Ebor Meeting 2013

Steve T

Steve T

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May 3, 2003
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An open start to the card tomorrow, 19 runners lining up oner 5 1/2f. Bogart was running a decent race last time when unseating Amy Ryan 2f from home, impossible to know what might have happened but Neil Callan on board tomorrow, will need to bounce back but a career low mark.

The Grey Gatsby looks a bit short at around 6/4 to me, Il Paparazzi won very nicely over the CD last time but Lady Lara is another who could run well at a big price, decent race last time out, might take these 2 against the Fav.

Can Telescope bounce back after his defeat last time? I think he'll win, Cap O'Rushes lucky to win last time out, the runner-up the moral winner. I think compensation awaits Telescope tomorrow.

The big race, I'm a big fan of Al Kazeem but have a nagging doubt that the Hannon camp wouldn't be running if they didn't have a strong feeling they could beat him. I'd like more ease in the ground, but think AK is such a strong battler that he might have the edge tomorrow, I don't think it'll be by much from Toronado though.

Noble Silk is a horse I've followed since his debut at York a couple of years ago, stepped up to 2 miles tomorrow for the first time I really think this could bring a good few lbs improvement after a disappointing effort last time out stepping down in trip. The run at Ascot staying on over 14f gives me hopes of a big run tomorrow.

Last race almost as open as the first, but I'll take on the Fav who I think could be vulnerable over the trip with Flying Bear, good winner at the glorious meeting and not too harshly penalised, Darren Egan taking over, claiming 3lb.
 
888.com are offering a 3 way match bet

5/4 Trading Leather
2/1 Declaration Of War
2/1 Hillstar


Opinions please? Is Declaration of War not a massive price?
 
DOW looks typical Coolmore cannon fodder in this, and I wouldn't have him on m mind. Much as I respect Hughsie's judgement, I don't think Toronado will last home, either.
On an uninspiring day for what's usually a teriffic meeting, the only thing I could xome up with was Telescope, who ought to have these for breakfast at this trip.
 
Telescope is a really intriguing runner. He's had a very unusual preparation for the Voltigeur and he looked a bit paceless last time as well. I'd like to oppose him but the opposition today isn't at all great. In addition, he'll clearly be suited by the step up in trip and the fact that Stoute could have run Hillstar but is dropping that horse back to 10f for the Juddmonte also plays on my mind. Hillstar's Royal Ascot win suggested very strongly that 12f was very much his distance rather than 10f and I think the Voltigeur would have been his for the taking. So, why is Stoute running Telescope instead?

I was at York when The Grey Gatsby won on his debut and really liked the look of him so I'll stick with him in the Acomb.

Morning Post is top on my figures in the nursery on the strength of his debut third to Reroute but his Redcar performance last time out was a shocker so my bet on him will be a very small one.
 
gus said:
Hillstar's Royal Ascot win suggested very strongly that 12f was very much his distance rather than 10f and I think the Voltigeur would have been his for the taking. So, why is Stoute running Telescope instead?
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Because you wouldn't necessarily want to run them the other way round or against each other?
 
12f horses have a terrific record in the Juddmonte. Forums weren't around in the late 90s but if they were the consensus would have been that Singspiel wouldn't have the speed to cope with Bosra Sham.

The same connections couldn't win the Voltiguer with Harbinger who was also a bigger price than Telescope and had better form. I've put Willie the Whipper (possibly a bit flattered in the PDJC but overpriced here) and Secret Number in a couple of doubles with Al Kazeem who is too big at 6/4.
 
Imo Broxbourne (4.20) is a class above the others and has been well placed to date. Ride LTO was a travesty in the Shergar Cup (Ugh!). Likely bet of the meeting for me though not a maximum as I have a slight concern about G/F.
 
What am I missing about Telescope? Seems priced completely on trainer and reputation. Maybe he will hose up, but I couldn't back him at less than 4s.

Foundry is interesting.

Cap O Rushes is a huge price at 15/2.
 
Get the distinct impression that Ryan Moore's about to force the pace in the big one; there'll be a few red faces on this thread should SMS do the double. :D
 
DoW ran to a similar level there than he did at Sandown. Poor renewal and the form boost to Novellist is a red herring.
 
Tout Seul said:
Imo Broxbourne (4.20) is a class above the others and has been well placed to date. Ride LTO was a travesty in the Shergar Cup (Ugh!). Likely bet of the meeting for me though not a maximum as I have a slight concern about G/F.
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Nice one TS
 
I'd already suffered that sharp intake of breath that comes when you drop a bo**ock, closed my eyes, tried to be stoic, opened eyes and screamed like a banshee. Some race!
 
O'Brien said of Foundry: "We're delighted with him. He's just ready to be racing and it was a good run. He's in the Leger, so he'd be a definite possible."

Insightful as ever from Aidan
 
Broxbourbe not a class above the rest, just the best in form horse, his conformation is like a pig.
 
She is a powerful, still maturing, 4yo filly, built for distance, that got Fanning out of trouble today. Ridden as he can ride her she would have won somewhat more convincingly today.

The form horse. Bo**ocks! Constantly improving in plenty of races since January up from OR 53 to OR 89 today who knows how much more in future. Game and likeable horse.
 
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