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Just a week  to go to Polling Day, and the latest updated poll-of-poll numbers suggest a slight ease in Labour support,  ditto Reform UK (though the vagaries of first-past-the-post ironically  giving them more Seats) and a strengthening of the Liberal Democrats, increasing their prospects of incredibly ending up as the Official Opposition. The Conservatives will no doubt be praying for a collapse in support for Reform UK in the final week....


Betting


Most Seats

Labour 1.01

Reform UK 120

Conservatives 190


Overall Majority

Labour 1.04

No Overall Majority 26

Reform UK 150

Conservatives 260


Conservative Seats

50-99 2.1

100-149 3.65

0-49 6

150-199 13


Conservatives to lose 201+ Seats: 1.11


Labour Seats

450-499 2.24

400-449 2.88

350-399 8.4

500+ 17.5


Source: "The Machine"


Latest (27th June) BBC Poll Tracker 

Labour 40%

Conservatives 20%

Reform UK 16%

Liberal Democrats 12%

Green 6%


Electoral Calculus User-Defined 

Seats Prediction Based On Above

Labour 450

Liberal Democrats 75

Conservatives 57

Reform UK 18

Green 4


Labour Majority: 250


5 + 3 = ?
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