Daily picks.

Your right Giggs, always have it open on my phone. just didnt get to bookies blew my budget for betting already. Keep saying ill just wait for your tips but to impatient. Just get the winners up there me auld son.
 
Haven't been well for last 4 months and moving house again,not going to be around much next couple of months..
 
Futurity stakes friday newcastle


Kinross 6/1 ppower

A spare five minutes and saw this was entered in futurity instead of satuday,in horris hill where was original favourite for that race decs are up now entered in this instead only had one and maybe a lot to ask in this race o'briens got three entered a group one with hot fav..Kinross won by 8ls on debut showed ridiculous turn of foot,whatever happens friday one to follow next season,when it won at newnarket ran the last three furlongs quicker than billesdon brook winning the fillies and mares group 1,very impressive debut and the seconds hacked up since as well..It's running on tapeta out of kigman 27% on surface with 3/10 at newcastle,worth a small bet with imprivement to come and one to add for to follows nex season..
 
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Southwell 2.30 tuesday


Final legacy 14/1 hills

Final legacy has had five runs fir derek shaw shown absolutely nothing till last time out over tomorrows c/d,was remarkable run giving the field 10ls not facing the kickback and coming from off the pace finishing strongly to be beaten just 2 1/2s behind filbert street with piazon in second running in same race tomorrow.The sire stats are poor 0/13 on this surface coach house and the horse could easily be a 6f horse,is also worse off at he weights with piazon,that one actually has a bog pull with favourite young tiger and ooks the obvious pick in the race..
Final legacy is only rated 45,just the five runs have looked at the aw tracks for the sire and they are all abysmal bar chelmsford 14.8% so maybe that might be where we see it at its best,derek shaw has good record there as well,but as it was such an eyecatcher last time out on this surface then will try a small bet,will add it on to follows even if it comes stone last,worth watching the replay as shows horse has ability and 45 could be very well handicapped maybe under different trip or surface..

12/1 ppower/sportsbook/victor/hills

Huge overnight drifter,looks very suspicious was 7/1 driftig like a barge 16s on betfair,be surorised if this figures from the saw stable especially after being such a big eyecatcher LTO.
 
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gigilo said:
Southwell 2.30 tuesday


Final legacy 14/1 hills

Final legacy has had five runs fir derek shaw shown absolutely nothing till last time out over tomorrows c/d,was remarkable run giving the field 10ls not facing the kickback and coming from off the pace finishing strongly to be beaten just 2 1/2s behind filbert street with piazon in second running in same race tomorrow.The sire stats are poor 0/13 on this surface coach house and the horse could easily be a 6f horse,is also worse off at he weights with piazon,that one actually has a bog pull with favourite young tiger and ooks the obvious pick in the race..
Final legacy is only rated 45,just the five runs have looked at the aw tracks for the sire and they are all abysmal bar chelmsford 14.8% so maybe that might be where we see it at its best,derek shaw has good record there as well,but as it was such an eyecatcher last time out on this surface then will try a small bet,will add it on to follows even if it comes stone last,worth watching the replay as shows horse has ability and 45 could be very well handicapped maybe under different trip or surface..

12/1 ppower/sportsbook/victor/hills

Huge overnight drifter,looks very suspicious was 7/1 driftig like a barge 16s on betfair,be surorised if this figures from the saw stable especially after being such a big eyecatcher LTO.
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Drifted into 20/1 now. This will be one almighty Kaboom if this comes in, that’s one hell of a drift
 
If it gets out on terms and "a big iff" as always slow away would have a very good chance, we'll see! Good luck any backers, could be 1000 after the off!
 
Very slow away again and came up the slowest part of track, ran on again though under hands and heels, needs stalls training to get out on terms and a good middle draw, one to remember though.
 
Busy right through till new year at least come on noe and again now aw seaso has started,a 210%ROI in october start off with an ew multiple at swell hills prices up,small fancys as short prices ew multiple.

Swell 6.10


Hareem queen 9/4 hills 5/2 skybet



Hareem queen i mentioned from earlier race won a maide in a quick time,beating sambuca spirit ran faster than the 0-85 handicap winner saaheq rated 87 carried four pund less and runs off 78 tomorrow,that run was off a nine month break and only third lifetime run as well.Horse looks well handicapped just that long break and whther that comeback run has had any effect..Afandem got touched off today runs in this tomorrow the obvious danger running consistently...




