by a nose for 3rd, unfortunately posting it on BF forum murdered the price, well done mate!

 

[gigilo]

Eachway multiples small stakes gone for some real speculative ones tomorrow..

Hamilton 8.0


Guardia svizzera 7/1 hills 6/1 skybet/victor/totesport/betfred Everkyllachy 25/1 ppower/sportsbook 18/1 skybet/totsport/betfred/lads

Guardia svizzera has been very poor this season shown nothing,the thing that makes it interesting is 2/2 over c/d won off 59 in a 0-70 and won this race last season off 72 needs a bit of cut and needs to come back to form,runs off just 63 with ben curtis riding won on both wins last season..
Everkyllachy looks massive prices,as long as the rain materializes that is forecast only back in may and june won off 62 in this grade and then went onto run 4th to the progressive music society only beaten 1 1/2ls in a 0-75 off 55 tomorrow returns to the c/d off 60 if ground goes really soft should be going off less than double figures.Didn't actually run too bad last time out over 6fs on fast ground in a 0-85 trainers been out of form,so betting will be interesting..


Wolves 4.30


Tour de paris 4/1 365 Eqbaa 9/1 skybet 8/1 ppower/sportsbook/totesport/betfred


Tour de paris doesn't exactly look eell handicapped but has won over c/d ad last time it ran here was second,looks more of an obvious place chance,i don't know who william thirlby is claims 5 pound has had one winner from three rides this season so horse runs off 4 pound lower than that second.Percy proseccos might wel be the best horse in the race now with arcie watson and brodie hampson riding and winning everything,but will take Eqbaa as other pick trained by james unett,trainers on losing run but this season at 14% decent fir small trainer with no ammunition he books alex edwards hes running at 15% over the sticks hasn't had that many rudes on the flat just the one winner.Eqbaa was running ok aat wolves over tomorrows c/d and slightly shorter trips,last time it ran here was 2nd over 1m4fs in a 0-70 that was in first time pieces..Shown nothing on the turf but returns to the aw off same winning mark of win over c/d back in march,of the bigger priced ones i usually do yasir still looks to have a decent ew chance if hey go quick enough and maybe worth doing forecast with it.


5.05


Mystical moon 10/1 365 8/1 ppower/sportsbook generally


Mystical moons a c/d winner won off 51 in april over c/d in a 0-65 a similar race as tomorrows,didn't get a run in a 0-70 last time out and still only beat 2 1/2ls eased at finish,the second desert fox won today i put him up at lingfield over a week ago non runner drawn 12..He has a habit of getting behind and staying on so hard to catch right,but ew chances especially if holding its position.Santafiora i did last time out,was running well and won two c/d races back to back in january another decent ew chance along with always amazing it touched that one off in january in a 0-65,tomorriw they both drop inti a 0-55.


6.05


Take me to the sky 6/5 365

Take me to the sky third on debut,only an average maiden finished just behind 70 rated hashtagmetoo rated 70 that won today,TMTTS gave it eight pound 1/2 length behind it and debyut run so there could be a possibility its near being a high 80s horse,maybe even 90 although i would only be habing a very small bet on it as guessing on others.


7.05


Kaser 33/1 365/ppower/sportsbook
y
Kaser has some respectable aw form over this c/d,won off 73 in a 0-75,third in a 0-85 to michelle strogoff off 77 then third agai in another 0-85 over c/d its going to do well to figure against unexposed runners from big stables and has shown nothing recently been running over the wrong trips.Runs off 75 tomorrow and another five pound claim down to just 70,finished behind delph crecent last tie out at donny,may run wel and finish 5th or 6th but not a 33/1 shot if one or two of market leaders don't show up..

 

[gigilo]

Carlisle 4.45


Placebo effect 11 hills 12/1 ppower/sportsbook/skybet/betfred/totesport generally should be a good trade.

Trainer and jock in very poor form but horse in the right race,last win was november 2018 on the aw in a clasified claimer has never run in this grade before a 0-65 usyually contests 0-70s or higher,on debut run this season was second to kylie rules in a 0-80 at beverley different class form to tomorrows race.Another fourth in a 0-70 at redcar staying on off 70 ben robinson took off three so off 67,been stepped up in trip last four runs to 1m2fs has ran ok in them two thirds,you could make a case for this being favourite in this class and may well go off favourite,betting will be interesting..As mentioned stable and jock out of form,but drops in grade would preferably hope there's no rain as a lot in this race need softer ground even though horse doesn't mind a bit of cut,another negative is the draw as well in 10 but at 10/1 hard to not have a bet couldv'e easily opened 5-6/1 in this grade,first time pieces back to the mile.After todays going report at catterick will be interesting to see if they get this right s reportedly gd/gdfm..Amood is the virtual rag at 33/1 realistically looks out for the run,won a 0-80 over c/d on gd/fm july 2018 off 64 different clas to this race and was second off 67 in a 0-85 an even better race over c/d.Then form completey tailed off switched to the aw running terible,looking at the pruce its gone off when winning or running poorrly i doubt the stable know when its going ti run well or not..although would not be a ttal shock.

