Daily picks.

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Sunday musselburugh 4.25


1pt trade Landino 16/1 365
 
4.25 musselburugh

A bit of interest on tomorrows card,the other races look very competitive this race is diabolical and oh landino only has the one piece of form to his name but was over c/d on this gd/sft ground in a race very similar to this april 2011.Would be impossible to predict him repeating it but all the other runners have ? against them as well,maid of meft 10ls behind oh landino in that race last april yet oh landino 8 pounds better off.The same with the other runners a few have some hurdle form rated in the low 100s but very little flat form or some of them nothing over the trip,its a race where its impossible to have a bet but being quite an eccentric track and with form there oh landino could easily be backed at this price.

I doubt it will win or even place but the 16s on the c/d run is obviously to big and i can see this going off nearer 10/1 if not shorter
 
G

what did you think to LIBERATING today?

comes out at about a bare 83 when compared to the first race..with wfa time added about a 113 [G3] horse ..fast for a filly


the 2nd 3rd and 4th worth watching..they were 4 length clear of the field


also

Baileys Jubilee recorded a bare 79..but did win by 4..another decent effort for a filly
 
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3.50 musselburugh

1pt trade unex renoir 20/1 lads

Unex renoir has some very solid form a run behind gottany o's and lexis boy last season i had the first four in that race from chester on my to follows they all ran quicker than kiama bay winning off 81 on the same card,the winner has won twice since lexis boy winning his last race on the flat after that run and swift alhaarth now off 93.Unex renoir has left the gosden stable but still open to improvement has finished just behind fav shubaat priced at 15/8 but the 20/1 is an insult that race at newbury had pittodrie star 8ls behind yet thats priced at 12s as opposed to 20s unex.A lot in here look at the uppermost of their marks or simply don't have the form,shubaat and lexington and unex stand out to me and 20/1 i will be surprised if there's not money for this.He has to prove he stays for his new trainer but i would have this around the 10/1 mark think its definitely one to keep an eye on in future short term at least and tomorrow hopefully a decent trade!
 
I'll be honest ec i don't really look at the irish results,if i had time i would but there's just to much racing to do 6 meetings aday and cover the irish form as well.Only when i see them running over here i go back to the times but looks like you've found one that looks noting will take a look cheers.:ninja:
 
I can see where you're coming from with this one Unex Renoir Andy and Mark Coumbe is well worth his 5lbs imo, how do you compare the times as you did with Kiama Bay when raced over different distance and KB heavily eased, don't suppose you can copy and paste that race from the to follows list?
 
1pt trade

Red roar 10/1 365

.05ptew

1pt trade the pair

River dragon 3/1 .20ptew 365

categorical 7/2 .20ptew 365

1pt trade

Dolphin rock 12/1

.10ptew

1pt trade

Mc birney 7/1 365

.10ptew
 
Red roar is overpriced at 10/1 has been 11/4 to win a similar race to this last season when 3rd to invincible force and ran in better races than this for the majority of the season,julie burkes won and placed on her from 5 rides.The mare is very consistent 4/15 over the distance and placed 5 times,tomorrow off lowest mark since last win off 64,she goes on any ground probably has the best form in the race and looks a 5 or 6/1 shot to me.I expect her to be backed at that price,she ran third on debut last season so goes ok fresh and quite a few of these have ? over the ground or turf,she should at least be a decent trade.



River dragon won over this trip in october off 60 off 64 tomorrow but every runner in that race was rated 60+ at least pay du nac runner up off 69 he likes the ground and is fit from hurdling,could still be well handicapped.The other i like is categorical never won on turf but an improving chaser and the last time he ran here was behind country wide flame in a far better race.Hopefully these two will fight out the finish as it looks a three horse race,the 3/1 and 7/2 look big to me with just the three likely winners.
 
Was surprised to see dolphin rock priced up at 12s i thought it would be fav,has a record on soft ground of 3/1/5/2/2/2 has run 22 tiimes on turf winning twice but placed second 8 times and third 3 times.Last run on soft ground was 2nd of 17 to stevie thunder off 84 lots of horses rated in the mid 80s and mid high 90s behind going off 7/1f,a better race than tomorrows.Had fazza just bond behind at thirsk when 3rd to osteopathic remedy,also earlier seconds to pleasent day and magic cat again far better races yet only 9/2 and 5/2,can't see this possibly going off 12/1 is so consistent and drawn well in three could quite easily go off near favourite in this race.If fit and ready should run well,looks overpriced to me at 12s s i expect the price to go early.