7.10

Al Erayg 10/30 hills `11/4 365


Al Erayg my cliff horse backed it four or five times since last season most of them second or placed,never backed it here last time out and it won
relished the surface travelled well and ws going away at finish,looked a natural on the surface,the time dipped below 1m40 but track was riding exceptionally quick that was a 0-80 got raised five pund and back into a 0-75 tomorrow..UYou could never totally rely o the horse on previous runs,but as it was frst run here time was good,then will give it another chance although carries a huge weight 10-1 runs off 81 ran some in far better races off higher marks in the past so if it is the surface that has made the difference then a ossibility a fibresand specialist..


7.40

Geography 13/2 365/victor Osmosis 12/1 ppower/sportsbook/skybet/victor generally

Geography was being scrubbed along throghout last time out over 7fs here and stuck on the inside for most of the race,very one paced but looked like further would suit doesn't even look particulary well handicappeed,but not a great deal of recent form on this surface to go on so has place chances back upto the mile and in first time blinkers..There must be a fair chance that a younger horse will win this one of the three year olds,so will try osmosiis has looked very quirky and 0/14 its last run over 1m2fs well bet but its three runs previous to that 3/4/2 off 58,58,61 in better races,should go on the surface out of tamayuz closely matched with geography on their musselburugh run as well nk between them..A speculatve one on profile but definite form chance.



5.10


Filbert street 7/1 corals/lads 9/1 365/victor huge drifter maybe that draw is no good in 14 Sambuca spirit 4/1 365


Filbert street won last time out in a 0-65 drops into a classified race for horses upto 50,if it runs to that form then obvious chance but it's overall profile not convincing,left the brotherton stable to join appleby stable and the after winning last time out gone back to brotherton again..Seems a very strange thing for appleby to do after getting a win,is also drawn on the stands side rail,they don't win there to often but they have been running ok near that side so maybe not as much of a negative as forst appears..obvious place claims.
Sambuca queen ran well in a maiden over c/d two runs back the winner queen hareem looks a well handicapped beaten an easy 4 1/2ls but that maiden was quicker than the 0-85 on the same card over the same c/d,with just eight lifetme runs there could be some handicaps for it off 50 if it can repeat that run again tomorrow in a just a 0-50 unclasiffied stakes..Probably wouldn't get a rise in the weights if could win this so might be one to follow iin low grade handicaps..
Blackcurrent ran well on only start over c/d flopped since couldn't rule out place chances and also Le manege enchante ran third in a 0-60 over c/d last season,was badly hampered behind filbert street last time out and is probably far better than that form at best wouldn't rule out place chances could run well and these could be added for forecasts etc..
 
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Newcastle 8.05


Burtonwood 12/1 365 10/1 betway

Last time burtonwood won on the aw was off 62 at wolves over 6fs,similar maybe better race than tomorrows that was november 2018, had won a 0-70 in the october over tomorrow's c/d had one of tomorrows runners gleaming arch behind that's priced at 6/1 tomorrow..Didn't win on the turf this season,then last time out back over this c/d was only 8th but ran ok only beaten 2 1/2ls that was a 0-70,tomorrow drops into a 0-60 never run in a 0-60 on the aw before,any slight improvement on last run then decent ew chances..julie camacho has callum rodriguez booked hasn't rode it since august 2018 has reasonable record on it with one win and three places from seven rides.
 
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Southwell 7.45


Tagur 20/1 ppower/sportsbook

A hands n heels race for apprentices,the jockey that rides tagur harriet leads but in all likelyhood she will be beat before the horse is even though she has had 2 winners hardly rides so can only be a speculstuve pick..Totally out of form tagur shown nothing since a 4th over tomorrows track in a class 4 off 73 in a 0-80,totally regressed from that run not placed since marks plummetted to just 58 jock takes of 5 tomorrow down to just 53 lifetime lowest mark,earlier in season of 2018 won a classified claimer for horses rated upto 65 by 5ls at swell and also won a handicap off 67 claimer took off 5 in another 0-65 at swell again so 2/2 at the track..Has never run in this class before a 060 so even thoigh looks unlikey tomorrow on recent form worth looking out for as aw season now has kicked in,did beat soqaan in that 0-65 last season and thats running in same race tomorrow,elysee star is a long standing maiden but first attempt here recently was second in same grade poor profile but respectable first run on surface.Shellabeau ran ok here over 6fs only eight rus a little trainer alexandra dunn does ok with these cheap purchases from other stables and is 5 pound better in than last run,needs to prive it stays 7fs could alsi figure 20/1 little ew..

Might do a placepot if i get time.
 