12/1 generally,am not sure why this isnt getting backed at these pruces with everybook,has a poor draw but no wa this shuld be going off bigger than 6-7/1 in this race,am a bit suspicious abut the going as it seens all the sft ground horses are getting backed..

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!I told ya different gravy to that lot on the ground,incredible prices about time superfluous double!! Wheelbarrow time!!


Ffos las 2.20


Brandy station 10/1 ppower/sportsbook


Same scenario here Ffos las saying good ground,there is rain forecast i have worked on there being some rain so hopefully going gd/sft,brandy station doesn't win too often trained by lisa williamson who doesn't have winners very often recently finished just behind spotlight here running in same race tomorrow has 2 pound turnaround with that one.That race was on quick ground brandy station prefers cut recently was 4th in a 0-80 at haydock oly beaten 1 3/4ls off 54 with claimer,only win in last 12months has come over c/d off 56 tis time last year,gets to riun off just 52 tomorrow with claimer taking off 7,so has a record of 1st and 3rd here and off lowes ever mark..
She also runs celerity a 79 raced maiden i've got ;ued in the last twice because its for this season in some races mainly haydck has been completeky different class to the rest of its runs a 2nd to the dapper man in a 0-75 and a 5th to powerallied in a 0-85 at chester,would need a crysta ball to predict a win but has run well here before and likes the ground if on sodt side would not be a shock with hardky any soft ground form in the race,the only other runner thats run ok on softer ground is tawaafoq...If the forecasts right and the rain arrives then it would be a negative for most of the runners...

I give up on these overnight bets,14 mm of rain was forecast just a few hours ago now nothing it's just a complete farce...

 

[Simpson Jersey]

Fantastic double yesterday Andy, can't fathom out why people aren't congratulating you for this terrific double winning selection! Haven't looked in for yonks but wanted to see if you'd put up any i'd fancied recently, i had fancied Extrasolar as well and hard to fathom why it didn't run better even now, must have been the going or simply not off!
Are you putting up too many selections Andy for people to follow or is it because you're posting up far too early for people to get anywhere near the prices advised. Know why you say you do it, but i do think on many occasions by posting so early the afternoon before you are effectively ruining the price for many potential backers/followers. My feeling is if you posted mid morning on the day of the race you'd get far more followers and you'd give the prices a chance to settle down and in many cases they would get a better price.
You could post a simple copy of any bet you've got on at the early price even if only for a couple of quid to show you'd clocked it early doors. I'm sure you are aware by posting so early you are just alerting the books to their ricks.
As i've said many times before to you Andy, i'm not having a go at you as you are a brilliant judge but you should be getting 50/100 thank yous for posts like this! Very well done again.

 

[Marb]

Fantastic double yesterday Andy, can't fathom out why people aren't congratulating you for this terrific double winning selection! Haven't looked in for yonks but wanted to see if you'd put up any i'd fancied recently, i had fancied Extrasolar as well and hard to fathom why it didn't run better even now, must have been the going or simply not off!
Are you putting up too many selections Andy for people to follow or is it because you're posting up far too early for people to get anywhere near the prices advised. Know why you say you do it, but i do think on many occasions by posting so early the afternoon before you are effectively ruining the price for many potential backers/followers. My feeling is if you posted mid morning on the day of the race you'd get far more followers and you'd give the prices a chance to settle down and in many cases they would get a better price.
You could post a simple copy of any bet you've got on at the early price even if only for a couple of quid to show you'd clocked it early doors. I'm sure you are aware by posting so early you are just alerting the books to their ricks.
As i've said many times before to you Andy, i'm not having a go at you as you are a brilliant judge but you should be getting 50/100 thank yous for posts like this! Very well done again.

Speaking for maybe a small minority of people, I guess I'd be more than happy to offer congratulations to Andy, (which I've done on many occasions), were he to ever offer any 'well dones' to anyone else!

 

[reet hard]

No disrespect, SJ, but I find it hard to believe you're naive enough not to understand why Gigs gets faint praise on this forum - and with due respect to Marb, I'd suggest it goes a deal deeper than he indicates.

 

[Simpson Jersey]

I don't think i'm naive reet hard, personally i think he posts too many selections 6/7 some days and his get out of jail cards are played far too often, ie) backed others mentioned in post but not selected, backed 1st 6 when not stipulated, i don't think he does himself any favours whatsoever with the after the race stuff. I do however think his going reasons are valid for bad runs etc, comes from posting too early imo and some do get unlucky runs hampered etc, and some are simply not off due to connections not getting price they expected due to these early posts. However i think it is beyond dispute that giggsy knows how to analyse a horse, plenty i agree with and plenty i don't, i very rarely back any of giggs selections as usually i dont notice them until i look in after they have ran and i like to back my own selections anyway. Sometimes we select the same horses and hopefully i can still get a decent price.
These forums get very few decent posters anyway, and i myself under my other guise get very annoyed when i get about 3 "Well dones" on BF after i've posted a 25/1-16/1 winner, used to get 2 or 3 pages years ago.
Sorry haven't posted much on here for ages as forgot password.
Daresay i'll get some grief off Andy when he reads it, but trying to be objective and fair.