Mc birney again at 8/1 i would have this favourite around the 5/1 mark,loves soft ground the distance of 1m3fs looks just right for him lowest mark since may 2011.i think the ground was a little to quick for him at donny but still stayed on well on seasonal debut.The highlight last sesson was a second to ithoughtitwasover off 82,a piece of form far better than anything else has run in tomorrows race,was beaten 10ls in a class 2 handicap but was still 7th of the twenty and was drawn out in the car park in 20 draw at york behind crackenthorp.The 8/1 looks generous where not many look well handicapped or guaranteed to go on the ground.I think its another that will be well backed and wouldn't be surprised if he went off a lot shorter near favouritism!
 
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1pt trade zomerlust evens 365

1pt trade discression 15/8 365

1pt trade periphary 5/4 365

3x.15ptew doubles .10ptew treble



Two of these look like being overbet to odds on shots and the other discression could shorten up to evens but a little short for singles so done some trades small multis.
 
gigilo said:
1pt trade zomerlust evens 365 out at 1.74

1pt trade discression 15/8 365 out at 2.76

1pt trade periphary 5/4 365 out at 2.06

3x.15ptew doubles .10ptew treble



Two of these look like being overbet to odds on shots and the other discression could shorten up to evens but a little short for singles so done some trades small multis.
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gigilo said:
1pt trade

Red roar 10/1 365 out at 10.0 placed

.05ptew

1pt trade the pair

River dragon 3/1 .20ptew 365 out at 3.20 placed

categorical 7/2 .20ptew 365 out at 2.6 non runner!!:mad::lol:

1pt trade

Dolphin rock 12/1 monster gamble as write up!!Out at 5.8 sweet!!!!!

.10ptew

1pt trade

Mc birney 7/1 365 n/r

.10ptew
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Jack my boy gets to run off all time low mark with matthew cosham claiming 5 pound,i have backed him several times before and really has flattered to decieve looks very hard to win with,but this is by far the weakest race he's ever run and the price is huge compared to the horses he runs against tomorrow.

The horses heading the market are taking a step up in class and have to prove they are worth their marks,other runners in the race have very little form on soft ground and if they do have any it has been in weaker races,i think there's a good chance that the evans horse will go off near fav in this race if not clear fav.Last season having lots of placed form off marks of 77 behind murura,camache queen,shifting star and clourful life the last run on turf behind clourful life looking even better now 80 rated horses well behind on the soft ground at ffos las and the winner running ok behind croisultan at the end of march.Jack my boy debut run this season at kempton only 3 1/2ls behind piscean in a very hot handicap,if he can repeat any of his previous form then he'd be a 3/1 or shorter to win this,there maybe improvers in the race but hard to know how much improvement there is to come from them and at the worst looks a nailed on trade.
 
If cono zur returned to the track in form tomorrow would be clear favourite to win this race,last season on debut winning off 67 tomorrow gets to run off 66 in the poorest race he's ever run in.This fella will be going in the notebook even if not showing up tomorrow as when he hits form is very consistent,last season followed up that win with another 15 runs and yet has only had 26 runs in total so his last few runs could be forgiven some lacklustre efforts.

Inbetween from those last four runs won again and was placed 2nd three times 3rd twice and a 4th has run well on all types of ground has a decent draw in the 5 box regular pilot james sullivan rides.His form was a class above this lot third to veroon in a class 4,followed by seconds to munsarim and night lily themselves improvers and a 4th to first post,he would be evens to win this on those runs.I will be putting him in my notebook as looking at the races mentioned he's actually capable of winning a class 4 from higher marks as he came up against some improvers last season,will be interesting to see if there's any money for him as this race is rubbish in comparison
 
gigilo said:
Jack my boy gets to run off all time low mark with matthew cosham claiming 5 pound,i have backed him several times before and really has flattered to decieve looks very hard to win with,but this is by far the weakest race he's ever run and the price is huge compared to the horses he runs against tomorrow.

The horses heading the market are taking a step up in class and have to prove they are worth their marks,other runners in the race have very little form on soft ground and if they do have any it has been in weaker races,i think there's a good chance that the evans horse will go off near fav in this race if not clear fav.Last season having lots of placed form off marks of 77 behind murura,camache queen,shifting star and clourful life the last run on turf behind clourful life looking even better now 80 rated horses well behind on the soft ground at ffos las and the winner running ok behind croisultan at the end of march.Jack my boy debut run this season at kempton only 3 1/2ls behind piscean in a very hot handicap,if he can repeat any of his previous form then he'd be a 3/1 or shorter to win this,there maybe improvers in the race but hard to know how much improvement there is to come from them and at the worst looks a nailed on trade.
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Not going to be greedy out at 5.6 great day pre racing!!!!:lol:
 
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