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Might have guessed you'd put this up.:D
Just about to put it up on the What are you backing today thread when i saw that you'd posted something!
Totally agree horse is very well in today, also dont think its last run at Newcastle was too bad, had by far the worst draw in 14 that night, 3 horses won from the 1 stall and everything drawn high had very little chance, so as a comebck run wasn't too bad imo.
Have to give a similar chance to Sooqaan at 8/1-9/1, 7fs specialist here and usually is competative from 60ish mark, backed both EW 1st 4 with 365 at 10/1 Tagur and 8/1 Sooqaan.
 
Risk you take when you back the worst jock in the race,i sort of expected it anyway she missed the break horse nearly always leads then stayed on the inside and horse never really had a race and it got hammered into 11/2 so notebook horse..reminder to never bet that jock again..

AW Mile championships april


Indyco 16/1corals 14/1 lads

Longway to go but always try and have an interest early on although Kachy has been the main money spinner,just deciding on other races at the moment as saw early prices up,last season Indyco went off favourite for this race touched off by Oh this is us,you could sat winner won with a little in hand that one's currently pruced at 6/1 and obvious chance..Both of them that day came off a decent gallop,a few of the runners priced up are in there again,looks a bit of value if it runs and because it looks an aw horse five runs 2/1/2/2/2 thpenultimate run before the aw finals split bayoun and graphite and then went off 4/1 favourite in aw finals..Still only four so could have a little more to come although both market leaders are improvers Alrajaa and Khuzaam could be anything Indyco looks decent value at current prices and this race likely to be its target.
 
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gigilo said:
Risk you take when you back the worst jock in the race,i sort of expected it anyway she missed the break horse nearly always leads then stayed on the inside and horse never really had a race and it got hammered into 11/2 so notebook horse..reminder to never bet that jock again..

AW Mile championships april


Indyco 16/1corals 14/1 lads

Longway to go but always try and have an interest early on although Kachy has been the main money spinner,just deciding on other races at the moment as saw early prices up,last season Indyco went off favourite for this race touched off by Oh this is us,you could sat winner won with a little in hand that one's currently pruced at 6/1 and obvious chance..Both of them that day came off a decent gallop,a few of the runners priced up are in there again,looks a bit of value if it runs and because it looks an aw horse five runs 2/1/2/2/2 thpenultimate run before the aw finals split bayoun and graphite and then went off 4/1 favourite in aw finals..Still only four so could have a little more to come although both market leaders are improvers Alrajaa and Khuzaam could be anything Indyco looks decent value at current prices and this race likely to be its target.
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Set Piece 8/1 corals/lads

Annoying they took the betting down then the 16/1 was immediately cut after tonights win in the qualifier,horse has only had six lifetme runs including tonights han't run since july and has been gelded and had wind op since ti win this on comeback run from the highly prigressive khuzaam great performance track on the slowside as well so that maybe better than first appears as well..On only third ever run back in april was third to skardu in a group three skardu now rated 114 and the second momkin now rated 109 did nothing after that well beaten,the being ekded and wind op looks to have got him back to best and even now the 8/1 could be big with more to come compared with the mile on finals day last season..
 
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Some small bets and ew multiples no strong fancys more for a little interest.


Lingfield 3.35


Miss Blondell 16/1 ppower/sportsbook Noble fox 10/1 victor/hills

Miss blondell has only ever won one race back in 2015 over 7fs,although only the 17 runs was running to a different level in 2018 when stepped up in trip places in 0-70s and 0-80s..Came back in 2019 with a third at newbury in another 0-80 and ran other respectable races most recent september 2nd in a 0-75 off 64 angus villiers taking off 7 so 57,weak races last two runs 5th in this grade at kempton but on all her other form weaker form so a bit to prove now..She gets to run off just 58 though with same 7 pound c;aimer so will have a small bet,has run well here when second on one c/d run most of her form would entitle her to be half the pruce she is,just her last two runs perhaps she has lost interest..
Noble fox has had eight runs,best run so far was when 2nd to gin palace at windsor over a mile in a 0-75,better class than tomorrows race but pieces and headgear tried since in another three runs,two of them did nothing but ran ok over tomorrows c/d..Was never really travelling in that race a 0-70 although was only 6th of the 14 that was a better race than tomorrows and drops another three pound,doesn't look one to rely on but with only the eight runs then will have a small bet on it..

