Wolves 7.30
It's A Love Thing 11/2 victor/sky/hills 5/1 generally 4 places Dundory 6/1 hills 5/1 365 4 places
It's A Love Thing beat Dundory over c/d last time out,looked beat along way out yet battled on strongly even when headed by Dundory,am not sure Dundory just didn't want to win or whether the other found more..The time was pretty decent but the negative is drawn 12 and Grace McEntree rides,she rode it last time out am hoping it can get near the front from the off and set a decent pace that Dundory itself needs as well,this looks a better race potentially than last time am going purely on the time of the race and attitude of the winner..I like Forge Valley Lad on its Lingfield formso would add in for forecats at least.
Wolves 7.30
It's A Love Thing 11/2 victor/sky/hills 5/1 generally 4 places Dundory 6/1 hills 5/1 365 4 places
It's A Love Thing beat Dundory over c/d last time out,looked beat along way out yet battled on strongly even when headed by Dundory,am not sure Dundory just didn't want to win or whether the other found more..The time was pretty decent but the negative is drawn 12 and Grace McEntree rides,she rode it last time out am hoping it can get near the front from the off and set a decent pace that Dundory itself needs as well,this looks a better race potentially than last time am going purely on the time of the race and attitude of the winner..I like Forge Valley Lad on its Lingfield formso would add in for forecats at least.
Captain Kane in this 6.30 at Swell somehow i missed this last night as in my to follows been following all the horses coming from the sire Ulysses all won or placed so far,but the prices have gone was 9/2 last night,can't say its value now suspect it will go off infront after last times slowly run race..Ty and get something in running and a little on win and place...Taken 3.0..Art Expert looks a danger and there was a rag in the race bazza the barrel out of a good sire,but no money for it..i thought looked interesting,if the fav runs a stinker will be because of the pace
Captain Kane in this 6.30 at Swell somehow i missed this last night as in my to follows been following all the horses coming from the sire Ulysses all won or placed so far,but the prices have gone was 9/2 last night,can't say its value now suspect it will go off infront after last times slowly run race..Ty and get something in running and a little on win and place...Taken 3.0..Art Expert looks a danger and there was a rag in the race bazza the barrel out of a good sire,but no money for it..i thought looked interesting,if the fav runs a stinker will be because of the pace
Odisseo hadn't run for months and has already won three races and Sylvia Beach has had two races in maidens over 7fs and a mile,Ulysses has had 9/44 runners 35% on tapeta and 13% on polytrack,taking away the Chelmsford runners 8 that have shown nothing on the track left with 9/35 and most have been placed 23% winners over middle distances 43% placed..And Captain Kane was only 3rd but outpaced last run in flasely run race,don't see what point you're trying to make the stats speak for themselves..
Middle distances,i wouldn't have noticed the horses running below those trips,if i'm looking at a middle distance handicap with horses stepping up in trip then i look at the sire very rarely do that with shorter as they're usually obvious..
Southwell 7.15
Fangorn 11/1 hills 15/2 generally
Fangorn made its seasonal debut over this c/d behind tomorrow favourute Daafy and Chookie Dunedin finished 3rd getting collared in last 200 yards,no real reason that it will reverse form but might still give them a decent race only has a pound turn around with the pair of them for over a length..If its come om slightly more for the run then should outrun odds,was running in better races on the turf Chookie Dunedin is still well handicapped and if Fangorn goes off to quick might set the race up for it..
Southwell 7.15
Fangorn 11/1 hills 15/2 generally
Fangorn made its seasonal debut over this c/d behind tomorrow favourute Daafy and Chookie Dunedin finished 3rd getting collared in last 200 yards,no real reason that it will reverse form but might still give them a decent race only has a pound turn around with the pair of them for over a length..If its come om slightly more for the run then should outrun odds,was running in better races on the turf Chookie Dunedin is still well handicapped and if Fangorn goes off to quick might set the race up for it..
The Lincoln march 21st
Brunch 16/1 generally 18/1 unibet
Brunch is a little exposed now fifteen runs a 5yr old this season,highest winning hadicap mark was off just 91 but very consistent and did win a listed race at Ponte last season beating Rhoscolyn rated 104 and Arzano rated 102 fairy easily..Made its debit off 100 last season in the Lincoln finishing second in a decent time to Haqeeqy now rated 109 gave that one 7 pound,a decent second at York off 101 in big handicap had run ok previous run to that at Ascot in the Heritage handicap was only 7th beaten 8 1/2ls but never got a clear run in that race and Real World won by 4 1/2ls..Ran a couple of poorer runs after that at York in a group 3 goig off to quick and the soft ground at Sandown in a listed race..
the first five or six heading the betting in the Lincoln you would think at least one or two will improve as all lightly raced,but Brunch likes the c/d,runs well after a break and he looks guaranteed to run as there are bound to be a few above him in the betting that won;t..Wouldn't surprose me if by the day of the race he's nearer 10/1 maybe even shorter.
Will probably back something else yet but as this looks almost certain to run then probably best to back it now...