Lingfield 1.20


Papa delta 5/1 hills 11/2 victor 6/1 totesport

Papa delta has caught the eye a few times,very little value in the prices but appears to be in the right grade always looks unlucky in running,has a decent place chances on a track is 2/2 although the 13 draw obvious negative hopefully they will go quick enoughfor him.

Wolves 6.10


Threefans 10/1 365 7/1 skybet /ppower/sportsbook

Threefans ran very free last time out and had nothing left last time out over the extended mile at wolves,had a poor draw that night and again same draw in 10,if can overcome that draw then again decent ew chances dropped to 7fs a possibility this maybe a slightly weaker race than last time out and time was decent..Might be worth putting in an in running lay if horse does to much from outsude draw.

Wolves 6.40

Guandi 4/1 skybet/hills sportsbook Scofflaw 11/2 365 9/2 skybet/hills


A very competitve claimer scofflaw has run two cracking races here over c/d a 5th to stormahead in a class 3 here last time out and earlier in the season 4th in a class 4 carrying a monster 10-1,the big negative is laura pearson only three winners from 54 rides so probably relying on a decent pace and horse doing all the work obvious place chances if they go quick enough..Hopefully guandi could be the horse that sets out a decent pace,placed over 1m4fs here last time out in a decent time ,i don't know if horse has the speed but that was big improvement from the first four runs then gelded before that run so obvious ew chances even though on ratings has something ti find..on ratings
 
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gigilo said:
Some small bets and ew multiples no strong fancys more for a little interest.


Lingfield 3.35


Miss Blondell 16/1 ppower/sportsbook Noble fox 10/1 victor/hills

Miss blondell has only ever won one race back in 2015 over 7fs,although only the 17 runs was running to a different level in 2018 when stepped up in trip places in 0-70s and 0-80s..Came back in 2019 with a third at newbury in another 0-80 and ran other respectable races most recent september 2nd in a 0-75 off 64 angus villiers taking off 7 so 57,weak races last two runs 5th in this grade at kempton but on all her other form weaker form so a bit to prove now..She gets to run off just 58 though with same 7 pound c;aimer so will have a small bet,has run well here when second on one c/d run most of her form would entitle her to be half the pruce she is,just her last two runs perhaps she has lost interest..
Noble fox has had eight runs,best run so far was when 2nd to gin palace at windsor over a mile in a 0-75,better class than tomorrows race but pieces and headgear tried since in another three runs,two of them did nothing but ran ok over tomorrows c/d..Was never really travelling in that race a 0-70 although was only 6th of the 14 that was a better race than tomorrows and drops another three pound,doesn't look one to rely on but with only the eight runs then will have a small bet on it..

Noble fox went into the lead 100 yards from the line but running up the rail looked to stop it tiouched off..

Lingfield 1.20


Papa delta 5/1 hills 11/2 victor 6/1 totesport

Papa delta has caught the eye a few times,very little value in the prices but appears to be in the right grade always looks unlucky in running,has a decent place chances on a track is 2/2 although the 13 draw obvious negative hopefully they will go quick enoughfor him.

Wolves 6.10


Threefans 10/1 365 7/1 skybet /ppower/sportsbook

Threefans ran very free last time out and had nothing left last time out over the extended mile at wolves,had a poor draw that night and again same draw in 10,if can overcome that draw then again decent ew chances dropped to 7fs a possibility this maybe a slightly weaker race than last time out and time was decent..Might be worth putting in an in running lay if horse does to much from outsude draw.

Wolves 6.40

Guandi 4/1 skybet/hills sportsbook Scofflaw 11/2 365 9/2 skybet/hills


A very competitve claimer scofflaw has run two cracking races here over c/d a 5th to stormahead in a class 3 here last time out and earlier in the season 4th in a class 4 carrying a monster 10-1,the big negative is laura pearson only three winners from 54 rides so probably relying on a decent pace and horse doing all the work obvious place chances if they go quick enough..Hopefully guandi could be the horse that sets out a decent pace,placed over 1m4fs here last time out in a decent time ,i don't know if horse has the speed but that was big improvement from the first four runs then gelded before that run so obvious ew chances even though on ratings has something ti find..on ratings
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On the clock scofflaw looked a certainty,annoying did the other as well because of jockette anyway saved the day,to be fair to her 3 wins from 54 i presumed she was hopeless but she looked better than a lot of female claimers so wouldn't put me off next time..
 
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Southwell 3.40


Fair alibi 10/1 365/hills


Got a few things marked off but either guessing on trips or surface and most of them inconsistent including this one Fair Alibi,also this an amatuer riders race at least patrick millman does ride winners has had a good season with 6/26 so running at 26% strike rate..The horse is far more inconsistent than the jockey,has run twice here before both runs over 5fs a second abd runner up to Sandridge lad in a 0-75 for 3yr olds in march,was rated 70 in that race,two decent runs a 4th in a class 4 on the turf and a 5th in a big foeld class 5 that run showing it stayed 6fs,then in june was 3rd in a 0-75 just touched off..Three runs since then all very poor hasn't run since 20th of september although the two runs at swell were after a similar break and sandridge lad has dropped in the ratings that ones runs here in 0-75s have all been good.
Tomorrows race is over the 6fs runs but first time ever in a class 6 0-65,strange thing about this horse is ater its win purely in the markets has been totally unfancied going off after the win
14/1,18/1,16/1,20/1,14/1,16/1,25/1,14/1 so maybe the horse is just a complete rogue and untrustworthy because shouldn't have been going off those prices every race..Will have a small bet as race doesn't look great..Letmestopyouthere on some of its back form at the track would look extremely well handicapped,especially with brodie hampson riding.

Smashed into 4/1 favourute,probably neded the run as wouldv'e expected it to lead een if it didn't stay the 6fs might be worth another bet next time out..
 
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I fancied Vallarta in that myself but all weather not my speciality. Good luck with yours.
 
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Some ew multiples just did the form briefly more like thieving bets hopefully..very small stakes

Lingfield 12.40


Holy Eleanor 4/1 hills

Holy eleanor first run for archie watson last time out a running on 4th at wolves,looked slightly better than tomorrows race but there are lots in here that are lightly raced,so probably decent place chance more than win..

1.10


Intisaab 8/1 Hills/skbet/betfred

10/1 generally not looking promising,every pick seems ti be on the drift

Intisaab bit of a veteran now,has become inconsistent still has run some decent races on the turf season in 0-105 handicaps will return to the turf next season on very decent marks and should win again..On the aw has some good form,but last time out only 8/8 at kempton so a poor run,but previous to that was third to two progressve horses at wolves Motagally and Powerlink,powerlink won satirday and now rated 96 intisaab 1 3/4ls behind it,intisaabs dropped five pound since that run to 92 and hasn't ru in this grade since june 2016..Might be a bit of desperation after last run as stepped up to 7fs but if comes back to form in this grade would be very good ew chance in a 0-90.


1.45


Victory bond 13/2 generally

Victory bond was running in listed races over this c/d 18 months ao won the easter classic in 2018 think i put it up for the aw finals but has been very disappointing,ran ok when third at chelmsford after a seven month break was behind the favourite kasbaan,hopefully that run means it's back to form on favoutite track..Gets to run in a handicap off 100,another decent place chances as long as they don't dawdle has best speedfigures here,but as said out of for fir a while bar last run.


3.20


Yasir 11/2 hills Guaracha 11/1 lads/victor

An absolutely terrible race two mile 0-55 these two were 4th and 5th in same grade over c/d back in august,yasirs 11 now might not be its track as only run here once on that run,if they go a decent pace more chance of winning usually gets beat by lack of pace in race..Guarachas been going off massive prices,poor profile but alexandra dunns horses have been running well i presume it will drift after the prices it's going off in recent runs although simon walker booked..Attain was different class to these runs off lowest ever mark of 50,hasn't looked like winning for a ong time and steps up in trip,but this race is so poor and although needs to prove it stays thetmay go slow enough that it might not matter,very interesting with brodie hampson riding.

Kempton 4.10


Aye skipper 7/1 generally

Aye skipper made debut here for richard hannon,that maiden looked respectable and time was ok,now strangely gone to appleby i'm sure he has some plans for it and it maybe outclassed in a field full of maidens,so maybe going down the handiap route..But still looks like it has an ew chance based on the time of the race,pronbably one to keep for the notebook..


6.10


Royal star 5/2 hills 9/4 victor Cullin 11/2 lads/victor

Royal star is an interesting runner oit of sea the stars had three runs and now into a handicap off 76 doesn't look particularly generpous but the one run from its three was third to star catcher and sachenka beaten 6 1/4ls,star catcher now rated 114 and the second now rated 79 has won three races since..Doesn't exactly look thrown in based on the second,but doesn't look a great 0-75 even though there are other runners lihtly raced.
Cullin won at wolves a weakish race but time seemed pretty good and only eight liftetime runs on the level,must have a decent ew chance at worst wiyh improvement to go..
 
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